| |
|
hurricane
|
|
000
acca62 tjsj 051919 cca
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el
tropico. Correcion
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast domingo 5 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas ha mejorado en su organizacion
en asociacion con el remanente de baja presion de gaston localizado
como a 700 millas al este de las islas de sotavento. Las condiciones
ambientales parecen estar conducentes para formacion de un ciclon
tropical. Y este sistema y pudiera desarrollarse nuevamente en una
depresion tropical en cuaquier momento hoy o esta noche a medida que
se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca de 15 mph. Intereses en las islas
de sotavento deben monitorear el progreso de este sistema. Pudieran
requerirse avisos para algunas de estas islas si se reinician las
advertencias. Existe una probabilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De que
este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las
proximas 48 horas.
Las imagenes del satelite y del radar en mexico indican que un area
amplia de baja presion localizada sobre el extremo suroeste del
golfo de mexico no ha mejorado en su organizacion durante las
pasadas horas. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables
para algun desarrollo adicional y pudiera desarrollarse una
depresion tropical en los proximos dias antes de que se mueva hacia
tierra. Existe una probabilidad alta. 60 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48
horas mientras se mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores cangialosi/pasch
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
acca62 tjsj 051919 ccb
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el
tropico. Correcion
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast domingo 5 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas ha mejorado en su organizacion
en asociacion con el remanente de baja presion de gaston localizado
como a 700 millas al este de las islas de sotavento. Las condiciones
ambientales parecen estar conducentes para formacion de un ciclon
tropical. Y este sistema pudiera desarrollarse nuevamente en una
depresion tropical en cuaquier momento hoy o esta noche a medida que
se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca de 15 mph. Intereses en las islas de
sotavento deben monitorear el progreso de este sistema. Pudieran
requerirse avisos para algunas de estas islas si se reinician las
advertencias. Existe una probabilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De que
este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las
proximas 48 horas.
Las imagenes del satelite y del radar en mexico indican que un area
amplia de baja presion localizada sobre el extremo suroeste del
golfo de mexico no ha mejorado en su organizacion durante las
pasadas horas. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables
para algun desarrollo adicional y pudiera desarrollarse una
depresion tropical en los proximos dias antes de que se mueva hacia
tierra. Existe una probabilidad alta. 60 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48
horas mientras se mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores cangialosi/pasch
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 051800
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 pm edt sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1745 utc.
. Special features.
A 1009 mb low. Remnant of gaston. Is about 600 nm e of the
lesser antilles near 17n51w moving w near 10 kt. Satellite
imagery indicates a low level swirl with small clusters of
scattered moderate/isolated strong convection to the w from
15n-19n between 50w-54w. Although activity is currently
limited. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system and a tropical depression could
re-form during the next day or two. There is a high chance of
this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48
hours.
A broad area of low pressure covers the sw gulf where a surface
trough is analyzed from a 1005 mb low 35 nm ne off the coast of
the city of veracruz near 19. 6n 95. 4w. The surface trough
extends nne along 23n95w to 26n93w. Scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms cover the area s of 27n w of 91w to inland over
mexico. Official data from several weather stations in the
vicinity of the city of veracruz have registered between 1 and 2
inches of rain in the past 24 hrs. Short range computer models
suggest this system will continue to move nnw over the next
couple of days with scattered moderate to strong
convection. Beginning to affect the texas coast by Tuesday
morning. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
additional development and a tropical depression could form
during the next day or so before the system moves inland. There
is a high chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave remains inland over west africa along 10w moving w
near 10 kt. Satellite imagery indicates cyclonic flow near the
wave axis concentrated near a 1009 mb low along and the axis
near 9n. This system is expected to enter the atlc over the next
24 hrs.
. Itcz.
A monsoonal trough extends from the coastal waters of w africa
near 19n20w along 10n23w to 6n35w. Where the itcz axis begins
and continues westward along 10n45w to 12n60w. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is e of the trough from 6n to 14n
between the coast of west africa and 22w. Clusters of similar
convection are from 4n to 8n between 30w-43w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
The primary focus this afternoon for the gulf of mexico is the
surface trough/low in the special features above. A longwave
upper level trough covering most of the s and se conus enters
the n gulf noted by strong subsidence on water vapor imagery.
This upper level feature supports a rather weak stationary front
that extends from the w atlc across the northern florida
peninsula into the ne gulf near 29n83w continuing westward to
29n92w. A surface trough is analyzed within 30 n mi s of the
stationary front between 83w and 91w. This scenario is enhancing
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection n of 26n e of
92w.
Caribbean sea.
Broad elongated upper level low centered n of puerto rico
supports a surface trough analyzed along 24n64w 20n65w 16n64w
enhancing scattered weak to moderate convection to the eastern
caribbean n of 12n e of 70w. A surface trough is to the sw of
the upper trough extending from northern colombia near 10n74w to
the n coast of nicaragua near 14n83w generating scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms within 100 n mi on either
side of the trough. Computer models suggest this area of
convection will linger in the sw caribbean over the next 24 hrs.
Relatively dry/stable conditions is noted elsewhere across the
caribbean this afternoon.
Atlantic ocean.
Broad elongated upper level low centered n of puerto rico near
20n66w supports a surface trough analyzed along 24n64w 20n65w
16n64w enhancing scattered weak to moderate convection s of 25n
between 64w and 72w. Upper level jet streak/trough moving ne off
the eastern seaboard is enhancing scattered moderate convection
n of 27n between 68w and 75w. Elsewhere across the across the
discussion area. Broad mid/upper level sub-tropical ridge
dominates the atlc and supports the surface 1024 mb high near
36n45w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
Garcia
000
acpn50 phfo 051748
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 am hst sun sep 5 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. A weak disturbance embedded within the trough near
12n 143w has shown no signs of increased organization over the past
six hours. This system has a low chance. 10 percent. Of developing
into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through Tuesday
morning.
$$
Dwroe
000
acca62 tjsj 051741
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast domingo 5 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas permanece desorganizada en
asociacion con el remanente de baja presion de gaston localizado
como a 700 millas al este de las islas de sotavento. Las condiciones
ambientales parecen estar conducentes al desarrollo de este sistema
y pudiera desarrollarse nuevamente una depresion tropical en
cuaquier momento hoy o esta noche a medida que se mueve hacia el
oeste a cerca de 15 mph. Los intereses en las islas de sotavento
deben monitorear el progreso de este sistema. Pudieran requerirse
avisos para algunas de estas islas si se reinician. Existe una
probabilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta
en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas.
Las imagenes del satelite y del radar en mexico indican que un area
amplia de baja presion localizada sobre el extremo suroeste del
golfo de mexico ha cambiado un poco en organizacion durante las
pasadas horas. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables
para algun desarrollo adicional y pudiera desarrollarse una
depresion tropical en los proximos dias antes de que se mueva hacia
tierra. Existe una probabilidad alta. 60 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48
horas mientras se mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores cangialosi/pasch
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abpz20 knhc 051736
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 am pdt sun sep 5 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster cangialosi
000
abnt20 knhc 051735
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt sun sep 5 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized in
association with the remnant low of gaston located about 700 miles
east of the leeward islands. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for tropical cyclone formation. And the low could
redevelop into a tropical depression at any time today or tonight
as it moves westward near 15 mph. Interests in the leeward islands
should monitor the progress of this system. Warnings will likely
be required for some of these islands if advisories are
re-initiated. There is a high chance. 80 percent. Of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours.
Satellite images and radar imagery from mexico indicate that the
broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
gulf of mexico has not become better organized over the past few
hours. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development
and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so
before the system moves inland. There is a high chance. 60
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster cangialosi/pasch
000
axpz20 knhc 051513
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1600 utc sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 utc.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis from 07n78w to 10n88w then
resumes at 14n108w to 11n125w to 12n140w. Isolated moderate from
10n to 13n between 115w and 122w. Similar convection is from 08n
to 10n between 121w and 124w.
. Discussion.
A large upper level anticyclone prevails over the northern part
of the forecast area. Northeasterly upper level flow prevails
over the deep tropics. This flow is advecting upper level
moisture from convection over central america and mexico
westward.
Surface ridging extends sse from a 1036 mb high nw of the area
from 32n136w to 20n121w. With a 1002 mb low pressure centered
over the far sw u. S. There is a tight pressure gradient between
these two features. This gradient is supporting northerly gale
force winds off the coast of california. This will produce
northerly swells which are forecast to move into the northern
portion of the forecast area late sun night. With seas expected
to reach 11 ft by tue morning.
$$
al
000
axnt20 knhc 051203
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 am edt sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 utc.
. Special features.
A 1009 mb low. Remnant of gaston. Is about 700 nm e of the
lesser antilles near 17n49w moving w near 10 kt. Satellite
imagery indicates a low level swirl with small clusters of
scattered moderate/isolated strong convection to the w from
15n-18n between 50w-54w. Although activity is currently
limited. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
re-development of this system and a tropical depression could
re-form in this area later today or Monday. There is a high
chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during
the next 48 hours.
A broad area of low pressure covers the sw gulf where a surface
trough is analyzed from a 1007 mb low along the coast of s
mexico near veracruz n along 23n95w then nw to over s texas near
brownsville. Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms cover the
area s of 27n w of 89w to inland over mexico. Isolated showers
and possible isolated thunderstorms are n of 27n e of 89w.
Although activity is currently disorganized environmental
conditions appear favorable for additional development during
the next day or so. There is a medium chance of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves
nw at 5-10 kt.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave remains inland over africa along 9w moving w near
10 kt. The surface low is no longer discernible and the wave is
void of any convection.
. Itcz.
A monsoonal trough extends from w africa near 20n16w along
16n22w 10n26w to 6n35w where the itcz axis begins 6n39w along
11n55w to 10n62w. Scattered moderate/strong convection is within
a 60 nm radius of 19n22w. Clusters of similar convection are
from 6n-12n between 17w-21w and from 3n-8n between 30w-55w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
The primary focus this morning for the gulf of mexico is the
surface trough/low in the special features above. A longwave
upper level trough covering most of the e conus dips s to the n
gulf coast supporting a stationary front that extends from the w
atlc across se georgia into the gulf over tallahassee florida to
the mississippi delta of louisiana. A weakening shortwave upper
level trough extends from off the florida coast near 29n86w to
near 25n87w. An upper level ridge is just to the se over the far
se gulf anchored over the florida straits near 23n82w providing
diffluence aloft to enhance scattered showers/thunderstorms over
the most of the e gulf s of the stationary boundary e of 91w
including the florida keys with the exception of the florida
peninsula which is remarkable clear this morning. A second
upper level ridge is anchored over the far sw gulf near 21n93w
covering the sw gulf.
Caribbean sea.
Broad upper low dominates most of the caribbean centered just s
of w puerto rico/mona passage near 18n67w covering the area e of
80w and into the central atlc. A surface trough is to the sw of
the upper trough extending from colombia near 10n75w to off the
coast of nicaragua near 12n82w generating scattered showers/
isolated thunderstorms within 150 nm either side of the trough.
The upper ridge anchored in the florida straits covers the w
caribbean giving the area ne flow aloft. This is providing
diffluence aloft enhancing isolated showers n of 15n between
puerto rico and the yucatan channel leaving the e caribbean
under mostly clear skies this morning.
Atlantic ocean.
An upper level ridge axis covers the w atlc anchored in the
florida straits extending an axis ne to beyond 32n72w. The
remainder of the w atlc is covered by the upper low centered s
of puerto rico/mona passage to 27n between 57w-76w. A broad
upper ridge covers the remainder of the atlc anchored near
24n43w with moderate/strong subsidence and dry stable air. A
surface ridge dominates the atlc waters n of 20n anchored by a
1021 mb high n of the discussion area near 34n43w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
paw
000
acpn50 phfo 051156
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 am hst sun sep 5 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. There appear to be multiple rotation centers within
this trough. None of these centers has shown signs of increased
organization over the past six hours. The center of interest near
12n143w has a low chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a
tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through early Tuesday
morning.
$$
Powell
000
acca62 tjsj 051143
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 am ast domingo 5 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas permanece desorganizada en
asociacion con el remanente de baja presion de gaston localizado
como a 750 millas al este de las islas de sotavento. Sin
embargo. Las condiciones ambientales parecen estar conducentes al
desarrollo de este sistema y pudiera desarrollarse nuevamente una
depresion tropical en esta area durante los proximos dias. Existe
una probabilidad alta. 70 por ciento. De que este sistema se
convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las proximas 48
horas.
Las imagenes del radar en mexico indican que un area amplia de baja
presion localizada sobre el extremo suroeste del golfo de mexico ha
cambiado un poco en organizacion durante las proximas horas. Las
condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables para algun desarrollo
adicional y pudiera desarrollarse una depresion tropical en los
proximos dias antes de que se mueva hacia tierra. Existe una
probabilidad alta. 60 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta
en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas mientras se
mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores cangialosi/pasch
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abnt20 knhc 051133
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt sun sep 5 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
with the remnant low of gaston located about 750 miles east of the
leeward islands. However. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for development of this system and a tropical depression
could re-form in this area during the next day or two. There is a
high chance. 70 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical
cyclone again during the next 48 hours.
Radar imagery from mexico indicates that a broad area of low
pressure located over the extreme southwestern gulf of mexico has
changed little in organization during the last several hours.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional
development and a tropical depression could form during the next
day or so before the system moves inland. There is a high
chance. 60 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster cangialosi/pasch
000
abpz20 knhc 051132
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 am pdt sun sep 5 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster cangialosi
000
axpz20 knhc 050951
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1000 utc sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 utc.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis from 15n107w to 10n128w to
13n140w. Scattered moderate convection within 60 nm of axis
between 113w and 123w.
. Discussion.
A large upper level anticyclone is centered s of california near
31n119w with a ridge axis extending sw to near 19n133w. A tutt
cell nw of discussion area near 33n145w is embedded in a deep
trough that extends to 17n in the central pacific. Strong
easterly flow is evident s of 20n and east of 120w. Severely
limiting the potential for sustained deep convection due to
vertical shear. But anticyclonic flow aloft is enhancing deep
convection near a low centered 12n142w.
Surface ridging extends sse from a 1035 mb high nw of the area
from 32n136w to 17n130w. Scatterometer data shows moderately
strong convergence associated with the itcz west of 111w. A weak
low is starting to develop in a favorable area of high vorticity
near the surface and divergent flow at upper levels near 12n142w.
This low is forecast to drift ne across 140w over the next two
days with 20 kt winds and 8 ft seas. Gales from strong pressure
gradient associated with a thermal trough over california will
produce n swells which are expected to propagate into n central
part of the area in about 36 hours. And persist through Monday.
$$
mundell
000
acpn50 phfo 050602 cca
twocp
Tropical weather outlook. Corrected
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 pm hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. A weak disturbance embedded in the trough near 12n
142w is drifting northward slowly and is not showing signs of
increased organization over the past six hours. This system has a
low chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone
within the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through
Monday evening.
$$
Powell
000
acpn50 phfo 050602
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 pm hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. A weak disturbance embedded in the trough near 12n
142w is drifting northward slowly and is not showing signs of
increased organization over the past six hours. This system has a
low chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone
within the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through
Monday afternoon.
$$
Powell
000
axnt20 knhc 050554
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 am edt sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0345 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical storm earl is becoming extra-tropical at 05/0300 utc
and is centered near 50. 7n 59. 2w at 05/0300 utc or about 155 nm
sw of marys harbour labrador moving n-ne at 40 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 970 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. This is the last advisory issued
by the national hurricane center. Please see high seas forecasts
issued by the national weather service under awips/wmo headers
nfdhsfat1/fznt01 kwbc for more details.
A 1008 mb low. Remnant of gaston. Is about 800 nm e of the
lesser antilles near 17n48w moving w near 10 kt. Satellite
imagery indicates a low level swirl with clusters of scattered
moderate/isolated strong convection to the w from 15n-19n
between 49w-52w. Although activity is currently limited.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for re-development of
this system and a tropical depression could re-form in this area
later today or Monday. There is a high chance of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours.
A broad area of low pressure covers the sw gulf where a surface
trough is analyzed from 27n87w along 23n94w to a 1008 mb low
inland over s mexico near veracruz. Heavy showers/numerous
thunderstorms covers the area s of 22n to inland over mexico/
yucatan peninsula between 90w-93w. Clusters of scattered
showers/isolated thunderstorms are within 120/150 nm of the
surface trough. Although activity is currently disorganized
environmental conditions appear favorable for additional
development during the next day or so. There is a medium chance
of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48
hours as it moves nw at 5-10 kt.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave is inland over africa along 8w/9w moving w near 10
kt with a 1011 mb low along the wave near 8n.
The tropical wave that was just e of the cape verde islands is
now a monsoonal trough that extends from near 20n20w just e of
the cape verde islands along 12n24w to 4n36w. Scattered
moderate/strong convection are within 120 nm of line from 16n23w
to inland over mauritania africa near 19n16w. Scattered
moderate/isolated strong convection are from 4n-8n between
27w-39w.
. Itcz.
The itcz axis begins w of the monsoonal trough above near 7n42w
9n51w 8n61w. Scattered moderate/strong convection is within
90/120 nm of the itcz axis from 41w-53w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
The primary focus tonight for the gulf of mexico is the surface
trough/low in the special features above. A longwave upper level
trough covering most of the e conus dips s to the n gulf coast
supporting a stationary front that extends from a weak 1010 mb
low inland over se georgia into the gulf near panama city
florida to just s of the mississippi delta of louisiana. A
weakening shortwave upper level trough extends from off the
longwave se louisiana to n of the yucatan peninsula near 25n87w.
An upper level ridge is anchored over the far sw gulf near
21n95w. A weakening surface trough is off the texas/ne mexico
coast extending from 27n92w to 23n97w with isolated showers
within 60 nm either side of the trough axis. A second upper
level ridge is over the far se gulf anchored over the florida
straits near 24n81w.
Caribbean sea.
Broad upper low dominates most of the caribbean centered just s
of puerto rico near 17n66w covering the area e of 80w and into
the sw tropical atlc. A surface trough is to the sw of the upper
trough extending from colombia near 9n75w to off the coast of
nicaragua near 14n82w generating scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms within 200 nm ne of the trough with isolated
showers s of the trough to inland over central america. The
upper ridge anchored in the florida straits covers the w
caribbean giving the area ne flow aloft. This is providing
diffluence aloft enhancing scattered showers/thunderstorms
inland over cuba and within 120 nm along the s coast of cuba
between 78w-85w. The ne flow is also giving the n/central
caribbean scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms
mainly n of 16n between 67w-81w leaving the e caribbean under
mostly clear skies tonight.
Atlantic ocean.
An upper level ridge axis covers the w atlc anchored in the
florida straits extending an axis ne to beyond 32n72w. The
remainder of the w atlc is covered by the upper low centered s
of puerto rico to 27n between 55w-75w. A broad upper ridge
covers the remainder of the atlc anchored near 23n42w with
moderate/strong subsidence and dry stable air. A surface ridge
dominates the atlc waters n of 20n anchored by a pair of 1022 mb
highs n of the discussion area and a 1018 mb high near 27n67w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
paw
000
acca62 tjsj 050553
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 am ast domingo 5 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes ha emitido la ultima advertencia
para la tormente tropical earl. Cual se ha tornado en una baja
presion post-tropical cerca del noreste de canada.
La baja presion remanente de gaston localizada cerca de 800 millas
al este de las islas de sotavento se esta moviendo al oeste a
alrededor de 10 mph. Actividad de aguaceros y tronadas es
limitada. Las condiciones ambientales. Sin embargo. Parecen ser
favorables para un nuevo desarrollo de este sistema y puede formarse
nuevamente una depresion tropical en esta area mas tarde hoy o el
lunes. Existe una probabilidad alta. 70 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las
proximas 48 horas.
Observaciones en la superficie e imagenes de radar en mexico indican
que un area amplia de baja presion se ha formado sobre el extremo
suroeste golfo de mexico. Aunque la actividad de tronadas esta
actualmente desorganizada. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser
favorables para algun desarrollo adicional en los proximos dias.
Existe una probabilidad mediana. 50 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48
horas mientras se mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abnt20 knhc 050536
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt sun sep 5 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center has issued the last advisory on
tropical storm earl. Which has become a post-tropical low pressure
area near northeastern canada.
The remnant low of gaston located about 800 miles east of the
leeward islands is moving westward at about 10 mph. Shower and
thunderstorm activity is currently limited. However.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for re-development of
this system and a tropical depression could re-form in this area
later today or Monday. There is a high chance. 70 percent. Of
this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48
hours.
Surface observations and radar imagery from mexico indicate that a
broad area of low pressure has formed over the extreme southwestern
gulf of mexico. Although thunderstorm activity is currently
disorganized. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
additional development during the next day or so. There is a
medium chance. 50 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to
10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster brown
000
abpz20 knhc 050531
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 pm pdt sat sep 4 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster brown
000
axpz20 knhc 050320
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
0400 utc sun sep 05 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0245 utc.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 10n86w to 09n91w
then resumes at 14n103w to 12. 5n112w to 08. 5n126w to 11. 5n140w.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection within 60 nm n and
90 nm s of axis e of 91w. Scattered moderate convection within
150 nm n and 90 nm s of axis w of 135w. Scattered moderate
convection is within 90 nm of the coast of colombia.
. Discussion.
Aloft.
A large upper level anticyclone is centered s of california near
32n118w with a ridge axis extending sw to 17n133w.
Otherwise. Ne upper level winds prevail over much of the deep
tropics.
Surface.
A weak ridge extends se from strong high pressure centered near
44n146w to 21n124w. Fresh to strong northerly flow on the
eastern side of this high pressure center will generate
northerly swell which is expected to propagate southward into
the waters n of 26n and w of 118w by Monday night.
Elsewhere. Southerly swell that has prevailed over the southern
portion of the area will gradually subside over the next 48
hours. And coverage of 8 ft or greater seas will decrease.
$$
al
000
wtnt32 knhc 050232
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 43
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1100 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl becomes post-tropical as it races across atlantic canada.
Summary of 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 50. 7n 59. 2w
about 180 mi. 295 km sw of marys harbour labrador
maximum sustained winds. 65 mph. 100 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 30 degrees at 46 mph. 74 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 970 mb. 28. 64 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The canadian hurricane centre has discontinued the tropical storm
warning for the magdalen islands. Prince edward island and nova
scotia.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Newfoundland from stones cove to boat harbour
For storm information specific to your area in canada. Please
monitor products issued by environment canada.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. The center of post-tropical storm earl
was located near latitude 50. 7 north. Longitude 59. 2 west. Earl is
moving toward the north-northeast near 46 mph. 74 km/hr. This
motion will bring earl across extreme southeastern quebec.
Southeastern labrador and into the atlantic ocean tonight. A
decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the north are expected
in the next 24 to 36 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph. 100 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is now post-tropical. And weakening is expected during
the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240 miles. 390 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb. 28. 64 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over portions
of western newfoundland.
Rainfall. Rains associated with earl should decrease tonight over
the region.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on earl. Additional information on earl can be found in high
seas forecasts issued by the national weather service. Under awips
header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
wtnt22 knhc 050230
tcmat2
tropical storm earl forecast/advisory number 43
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
0300 utc sun sep 05 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The canadian hurricane centre has discontinued the tropical storm
warning for the magdalen islands. Prince edward island and nova
scotia.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Newfoundland from stones cove to boat harbour
Tropical storm center located near 50. 7n 59. 2w at 05/0300z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 30 degrees at 40 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 970 mb
max sustained winds 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt.
50 kt. 90ne 140se 50sw 0nw.
34 kt. 180ne 210se 160sw 60nw.
12 ft seas. 0ne 800se 900sw 0nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 50. 7n 59. 2w at 05/0300z
at 05/0000z center was located near 49. 7n 60. 3w
Forecast valid 05/1200z 52. 9n 55. 4w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 150ne 150se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/0000z 55. 0n 52. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 150ne 60se 60sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/1200z 57. 0n 53. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 150ne 120se 120sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 07/0000z 57. 0n 55. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 0ne 0se 180sw 180nw.
Forecast valid 08/0000z 54. 0n 50. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 0ne 0se 240sw 0nw.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 09/0000z 52. 0n 36. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Outlook valid 10/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 50. 7n 59. 2w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on earl. Additional information on earl can be found in
high seas forecasts issued by the national weather service. Under
awips header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
acca62 tjsj 042353
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 pm ast sabado 4 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre la
tormenta tropical earl. Localizada como a 55 millas al sur suroeste
de cabo whittle quebec.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas asociada con los remanentes de
gaston han disminuido un poco esta noche. Las condiciones
ambientales. Sin embargo. Parecen ser favorables para un nuevo
desarrollo de este sistema y puede formarse nuevamente una
depresion tropical en esta area en cualquier momento. Existe una
probabilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta
en un ciclon tropical nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas
mientras se mueve hacia el oeste cerca de 10 mph.
Un area extensa de aguaceros y tronadas sobre el suroeste del golfo
de mexico esta asociada con una vaguada en la superficie. Este
sistema ha mejorado un poco en su organizacion y las condiciones
ambientales estan favorables para desarrollo adicional. Existe
una probabilidad mediana. 40 por ciento. De que este sistema se
convierta en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas
mientras se mueve hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
Un area alargada de baja presion localizada entre la costa oeste de
africa y las islas de cabo verde esta produciendo aguaceros y
tronadas limitados. Este sistema ha perdido organizacion hoy. Y un
desarrollo de ciclon tropical no parece ser probable. Existe una
probabilidad baja. 0 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta
en un ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas mientras se
mueve hacia el noroeste cerca de 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador roberts/brennan
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 042351
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical storm earl is centered near 49. 4n 60. 4w at 05/0000 utc
or about 50 nm ssw of cape whittle quebec moving nne at 39 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Numerous showers are
across portions of canada from 49n-57n between 51w-76w. See
latest nhc intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcpat2/ wtnt32 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc for more details.
A 1007 mb low. Remnant of gaston. Is e of the lesser antilles
near 17n47w moving wnw near 10 kt. Satellite imagery indicates a
curved band swirling around the wrn semicircle feeding into the
low. Scattered moderate convection is associated with this band
from 17n-19n between 45w-50w. Environmental
conditions are favorable for re-development of this system and a
tropical depression could re-form in this area at any time.
A broad area of low pressure is across the sw gulf where a
surface trough is analyzed along 27n89w 24n93w 20n94w.
Showers/thunderstorms are within 90 nm either side of the trough
axis with stronger activity covering much of the bay of
campeche. The activity has gained some slight organization and
some development of this system is possible over the next couple
of days.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave is over interior w africa along 14n7w 5n8w moving
w near 10 kt. Satellite imagery indicates cyclonic flow near the
wave axis concentrated near a 1009 mb low along and the axis
near 8n. Hovmoller diagram examination and upper air
time-section analyses indicate this wave passed niamey niger
around 03/2100 utc. Scattered moderate/strong convection is w of
the wave axis from 6n-13n between 9w-15w.
Tropical wave extends just e of the cape verde islands along
20n19w 14n23w 8n26w moving w 5-10 kt. The wave is embedded
within a broad low-level cyclonic gyre with sw monsoonal flow e
of the wave axis. Scattered moderate/isolated strong convection
is w of the wave axis from 12n-15n between 24w-27w.
. Itcz.
A monsoonal trough axis extends along 7n28w 8n36w. The itcz axis
begins w of the trough along 11n41w 9n50w 8n59w 6n66w. Scattered
moderate/strong convection is near the trough from 3n-9n between
27w-38w. Isolated moderate/strong convection is from 6n-9n
between 43w-46w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
A longwave upper level trough covering much of the ern conus
digs swd across the nrn gulf of mexico supporting a stationary
front lining the ne gulf coast from s of ern louisiana near
29n90w across the florida panhandle near 31n84w continuing ne
across georgia. A shortwave upper level trough extends off the
longwave s of louisiana extending to the yucatan peninsula
supporting a surface trough extending along 27n89w 24n93w
20n94w. See special features above for more details. A second
surface trough is nw of this trough paralleling the texas
coastline along 28n93w to 25n97w. The combination of surface
convergence near all these features along with diffluence aloft
around the upper level trough is supporting scattered
showers/thunderstorms across much of the central and wrn gulf s
of 28n between 87w-100w. An upper level ridge is over the far sw
gulf centered near 19n94w. A second upper level ridge is over
the far se gulf centered over the straits of florida near
24n82w. Expect continued shower activity across the sw gulf over
the next 24 hrs with possible cyclogenesis in the sw gulf near
the surface trough. As mentioned before. See special features
above for more details on this trough.
Caribbean sea.
Mainly ne flow aloft covers the wrn caribbean around an upper
level ridge centered over the straits of florida. This is
providing an area of diffluence aloft enhancing convection near
a surface trough analyzed in the sw caribbean along 14n82w to
nrn colombia near 9n76w. Scattered moderate/strong convection is
within 90 nm either side of the trough axis. Scattered moderate
convection is also s of jamaica from 15n-18n between 76w-80w.
Showers/thunderstorms area also across much of cuba due to the
combination of daytime heating and instability. The ern
caribbean is experiencing mostly fair conditions under the
influence of dry air aloft around an upper level trough centered
s of the virgin islands near 17n65w. Expect continued shower
activity across the wrn caribbean due to enhanced moisture
associated with the surface trough in the sw caribbean.
Atlantic ocean.
An upper level ridge covers the sw atlc centered over the
straits of florida near 24n82w supporting a surface ridge
anchored by a 1018 mb high near 26n68w. Moderate moisture is
across the area supporting widely isolated showers/thunderstorms
s of 29n w of 64w. Farther e. Surface ridging dominates
anchored by a pair of 1021 mb highs centered near 33n41w and
34n30w providing mostly fair weather across the central and ern
atlc n of 20n. Aloft. An upper level trough is e of the upper
ridge centered s of the virgin islands. An upper level ridge
covers much of the central atlc centered near 22n37w. A
shortwave upper level trough covers the far e atlc extending
from the canary islands to the cape verde islands.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
walton
000
acpn50 phfo 042343
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 pm hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. A weak disturbance embedded in the trough near 12n
142w is drifting northward and is not showing signs of increased
organization over the past six hours. This system has a low
chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone within
the next 48 hours.
Otherwise. Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through
Monday afternoon.
$$
Dwroe
000
abpz20 knhc 042341
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt sat sep 4 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
abnt20 knhc 042338
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt sat sep 4 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm earl. Located about 55 miles south-southwest of cape wittle
quebec.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnants of
gaston have diminished some this evening. Environmental conditions
. However. Appear conducive for re-development of this system and
a tropical depression could re-form in this area at any time.
There is a high chance. 80 percent. Of this system becoming a
tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours as it moves
westward at about 10 mph.
A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern gulf
of mexico is associated with a surface trough. This system has
become a little better organized and environmental conditions are
conducive for additional development. There is a medium chance.
40 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
An elongated area of low pressure located between the west coast of
africa and the cape verde islands is producing limited showers and
thunderstorms. This system has become less organized today. And
tropical cyclone development appears unlikely. There is a low
chance. Near 0 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward near 10
mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
wtnt32 knhc 042337
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl intermediate advisory number 42a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl racing northeastward over the gulf of saint lawrence.
Summary of 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 49. 4n 60. 4w
about 55 mi. 90 km ssw of cape whittle quebec
maximum sustained winds. 65 mph. 100 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 25 degrees at 45 mph. 75 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 966 mb. 28. 53 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from point tupper around cape breton to brule
* The eastern portion of prince edward island from victoria to lower
darnley
* The magdalen islands
* Newfoundland from burgeo westward to boat harbour
For storm information specific to your area in canada. Please
monitor products issued by environment canada.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 49. 4 north. Longitude 60. 4 west. Earl is
moving toward the north-northeast near 45 mph. 75 km/hr. This
motion will bring earl across extreme southeastern quebec and
newfoundland tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph. 100 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is forecast to become post-tropical tonight.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 250 miles. 400 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb. 28. 53 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over extreme
eastern nova scotia and prince edward island. These conditions will
spread over western newfoundland tonight.
Rainfall. Rains associated with earl should decrease tonight over
the region.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
axpz20 knhc 042141
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
2200 utc sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 utc.
. Special features.
None.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 07n78w to 08n90w
then resumes at 13n110w to 10n120w to 11n140w. Isolated moderate
convection is within 90n of axis e of 90w. Similar convection is
off the coast of colombia s of 06n e of 81w. Scattered moderate
convection is from 10n to 12n between 122w and 124w. Scattered
moderate convection is from 09n to 13n w of 137w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An anticyclone is centered s of california near 31n120w
with strong subsidence. A ridge axis extends sw to 20n140w.
Elsewhere. Moderate east winds prevail over most of the
remainder of the discussion area. Water vapor imagery shows
significant upper air moisture s of 24n e of 125w to colombia.
Surface.
A weak ridge extends se from 32n140w to 27n127w with broken to
overcast low clouds. A 1009 mb low remnants of t. D. 10-e is
centered s of baja california near 22n113w producing scattered
showers are within 90 nm of the low center. Elsewhere.
Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm of the coast of
mexico from the gulf of tehuantepec to mazatlan. A 1008 mb low
remnants of t. D. 11-e is inland over s mexico near 18n95w
producing scattered moderate convection within 90 nm of the
center. Scatterometer data also shows southerly cross equatorial
monsoon flow between 90w and 110w feeding into s mexico. Model
guidance indicates the itcz will become convectively active over
the next couple of days west of 110w while the strong sw monsoon
winds subside east of 110w.
$$
formosa
000
acca62 tjsj 042111 cca
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast sabado 4 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre
tormenta tropical earl. Localizada como a 30 millas al sur de
charlottetown prince edward island.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas asociada con los remanentes de
gaston continua mostrando senales de organizacion. Las condiciones
ambientales son conducentes para nuevo desarrollo de este sistema y
pudiera formarse nuevamente una depresion tropical en esta area en
cualquier momento. Existe una posibilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante
las proximas 48 horas a medida que se mueva hacia el oeste como a 10
mph.
Un area desorganizada de aguaceros y tronadas sobre el suroeste del
golfo de mexico esta asociada con una vaguada en la superficie.
Algun desarrollo de este sistema es posible si permanece sobre agua.
Existe una posibilidad mediana. 30 por ciento. De que este sistema
se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas a
medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
Un area alargada de baja presion localizada entre la costa oeste de
africa y las islas de cabo verde esta produciendo conveccion
desorganizada. Se espera que el desarrollo. Si alguno. Sea lento.
Existe una probabilidad baja. 10 por ciento. De que este sistema
se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas a
medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste a cerca de 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt32 knhc 042032
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 42
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
. Large tropical storm earl over the gulf of saint lawrence.
Summary of 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 47. 5n 62. 2w
about 20 mi. 30 km wnw of the magdalen islands quebec
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 25 degrees at 40 mph. 65 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 966 mb. 28. 53 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The canadian hurricane centre has issued a tropical storm warning
from burgeo westward to boat harbour newfoundland.
The canadian hurricane centre has discontinued the hurricane watch
from porters lake to point tupper. The tropical storm warning for
nova scotia from fort lawrence to margaretsville. Medway harbour
to point tupper. And tidnish to brule.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from point tupper around cape breton to brule
* The eastern portion of prince edward island from victoria to lower
darnley
* The magdalen islands
* Newfoundland from burgeo westward to boat harbour
For storm information specific to your area outside the united
states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 47. 5 north. Longitude 62. 2 west. Earl is
moving toward the north-northeast near 40 mph. 65 km/hr. This
motion will bring earl across the gulf of saint lawrence and
newfoundland tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is forecast to become post-tropical tonight.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles. 370 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb. 28. 53 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over eastern
nova scotia and prince edward island. These conditions will spread
over western newfoundland tonight.
Rainfall. Rains associated with earl should decrease tonight over
the region.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 pm edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila/blake
000
wtnt22 knhc 042031
tcmat2
tropical storm earl forecast/advisory number 42
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
2100 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The canadian hurricane centre has issued a tropical storm warning
from burgeo westward to boat harbour newfoundland.
The canadian hurricane centre has discontinued the hurricane watch
from porters lake to point tupper. The tropical storm warning for
nova scotia from fort lawrence to margaretsville. Medway harbour
to point tupper. And tidnish to brule.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from point tupper around cape breton to brule
* The eastern portion of prince edward island from victoria to lower
darnley
* The magdalen islands
* Newfoundland from burgeo westward to boat harbour
Tropical storm center located near 47. 5n 62. 2w at 04/2100z
position accurate within 30 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 25 degrees at 34 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 966 mb
max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 100se 50sw 0nw.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 100sw 60nw.
12 ft seas. 270ne 470se 470sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 47. 5n 62. 2w at 04/2100z
at 04/1800z center was located near 46. 0n 63. 3w
Forecast valid 05/0600z 52. 0n 58. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 200sw 30nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 55. 0n 55. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 200sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/0600z 55. 7n 51. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 120ne 150se 120sw 90nw.
Forecast valid 06/1800z 57. 0n 51. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 07/1800z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 47. 5n 62. 2w
Next advisory at 05/0300z
$$
forecaster avila
000
axnt20 knhc 041800
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1715 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical storm earl is centered near 45. 8n 63. 2w at 04/1800 utc
or about 25 nm s of charlottetown prince edward island moving ne
at 35 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Numerous
showers are from 44n-47n between 61w-69w. Including far eastern
maine. And portions of the eastern canadian maritimes. See
latest nhc intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcpat2/ wtnt32 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc for more details.
The remnant 1008 mb low of gaston is centered near 16n46w moving
wnw at 10 kt. The low-level center remains exposed on satellite
imagery. However curved bands of convection swirl around the
low with most of the convection sheared to the west. Scattered
moderate convection is located within 150 nm of the low center
in the western semicircle.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave is over interior w africa from 06n to 14n along
06w moving w at 10 kt. A 1012 mb low is centered along the wave
axis near 09n06w. Hovmoller diagram examination and upper air
time-section analyses indicate this wave passed niamey niger
around 03/2100 utc. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
from 10n-13n between 07w-11w.
Tropical wave extends from 18n19w to a 1010 mb low centered near
14n22w then ssw to 07n27w. This wave is embedded within a broad
area of low-level cyclonic flow over the eastern tropical atlc
with sw monsoonal flow located s of 10n that extends along the
wave axis to 06n30w. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is within 240 nm w of the wave axis. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection more associated with the
sw monsoonal flow is occurring from 02n-09n between 25w-36w.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis extends along 11n48w 08n59w 11n75w. Isolated moderate
convection is from 08n-11n between 42w-49w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
An upper level longwave trough is located over much of the
eastern conus that dips to 29n. Embedded within this
troughing. An upper level shortwave trough with axis along 90w
is over the central gulf waters. The longwave trough supports a
cold front that extends across the florida panhandle and enters
the gulf near 30n86w then westward to 29n90w over se louisiana
then to the texas coast near 27n97w. The shortwave trough
supports a pair of surface troughs. One is analyzed from 28n86w
to 24n92w with scattered showers and tstms within 120 nm of the
trough axis. The other surface trough is analyzed along 28n93w
23n96w to 19n95w with scattered showers and tstms within 120 nm
of the mexico coast s of 25n and over the sw gulf s of 24n w of
92w. While lower pressure values exist over the sw gulf. Global
models are indicating cyclogenesis is possible over the next
12-24 hours. Elsewhere. Over the remainder of the gulf e of
90w. An upper level anticyclone is anchored over florida
straits near 25n81w and extends an upper level ridge axis sw to
the yucatan channel. Widely scattered showers are occurring from
23n-26n between 78w-85w.
Caribbean sea.
Ne upper level flow is noted on water vapor imagery w of 70w on
the southern periphery of an anticyclonic circulation centered
over the florida straits and w atlc near 25n81w. This is
providing for an upper level diffluent environment across the
western caribbean which in turn is enhancing convection focused
along a surface trough analyzed from 10n75w to 14n80w. Scattered
showers and tstms are occurring from 09n-15n between 76w-83w.
Other convective activity is located in the vicinity of jamaica
with scattered showers and tstms from 15n-19n between 75w-79w. E
of 70w. An upper level low is centered near 16n64w and
continues to introduce moderately dry air over the eastern
caribbean and lesser antilles. However. Over the far se
caribbean the upper level low is advecting moisture ne with
isolated showers s of 13n e of 66w.
Atlantic ocean.
An upper level anticyclone is centered over the straits of
florida near 25n81w and extends an upper level ridge axis ne to
28n76w and beyond 32n65w. This upper level ridge supports a
surface ridge along 25n that encompasses the w atlc anchored by
a 1018 mb high centered near 26n67w. Low- to mid-level moisture
coupled with instability w of 65w is generating areas of
isolated showers and tstms n of 20n w of 65w. A surface
trough. The remnants of fiona. Is analyzed from 30n63w 35n63w
with scattered showers and isolated tstms within 90 nm either
side of the trough axis. Upper level troughing covers the
central atlc with the axis extending from an upper level low
centered over the ne caribbean near 16n64w to another upper
level low near 33n53w. The upper low is generating isolated
showers from 20n-24n between 58w-62w. Elsewhere across the
remainder of the central and eastern atlc. A broad surface
ridge dominates n of 22n e of 60w anchored by a 1023 mb high
centered near 32n35w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
huffman
000
acca62 tjsj 041754
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast sabado 4 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre
tormenta tropical earl. Localizada como a 30 millas al sur de
charlottetown prince edward island.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas asociada con los remanentes de
gaston continua mostrando senales de organizacion. Las condiciones
ambientales son conducentes para nuevo desarrollo de este sistema y
pudiera formarse nuevamente una depresion tropical en esta area en
cualquier momento. Existe una posibilidad alta. 80 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante
las proximas 48 horas a medida que se mueva hacia el oeste como a 10
mph.
Un area desorganizada de aguaceros y tronadas sobre el suroeste del
golfo de mexico esta asociada con una vaguada en la superficie.
Algun desarrollo de este sistema es posible si permanece sobre agua.
Existe una posibilidad mediana. 30 por ciento. De que este sistema
se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas a
medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste entre 5 a 10 mph.
Un area alargada de baja presion localizada entre la costa oeste de
africa y las islas de cabo verde esta produciendo conveccion
desorganizada. Se espera que el desarrollo. Si alguno. Sea lento.
Existe una probabilidad baja. 10 por ciento. De que este sistema
se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48 horas a
medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste a cerca de 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abpz20 knhc 041747
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 am pdt sat sep 4 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center has written the last advisory on
tropical depression eleven-e. Located about 70 miles northwest of
salina cruz mexico.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster blake
000
abnt20 knhc 041746
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt sat sep 4 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm earl. Located about 30 miles south of charlottetown prince
edward island.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnants of
gaston continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are conducive for re-development of this system and a
tropical depression could re-form in this area at any time. There
is a high chance. 80 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical
cyclone again during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at
about 10 mph.
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
southwestern gulf of mexico is associated with a surface trough.
Some development of this system is possible if it remains over
water. There is a medium chance. 30 percent. Of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
An elongated area of low pressure located between the west coast of
africa and the cape verde islands is producing disorganized
convection. Development. If any. Of this system is expected to
be slow to occur. There is a low chance. 10 percent. Of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it
moves northwestward near 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtnt32 knhc 041744
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl intermediate advisory number 41a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
200 pm edt sat sep 04 2010
. Tropical storm earl raking nova scotia. Wind increasing on
prince edward island.
Summary of 200 pm edt. 1800 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 45. 8n 63. 2w
about 30 mi. 45 km s of charlottetown prince edward island
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 35 degrees at 40 mph. 65 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 965 mb. 28. 50 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
There are several changes to the canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Porters lake to point tupper
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from fort lawrence to margaretsville
* Medway harbour around the east and north side of nova scotia to
tidnish
* The eastern portion of prince edward island from victoria to lower
darnley
* The magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm edt. 1800 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 45. 8 north. Longitude 63. 2 west. Earl has
continued to increase its forward speed and is moving toward the
northeast near 40 mph. 65 km/hr. This motion will bring earl
across prince edward island and the gulf of saint lawrence very
soon.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is expected to become extratropical tonight.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles. 335 km
mainly to the south and east of the center. Numerous stations in
eastern nova scotia are still reporting sustained tropical force
winds. Beaver island on the southeast coast of nova scotia
recently reported sustained winds of 65 mph. 104 km/hr and gusts
to 76 mph. 123 km/hr.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. 28. 50 inches
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions are still spreading over eastern
nova scotia and prince edward island. These conditions will spread
over a large portion of canadian maritimes later today.
Storm surge. Water levels will continue to rise above normal values
along the southeast coast of nova scotia. Near the coast. The surge
will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. The tropical storm is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over new brunswick. Nova scotia and
prince edward island with isolated amounts of 5 inches possible.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila/blake
000
acpn50 phfo 041735
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 am hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persists along a nearly east to west
oriented surface trough located about 1000 miles southeast of
hilo. Hawaii. A weak disturbance embedded in the trough near 11n
142w is drifting northward and is not showing signs of increased
organization over the past six hours. This system has a low
chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone within
the next 48 hours.
Otherwise. Elsewhere. No tropical cyclones are expected through
Monday morning.
$$
Dwroe
000
axpz20 knhc 041600
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1600 utc sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 11e is centered inland near 17. 0n 95. 8w
moving northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum sea level pressure
is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35
kt. Refer to the last nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo
headers miatcmep1/wtpz21 knhc and the last public advisory
under miatcpep1/wtpz31 knhc for more details. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is from 16n to 20n between 95w and
98w. This system is expected to dissipate inland within 24
hours.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 07n78w to 08n85w to
13n88w then resumes at 13n108w to 10n125w to 11n140w. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is within 90 nm s of axis
e of 80w. Similar convection is within 100 nm of the coast of
colombia from 03n to 05n. Widely scattered moderate convection
is from 09n to 12n between 121w and 124w. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is within 80 nm either side of axis w
of 137w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An anticyclone is centered s of california near 31n122w
with strong subsidence. A ridge axis extends sw to 20n140w.
Elsewhere. Moderate east winds prevail over most of the
remainder of the discussion area. These winds caused the former
td 10-e near 22n111w to rapidly weaken from vertical shear.
Winds over td 11-e are broadly diffluent east of 92w and are
enhancing deep convection over s mexico. Water vapor imagery
shows significant upper air moisture s of 24n e of 125w to
colombia.
Surface.
A weak ridge extends se from 32n140w to 27n127w with broken to
overcast low clouds. Elsewhere. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is within 120 nm of the coast of mexico from e of
acapulco to mazatlan. Scatterometer data also shows southerly
flow south of the itcz and well developed monsoon flow east of
108w feeding into s mexico. Gfs model guidance shows t. D. 11-e
moving inland and dissipating today while residual moisture and
vorticity spins up as a low in the gulf of mexico. Model
guidance indicates the itcz will become convectively active over
the next couple of days west of 110w while the strong sw monsoon
winds subside east of 110w.
$$
formosa
000
wtnt22 knhc 041448
tcmat2
tropical storm earl forecast/advisory number 41
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1500 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The hurricane watch for nova scotia from port maitland to port
lhebert has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* For nova scotia from port lhebert to point tupper
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the fundy national park eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
Tropical storm center located near 44. 3n 64. 5w at 04/1500z
position accurate within 30 nm
Present movement toward the northeast or 35 degrees at 31 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 962 mb
max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 120se 100sw 80nw.
34 kt. 160ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
12 ft seas. 270ne 470se 470sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 44. 3n 64. 5w at 04/1500z
at 04/1200z center was located near 43. 0n 65. 7w
Forecast valid 05/0000z 48. 0n 60. 7w. Over water
max wind 50 kt. Gusts 60 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 100se 100sw 25nw.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 200sw 50nw.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 52. 5n 56. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 210ne 180se 300sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 06/0000z 55. 5n 53. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 180ne 150se 210sw 90nw.
Forecast valid 06/1200z 57. 0n 54. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 180ne 120se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 07/1200z 56. 0n 53. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 0ne 0se 150sw 240nw.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 08/1200z. Absorbed by a large extratropical low
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 44. 3n 64. 5w
Next advisory at 04/2100z
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt32 knhc 041448
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 41
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1100 am edt sat sep 04 2010
. Tropical storm earl made landfall near western head nova scotia
around 10 am edt. 1400 utc. Severe tropical storm conditions
affecting a large portion of the province.
Summary of 1100 am edt. 1500 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 44. 3n 64. 5w
about 50 mi. 80 km wsw of halifax nova scotia
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 35 degrees at 36 mph. 57 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 962 mb. 28. 41 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The hurricane watch for nova scotia from port maitland to port
lhebert has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* For nova scotia from port lhebert to point tupper
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the fundy national park eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
severe tropical storm earl made landfall near western head nova
scotia earlier this morning. At 1100 am edt. 1500 utc. The center
of earl was located inland near latitude 44. 3 north. Longitude
64. 5 west. Earl is moving toward the northeast near 36 mph. 57
km/hr. And this motion will bring earl across nova scotia. Prince
edward island and the gulf of saint lawrence today.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and earl
should become extratropical in about 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles. 335 km
mainly to the south and east of the center. Numerous stations in
nova scotia are reporting sustained tropical force winds. Mcnabs
island just reported 56 mph. 90 km/hr with gusts to 68 mph. 109
km/hr. Lunenburg reported gusts to 69 mph. 111 km/hr and a minimum
pressure of 971 mb. 28. 67 inches.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb. 28. 41 inches. This
is based on a 963 mb. 28. 44 inches. Pressure report by western
head as earl was making landfall.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions are spreading over nova scotia and
will spread over a large portion of canadian maritimes later today.
Storm surge. Water levels will continue to rise above normal values
along the south coast of nova scotia. Near the coasts. The surge
will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain can be expected over
eastern maine associated with earl. The tropical storm is also
expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over
new brunswick. Nova scotia and prince edward island with isolated
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the northeast
coast of the united states. These swells will likely cause
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 pm edt.
Next complete advisory. 500 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila/blake
000
wtpz21 knhc 041441
tcmep1
tropical depression eleven-e forecast/advisory number 4
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
1500 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 17. 0n 95. 8w at 04/1500z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northwest or 325 degrees at 7 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1006 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 17. 0n 95. 8w at 04/1500z. Inland
at 04/1200z center was located near 16. 7n 95. 6w. Inland
Forecast valid 05/0000z 17. 8n 96. 4w. Inland post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 17. 0n 95. 8w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the
national hurricane center on this system
$$
forecaster beven
000
wtpz31 knhc 041441
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e advisory number 4
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
800 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
. Depression weakens to a remnant low over southeastern mexico.
Summary of 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 17. 0n 95. 8w
about 70 mi. 110 km nw of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 45 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 325 degrees at 8 mph. 13 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. The center of the remnant low of tropical
depression eleven-e was located near latitude 17. 0 north.
Longitude 95. 8 west. The low is moving toward the northwest near 8
mph. 13 km/hr. And this motion is expected to continue today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. 45 km/hr. With higher
gusts. The low is expected to dissipate over eastern mexico during
the next 12 to 24 hours.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall. The remnants of the depression are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of
oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in
higher elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system.
$$
forecaster beven
000
acpn50 phfo 041225
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 am hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persisted near the point 11n 143w. Or
about 1000 miles southeast of hilo. Hawaii. Scatterometer data
showed a nearly complete circulation around this feature. Including
a small zone of true westerly winds to the southwest of the center.
However. The winds were weak overall. While the area of convection
remained small and showed no real organization. This system has a
low chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone
within the next 48 hours.
Otherwise. No tropical cyclones are expected through late Sunday
night.
$$
Ryshko
000
wtpz31 knhc 041207 ccb
tcpep1
Bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e intermediate advisory number
3a. Corrected
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
500 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
Corrected format
. Tropical depression moving farther inland over southeastern
mexico and weakening.
Summary of 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 16. 7n 95. 6w
about 50 mi. 80 km nnw of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 50 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 325 degrees at 9 mph. 15 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
All watches and warnings have been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
None
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible
inland watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by
the meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 16. 7 north. Longitude 95. 6
west. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9
mph. 15 km/hr. And this general motion is expected to continue
during the next day or two. On this track. The center of the
depression is expected to move farther inland over southeastern
mexico today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph. 50
km/hr. With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast and
the depression is forecast to dissipate over southeastern mexico
later today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster beven
000
acca62 tjsj 041200
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 am ast sabado 4 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre
tormenta tropical earl. Localizada como a 40 millas al sur de cabo
sable en nueva escocia.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas asociada con los remanentes de
gaston continua mostrando senales de organizacion esta manana. Las
condiciones ambientales son conducentes para nuevo desarrollo de
este sistema y pudiera formarse nuevamente una depresion tropical en
esta area mas tarde hoy y esta noche. Existe una posibilidad
alta. 70 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon
tropical nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas a medida que se
mueva hacia el oeste como a 10 mph.
Un area alargada de baja presion localizada entre la costa oeste de
africa y las islas de cabo verde se ha organizado mejor. Sin
embargo. Las condiciones ambientales pudieran permitir el
desarrollo lento durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad
baja. 20 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon
tropical durante las proximas 48 horas a medida que se mueva hacia
el noroeste a cerca de 10 mph.
Un disturbio continua sobre el sur de la bahia de campeche. El
desarrollo de este sistema. Si alguno. Debe ser lento debido a la
cercania a tierra. Hay una probabilidad baja. 20 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical en las proximas
48 horas a medida que se mueve al noroeste de 5 a 10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 041200
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 am edt sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1115 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical storm earl is centered near 42. 9n 65. 8w at 04/1200 utc
or about 35 nm s of cape sable nova scotia moving ne at 26 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. See latest nhc
intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcpat2/
wtnt32 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under awips/wmo
headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc for more details. Heavy rain and
possible isolated thunderstorms cover the area n of 40n between
63w-70w including maine and nova scotia.
The remnant low of gaston is centered near 15n43w about 1030 nm
e of the leeward islands moving w near 9 kt. The low level
center remains just under the se portion of the deep convection.
Low remains embedded within an area of deep layered moisture as
indicated by the total precipitable water imagery but with drier
air undercutting the low. Scattered moderate/isolated strong
convection is from 15n-18n between 45w-47w.
. Tropical waves.
A tropical wave is over the eastern most cape verde islands
extending from 20n20w to 10n26w with a 1008 mb low just to the e
near 16n20w. Wave is embedded within a broad area of deep
layered moisture as indicated by the total precipitable water
imagery e of a line from 25n18w to the tropics near 10n30w.
Scattered/numerous strong convection is to the e of the wave
axis within 60/75 nm of line from 17n20w to 14n23w with clusters
of scattered moderate/isolated strong convection from 16n-20n e
of the wave axis to the coast of mauritania w africa and within
180 nm w of the wave axis from 9n-14n.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis extends from 9n30w 8n37w 10n48w 8n61w. Scattered
moderate/strong convection is from 3n-9n between 24w-35w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
A narrowing elongated cut-off upper low is over the w gulf
extending from vermilion bay louisiana s to 23n94w. A surface
trough is just to the e of the upper trough extending from
27n84w along 24n90w to the bay of campeche near 19n94w. An upper
ridge covers the remainder of the gulf waters anchored in the
florida straits near 25n80w and extending an axis nnw to over s
georgia generating scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms
within 120 nm w of the trough n of 26n and within 150 nm either
side of the trough s of 25n with scattered/numerous strong
convection over the bay of campeche s of 21n between 91w-97w.
The upper ridge is drawing tropical moisture from the caribbean
across cuba to over the se gulf generating scattered showers/
thunderstorms s of 26n to over cuba e of 85w across the florida
keys and to just w of andros island in the bahamas. A deep
layered trough covers most of the e half u. S. With the exception
of the far se supporting a cold front that extends across s
alabama and louisiana to just offshore near lake charles
louisiana then inland over texas between galveston and corpus
christi. A weakening pre-frontal surface trough extends from
29n92w to inland over ne mexico near 25n98w with isolated
showers/thunderstorms w of surface trough to the front. The cold
front is bringing some drier air in its wake and will continue
to slowly drift eastward while the s gulf will continue to
experience showers/thunderstorms as t. D. Eleven-e continues to
move over s mexico.
Caribbean sea.
A broad upper ridge anchored in the florida straits near
25n80w covers the caribbean w of 75w and extends to over the
gulf of mexico providing mostly e to se upper level flow.
Abundance of tropical moisture aloft remains across the w
caribbean and combined with diffluence aloft are generating an
area of scattered showers/thunderstorms from 14n-20n between
79w-83w and n of 20n to over cuba between 80w-84w. The itcz
cuts across the far sw caribbean from colombia near 10n75w to
across costa rica near 11n84w into the e pacific region. A broad
upper trough extending over the central atlc covers the e
caribbean e of 75w to just inland over n venezuela. This is
funneling in dry stable air aloft n of 12n e of 72w leaving that
area remarkably clear this morning. However. The strong
divergent flow to the w of the upper trough is generating
scattered showers/thunderstorms s of 15n between 76w-79w. The
surface ridge that covers the w atlc dips s over the far n
caribbean n of 18n between the mona passage and the yucatan
channel.
Atlantic ocean.
Tropical storm earl is rapidly moving ne but still remains a
concern for the canadian maritimes. See special features above.
Broad upper ridge that covers the gulf of mexico and the w
caribbean is anchored in the florida straits near 25n80w
covering the w atlc w of 75w. Tropical moisture is being drawn
across cuba and generating scattered showers/thunderstorms s of
25n across cuba e of 79w to across the florida keys. A surface
trough extends from the remnants of fiona. A 1014 mb low near
31n64w to 21n68w generating scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms within 60 nm either side of the trough s of 25n. A
surface ridge is to the w of this surface trough with a 1018 mb
high near 25n70w. However. A second surface trough is
developing at 03/0900 utc along 30n68w to 28n79w generating
scattered showers/thunderstorms from 26n-29n between 71w-79w.
An upper trough covers the central atlc with the axis extending
from 28n54w through an upper low near 20n60w continuing into the
e caribbean across the leeward/windward islands to the abc
islands. The upper low is generating scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms from 19n-21n between 61w-64w. A broad e/w upper
ridge covers the remainder of atlc s of 30n e of 55w anchored
near 22n37w. A broad surface ridge dominates the atlc n of 25n e
of 60w anchored n of the discussion area.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
paw
000
wtpz31 knhc 041159
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e intermediate advisory number
3a. Corrected
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
500 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
Correct direction from salina cruz
. Tropical depression moving farther inland over southeastern
mexico and weakening.
Summary of 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 16. 7n 95. 6w
about 50 mi. 80 km nnw of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 50 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 325 degrees at 9 mph. 15 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
All watches and warnings have been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
None
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 16. 7 north. Longitude 95. 6 west.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph. 15
km/hr. And this general motion is expected to continue during the
next day or two. On this track. The center of the depression is
expected to move farther inland over southeastern mexico today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph. 50 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast and the
depression is forecast to dissipate over southeastern mexico later
today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
abpz20 knhc 041159
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 am pdt sat sep 4 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression eleven-e. Located about 50 miles north-northwest of
salina cruz mexico. And has written the last advisory on tropical
depression ten-e. Located about 130 miles southwest of the
southern tip of baja california.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz31 knhc and awips header miatcpep1. Forecast/
advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz21 knhc and awips header miatcmep1.
$$
forecaster blake/beven
000
abnt20 knhc 041154
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt sat sep 4 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm earl. Located about 40 miles south of cape sable nova
scotia.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnants of
gaston continue to show signs of organization this morning.
Environmental conditions are conducive for re-development of this
system and a tropical depression could re-form in this area later
today or tonight. There is a high chance. 70 percent. Of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours
as it moves westward at about 10 mph.
An elongated area of low pressure located between the west coast of
africa and the cape verde islands has become less organized.
However. Environmental conditions could allow for some slow
development during the next couple of days. There is a low
chance. 20 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward near 10 mph.
An area of disturbed weather continues over the southern bay of
campeche. Development of this system. If any. Should be slow to
occur due to proximity to land. There is a low chance. 20
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtpz31 knhc 041152
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e intermediate advisory number 3a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
500 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
. Tropical depression moving farther inland over southeastern
mexico and weakening.
Summary of 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 16. 7n 95. 6w
about 50 mi. 80 km nw of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 50 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 325 degrees at 9 mph. 15 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
All watches and warnings have been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
None
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am pdt. 1200 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 16. 7 north. Longitude 95. 6 west.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph. 15
km/hr. And this general motion is expected to continue during the
next day or two. On this track. The center of the depression is
expected to move farther inland over southeastern mexico today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph. 50 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast and the
depression is forecast to dissipate over southeastern mexico later
today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. 29. 71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtnt32 knhc 041145
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl intermediate advisory number 40a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 am edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl very near nova scotia.
Summary of 800 am edt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 42. 9n 65. 8w
about 40 mi. 65 km s of cape sable nova scotia
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 45 degrees at 30 mph. 48 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 965 mb. 28. 50 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued for maine from
stonington to eastport.
The canadian hurricane centre has issued a hurricane watch for nova
scotia from ecum secum to point tupper.
The hurricane watch for nova scotia from digby to port maitland has
been discontinued.
The tropical storm warning for new brunswick from the u. S./canada
border to fundy national park has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* For nova scotia from port maitland to point tupper
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the fundy national park eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area outside the united
states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am edt. 1200 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 42. 9 north. Longitude 65. 8 west. Earl is
moving toward the northeast near 30 mph. 48 km/hr. And a general
northeastward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track. The
center of earl will move near or over nova scotia today.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
However. Earl is expected to become a very large and strong
extratropical low pressure system as it moves across the canadian
maritime provinces.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles. 335 km
from the center. Buoy 44024 located about 80 miles south of cape
sable reported a minimum pressure of 969 mb. 28. 61 inches.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. 28. 50 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions have reached the warning
area in the canadian maritimes and these conditions will continue
today.
Storm surge. Water levels will rise above normal values along the
south coast of nova scotia. Near the coasts. The surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over eastern maine. New brunswick. Nova
scotia. And prince edward island. With isolated maximum amounts
of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through today.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
acpn50 phfo 041134
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 am hst sat sep 4 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
1. Thunderstorm activity persisted near the point 11n 143w. Or
about 1000 miles southeast of hilo. Hawaii. Scatterometer data
showed a nearly complete circulation around this feature. Including
a small zone of true westerly winds to the southwest of the center.
However. The winds were weak overall. While the area of convection
remained small and showed no real organization. This system has a
low chance. 10 percent. Of developing into a tropical cyclone
within the next 48 hours.
Otherwise. No tropical cyclones are expected through late Sunday
night.
$$
Ryshko
000
axpz20 knhc 041016
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 utc sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10e is centered near 21. 5n 111. 3w moving
northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum sea level pressure is 1005
mb. Maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Refer
to the final nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the last public advisory under
miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details. Scattered moderate
convection is within 240 nm western quadrant. This system is
expected to dissipate today.
Tropical depression 11e is centered near 16. 4n 95. 4w moving
northwest at 8 kt. Estimated minimum sea level pressure is 1004
mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Refer
to the latest nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcmep1/wtpz21 knhc and the latest public advisory under
miatcpep1/wtpz31 knhc for more details. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is within 120 nm of the mexican coast from 95w
to 103w. This system is expected to move inland over southern
mexico today and dissipate.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 14n103w to 10n130w
to 11n140w. Scattered moderate convection is within 30 nm of the
axis from 121w to 126w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. Subtropical jet starts near 30n140w. And is between a
deep trough over the central pacific and an anticyclone near 31n
122w. The anticyclone is displaced north of its usual position.
And as a result moderate east winds prevail over most of the
discussion area. These winds are causing td 10e to rapidly weaken
from vertical shear. Winds over td 11e are broadly diffluent east
of 92w and are enhancing deep convection along the pacific coast
of mexico associated with the td. The upper level pattern changes
little over the next 24 hours. But by 36 hours a tutt cell is
forecast to break free from the upper trough and head eastward
while the high accelerates westward. Causing the jet to weaken.
The upper ridge is forecast to resume a normal position Tuesday.
Surface.
A weak ridge extends se from 32n13w to 19n127w. Scatterometer
data southerly flow south of the itcz and well developed monsoon
flow east of 105w feeding into td 11e along the coast of mexico.
Gfs model guidance shows 11e moving inland today then some of the
residual moisture and vorticity is spun up as a low in the gulf
of mexico around Monday. Model guidance indicates the itcz will
become convectively active over the next couple of days west of
110w while the strong sw monsoon winds subside east of 110w.
Marine. Gales are expected off the northern california coast
this weekend. Which will generate short period swells and seas
to 15 feet west of central california. 10 to 12 ft swells are
expected to reach 32n by Sunday night and spread southward into
the north central part of the discussion area Monday and Tuesday.
$$
mundell
000
wtnt32 knhc 040903
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 40. Corrected
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 am edt sat sep 04 2010
Corrected location in nova scotia to cape sable
. Earl bearing down on nova scotia.
Summary of 500 am edt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 41. 7n 67. 1w
about 145 mi. 230 km sw of cape sable nova scotia
about 160 mi. 255 km e of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 45 degrees at 30 mph. 48 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 965 mb. 28. 50 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued for massachusetts
and adjacent islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am edt. 0900 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 41. 7 north. Longitude 67. 1 west. Earl is
moving toward the northeast near 30 mph. 48 km/hr. And a general
northeastward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track. The
center of earl will reach the coast of nova scotia by late morning
or early afternoon today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
However. Earl is expected to remain a very large and strong
extratropical low pressure system as it moves across the canadian
maritime provinces.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles. 335 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. 28. 50 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will reach the warning area in
downeast maine later this morning. And spread into the warning
area in the canadian maritimes by late morning or early afternoon.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level along the downeast coast of maine. Water levels
will rise above normal values along the south coast of nova scotia.
Near the coasts. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over eastern new england. New brunswick. Nova
scotia. And prince edward island. With isolated maximum amounts
of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through today.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 am edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
wtpz35 knhc 040850
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 5
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
200 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
. Tropical depression ten-e now a remnant low.
Summary of 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 21. 5n 111. 3w
about 130 mi. 210 km sw of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 45 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 305 degrees at 8 mph. 13 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. The remnant low of tropical depression
ten-e was located near latitude 21. 5 north. Longitude 111. 3 west.
The remnant low is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph. 13
km/hr. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. 45 km/hr. With higher
gusts. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate on Sunday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
of tropical depression ten-e please see high seas forecasts issued
by the national weather service. Under awips header nfdhsfepi and
wmo header fzpn02 kwbc.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtpz25 knhc 040847
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 5
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
0900 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 21. 5n 111. 3w at 04/0900z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northwest or 305 degrees at 7 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 21. 5n 111. 3w at 04/0900z
at 04/0600z center was located near 21. 3n 111. 0w
Forecast valid 04/1800z 22. 1n 112. 6w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 22. 6n 114. 4w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1800z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 21. 5n 111. 3w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low of tropical depression ten0-e please see high seas forecasts
issued by the national weather service. Under awips header
nfdhsfepi and wmo header fzpn02 kwbc.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtpz31 knhc 040842
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
200 am pdt sat sep 04 2010
. Tropical depression moving inland over southeastern mexico.
Summary of 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 16. 4n 95. 4w
about 20 mi. 30 km nw of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 325 degrees at 9 mph. 15 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 16. 4 north. Longitude 95. 4 west.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph. 15
km/hr. And this general motion is expected to continue during the
next day or two. On this track. The center of the depression is
expected to move farther inland over southeastern mexico today and
tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Now that the depression has moved inland. Weakening is
forecast. The depression is forecast to dissipate over
southeastern mexico by early Sunday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm conditions are possibly affecting the coast
within the warning area at this time but will subside later this
morning.
Rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 500 am pdt.
Next complete advisory. 800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtpz21 knhc 040840
tcmep1
tropical depression eleven-e forecast/advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
0900 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Tropical depression center located near 16. 4n 95. 4w at 04/0900z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northwest or 325 degrees at 8 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1004 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 16. 4n 95. 4w at 04/0900z
at 04/0600z center was located near 16. 1n 95. 1w
Forecast valid 04/1800z 17. 2n 95. 7w. Inland
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 16. 4n 95. 4w
Next advisory at 04/1500z
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtnt32 knhc 040833
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 40
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 am edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl bearing down on nova scotia.
Summary of 500 am edt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 41. 7n 67. 1w
about 145 mi. 230 km sw of halifax nova scotia
about 160 mi. 255 km e of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 45 degrees at 30 mph. 48 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 965 mb. 28. 50 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued for massachusetts
and adjacent islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am edt. 0900 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 41. 7 north. Longitude 67. 1 west. Earl is
moving toward the northeast near 30 mph. 48 km/hr. And a general
northeastward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track. The
center of earl will reach the coast of nova scotia by late morning
or early afternoon today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph. 110 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
However. Earl is expected to remain a very large and strong
extratropical low pressure system as it moves across the canadian
maritime provinces.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles. 335 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb. 28. 50 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will reach the warning area in
downeast maine later this morning. And spread into the warning
area in the canadian maritimes by late morning or early afternoon.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level along the downeast coast of maine. Water levels
will rise above normal values along the south coast of nova scotia.
Near the coasts. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over eastern new england. New brunswick. Nova
scotia. And prince edward island. With isolated maximum amounts
of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through today.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 am edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
wtnt22 knhc 040831
tcmat2
tropical storm earl forecast/advisory number 40
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
0900 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued for massachusetts
and adjacent islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
Tropical storm center located near 41. 7n 67. 1w at 04/0900z
position accurate within 30 nm
Present movement toward the northeast or 45 degrees at 26 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 965 mb
max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 120se 100sw 80nw.
34 kt. 160ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
12 ft seas. 270ne 470se 470sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 41. 7n 67. 1w at 04/0900z
at 04/0600z center was located near 40. 8n 68. 3w
Forecast valid 04/1800z 45. 4n 63. 3w. Inland
max wind 55 kt. Gusts 65 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 110se 80sw 60nw.
34 kt. 160ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 50. 1n 58. 8w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 210ne 270se 270sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 54. 0n 55. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 210ne 150se 150sw 90nw.
Forecast valid 06/0600z 56. 0n 53. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 240ne 120se 120sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 07/0600z 56. 5n 55. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 0ne 0se 180sw 270nw.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 08/0600z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 41. 7n 67. 1w
Next advisory at 04/1500z
$$
forecaster stewart
000
acca62 tjsj 040620
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 am ast sabado 4 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre
tormenta tropical earl. Localizada como a 105 millas al seste
sureste de nantucket massachusetts.
La baja presion remanente gaston localizada alrededor de 1150 millas
al este de las islas de sotavento esta moviendose hacia el oeste a
cerca de 10 mph. Aguaceros y tronadas continuan desarrollandose
cerca del noroeste del centro de circulacion. Y las condiciones
ambientales son conducentes para desarrollo gradual. Si las tronadas
continuan formandose cerca del centro. Advertencias pueden ser
reiniciadas para este sistema mas tarde hoy. Existe una posibilidad
alta. 70 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon
tropical nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas.
Aguaceros y tronadas asociados con un area alrgada de baja presion
localizada entre la costa oeste de africa y las islas de cabo verde
ha cambiado poco durante la noche. Las condiciones ambientales
parecen ser marginalmente conducentes para un desarrollo lento de
este sistema durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad
mediana. 30 por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon
tropical durante las proximas 48 a medida que se mueva hacia el
noroeste a cerca de 10 mph.
Un disturbio se ha desarrollado a traves del sur de la bahia de
campeche. El desarrollo de este sistema. Si alguno. Debe ser lento
debido a la cercania a tierra. Hay una probabilidad baja. 10 por
ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical en
las proximas 48 horas a medida que se mueve al noroeste de 5 a 10
mph.
La circulacion remanente de la ex depresion tropical fiona esta
localizada a alrededor de 90 millas al sureste de bermuda. Las
condiciones ambientales no son favorables para regeneracion de este
sistema. Hay una probabilidad baja. Casi 0 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en un ciclon tropical en las proximas 48 horas
a medida que se mueve hacia el noroeste a 15-20 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador stewart
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 040609 cca
tcpsp3
Boletin. Correccion
depresion tropical fiona advertencia numero 18
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se convierte en una baja presion al sur de bermuda.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 31. 4 norte 64. 9 oeste
cerca de 60 millas. 100 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 30 mph. 45 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 25 grados a 14 mph. 22
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
no hay vigilancias ni avisos costeros en efecto.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro de la ex tormenta
tropical fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 31. 4 grados
norte. Longitud 64. 9 grados oeste. La baja presion se esta
moviendo hacia el nor noreste a 14 mph. 22 kilometros por horas. Se
espera que este movimiento continue durante las proximas 36 horas
con un aumento en la velocidad de traslacion antes de que se disipe
el lunes. En la trayectoria. La baja presion remanente de fiona
debe pasar cerca o al este de bermuda temprano durante el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 30 mph. 45 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica que la baja
presion se disipe el lunes.
La presion minima central es de 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
ninguno.
Proximo boletin
-------------
esta es la ultima advertencia emitida por el centro nacional de
huracanes.
$$
Pronosticadores roberts/brennan
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 040604
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 am edt sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0445 utc.
. Special features.
Hurricane earl was downgraded to tropical storm at 04/0300 utc.
Tropical storm earl is centered near 40. 6n 68. 3w at 04/0600 utc
or about 90 nm e-se of nantucket massachusetts and about 210 nm
sw of cape sable nova scotia moving ne at 26 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 960 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. See latest nhc intermediate public
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc and the
full forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22
knhc for more details. Heavy rain and possible isolated
thunderstorms cover the area n of 35n between 66w-73w including
the portions of new england from rhode island to maine.
Tropical depression fiona is centered near 31. 4n 64. 9w at
04/0300 utc or about 50 nm s of bermuda moving n-ne at 12 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. This is the last
advisory issued by the national hurricane center. For additional
Information see latest high seas forecasts issued by the
National weather service under awips/wmo headers nfdhsfat1/
Fznt01 kwbc. There is no deep convection remaining for fiona
only a small low level cloud swirl.
The remnant low of gaston is centered near 15n43w about 1000 nm
e of the leeward islands moving w near 9 kt. The low level
center appears to b just under the se portion of the deep
convection. Low is embedded within an area of deep layered
moisture as indicated by the total precipitable water imagery.
Scattered strong convection is from 15n-18n between 43w-46w.
Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development.
If thunderstorms continue to form near the center. Then
advisories could be re-initiated on this system later today.
There is a high chance of this system becoming a tropical
cyclone again during the next 48 hours.
A tropical wave is approaching the cape verde islands extending
from 20n20w through a 1006 mb low near 17n21w to 10n24w. Wave is
embedded within a broad area of deep layered moisture as
indicated by the total precipitable water imagery e of a line
from western sahara across the cape verde islands to near
10n29w. Scattered/numerous strong convection is to the e of the
wave axis within 45/60 nm of line from 19n18w to 16n21w with
clusters of scattered moderate/isolated strong convection within
200 nm w of the wave axis from 10n-15n. The activity associated
with this elongated area of lower pressure has changed little
tonight. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for
some slow development during the next couple of days. There is a
medium chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during
the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward near 10 mph.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis extends from 9n21w 7n28w 11n35w then resumes near
12n40w 10n51w 8n61w. Scattered moderate/strong convection is
from 3n-9n between 26w-33w. Clusters of scattered moderate
convection are from 6n-10n between 40w-46w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
An elongated cut-off upper low is over the w gulf extending from
vermilion bay louisiana to the w bay of campeche near 20n95w. A
surface trough is just to the e of the upper trough extending
from 26n88w along 22n93w to the coast of s mexico near 18n94w.
An upper ridge covers the remainder of the gulf waters anchored
in the florida straits near 25n80w and extending an axis nnw to
over s georgia. Diffluence aloft combined with surface
converging flow continues to generate scattered showers and
possible isolated thunderstorms within 120 nm of line from
29n87w to 20n93w and scattered showers/thunderstorms are s of
20n to inland over s mexico e of 95w to the yucatan peninsula. A
deep layered trough covers most of the e half u. S. With the
exception of the far se supporting a cold front that extends
across central alabama. S mississippi. To just inland along
the coast of louisiana and texas. A pre-frontal surface trough
extends from lake charles louisiana along 27n96w to inland over
mexico near 24n98w with isolated showers w of surface trough.
The cold front is expected to enter the gulf later this morning
bringing drier air in its wake. As the s gulf will continue to
experience showers/thunderstorms as tropical depression eleven-e
currently in the gulf of tehuantepec moves nw to over mexico.
Caribbean sea.
A broad upper ridge anchored in the florida straits near
25n80w covers the caribbean w of 73w and extends to over the
gulf of mexico providing mostly e to se upper level flow.
Abundance of tropical moisture aloft remains across the w
caribbean and combined with diffluence aloft are generating an
area of scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms n of 18n to
over cuba between 77w-85w. A surface trough extends across the
central caribbean from 16n76w to panama near 9n79w. Dense high
clouds dominate the w caribbean from 70w-84w with underlying
scattered showers beneath. A broad upper trough extending over
the central atlc covers the e caribbean e of 73w to the coast of
venezuela. This is funneling in dry stable air aloft n of 13n e
of 70w leaving the area remarkably clear tonight including the
lesser antilles and puerto rico. The surface ridge that covers
the w atlc extends over the ne caribbean n of 17n e of jamaica.
Atlantic ocean.
Tropical storm earl is rapidly moving ne but still remains a
concern for new england states and the canadian maritimes. See
special features above. Broad upper ridge that covers the gulf
of mexico and the w caribbean is anchored in the florida straits
near 25n80w covering the w atlc w of 73w. An upper trough covers
the central atlc with the axis extending from 30n49w through an
upper low near 20n58w continuing into the e caribbean across the
n leeward islands. The upper low is generating scattered
showers/isolated thunderstorms within 45 nm of line from 22n56w
to 19n59w. A broad e/w upper ridge covers the remainder of atlc
s of 30n e of 50w anchored near 23n36w. A broad surface ridge
dominates the atlc n of 20n e of 60w anchored n of the
discussion area and from 18n-28n between 60w-78w anchored by a
1019 mb high near 23n65w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
paw
000
abnt20 knhc 040559
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt sat sep 4 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded tropical storm earl. Located about 105 miles
east-southwest of nantucket massachusetts.
The remnant low of gaston located about 1150 miles east of the
leeward islands is moving westward at around 10 mph. Showers and
thunderstorms have continued to increase near and to the northwest
of the center of circulation. And environmental conditions are
conducive for gradual development. If thunderstorms continue to
form near the center. Then advisories could be re-initiated on
this system later today. There is a high chance. 70 percent.
Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next
48 hours.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
pressure located between the west coast of africa and the cape
verde islands have changed little this evening. Environmental
conditions are marginally conducive for some slow development
during the next couple of days. There is a medium chance. 30
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours as it moves northwestward near 10 mph.
An area of disturbed weather has developed over the southern bay of
campeche. Development of this system. If any. Should be slow to
occur due to proximity to land. There is a low chance. 10
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
The remnant circulation of former tropical depression fiona is
located about 90 miles southeast of bermuda. Environmental
conditions are currently unfavorable for regeneration of this
system. There is a low chance. Near 0 percent. Of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it
moves northeastward at 15 to 20 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
abpz20 knhc 040550
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 pm pdt fri sep 3 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression ten-e. Located about 165 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of baja california. And on tropical depression
eleven-e. Located about 20 miles south-southeast of salina cruz
mexico.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and awips header miatcpep5. Forecast/advisories
on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo header wtpz25
knhc and awips header miatcmep5.
Public advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz31 knhc and awips header miatcpep1. Forecast/
advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz21 knhc and awips header miatcmep1.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtnt32 knhc 040548
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl intermediate advisory number 39a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
200 am edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl accelerating to the northeast. Expected to bring
rain and strong winds to portions of nova scotia.
Summary of 200 am edt. 0600 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 40. 6n 68. 3w
about 105 mi. 165 km ese of nantucket massachusetts
about 240 mi. 390 km sw of cape sable nova scotia
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 50 degrees at 30 mph. 48 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 960 mb. 28. 35 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Watch hill rhode island eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard. Nantucket island.
And block island
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am edt. 0600 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located was loctaed by satellite and doppler radar to be near
latitude 40. 6 north. Longitude 68. 3 west. Earl is moving toward
the northeast near 30 mph. 48 km/hr. And a general northeastward
motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over
the next day or so. On the forecast track. The center of earl will
reach the coast of nova scotia by early afternoon today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph. 110 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.
Earl is a large tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend
outward up to 205 miles. 335 km from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb. 28. 35 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will gradually subside over
eastern massachusetts this morning. Tropical storm conditions will
reach the warning area in downeast maine later this morning. And
spread into the warning area in the canadian maritimes by early
afternoon.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level around cape cod. Especially in cape cod bay.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inch rainfall
accumulations over eastern new england. With isolated maximum
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through today.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 am edt.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
wtpz31 knhc 040548
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e intermediate advisory number 2a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
1100 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression approaching the coast of southeastern
mexico.
Summary of 1100 pm pdt. 0600 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 15. 8n 95. 1w
about 20 mi. 30 km sse of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 305 degrees at 7 mph. 11 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm pdt. 0600 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was re-located near latitude 15. 8 north. Longitude 95. 1
west. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7
mph. 11 km/hr. This general motion with a turn toward the
northwest is expected over the next day or so. On this track. The
center of the depression is expected to cross the coast within the
warning area today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast. And the depression could
become a tropical storm before moving inland later today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area this morning.
Rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 200 am pdt.
$$
forecaster kimberlain/stewart
000
wtnt32 knhc 040548
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl intermediate advisory number 39a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
200 am edt sat sep 04 2010
. Earl accelerating to the northeast. Expected to bring
rain and strong winds to portions of nova scotia.
Summary of 200 am edt. 0600 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 40. 6n 68. 3w
about 105 mi. 165 km ese of nantucket massachusetts
about 240 mi. 390 km sw of cape sable nova scotia
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 50 degrees at 30 mph. 48 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 960 mb. 28. 35 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Watch hill rhode island eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard. Nantucket island.
And block island
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence. And from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am edt. 0600 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located was loctaed by satellite and doppler radar to be near
latitude 40. 6 north. Longitude 68. 3 west. Earl is moving toward
the northeast near 30 mph. 48 km/hr. And a general northeastward
motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over
the next day or so. On the forecast track. The center of earl will
reach the coast of nova scotia by early afternoon today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph. 110 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.
Earl is a large tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend
outward up to 205 miles. 335 km from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb. 28. 35 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will gradually subside over
eastern massachusetts this morning. Tropical storm conditions will
reach the warning area in downeast maine later this morning. And
spread into the warning area in the canadian maritimes by early
afternoon.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level around cape cod. Especially in cape cod bay.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inch rainfall
accumulations over eastern new england. With isolated maximum
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through today.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 am edt.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
wtpz31 knhc 040548
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e intermediate advisory number 2a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
1100 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression approaching the coast of southeastern
mexico.
Summary of 1100 pm pdt. 0600 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 15. 8n 95. 1w
about 20 mi. 30 km sse of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 305 degrees at 7 mph. 11 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm pdt. 0600 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was re-located near latitude 15. 8 north. Longitude 95. 1
west. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7
mph. 11 km/hr. This general motion with a turn toward the
northwest is expected over the next day or so. On this track. The
center of the depression is expected to cross the coast within the
warning area today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast. And the depression could
become a tropical storm before moving inland later today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area this morning.
Rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 200 am pdt.
$$
forecaster kimberlain/stewart
000
acpn50 phfo 040530
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 pm hst fri sep 3 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday evening.
$$
Ryshko
000
axpz20 knhc 040324
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
0500 utc sat sep 04 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0245 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10e is centered at 04/0300 utc near 20. 7n
110. 9w moving west-northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum sea
level pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 25 kt
with gusts to 35 kt. Refer to the latest nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate convection is within 240 nm w quadrant. This
system is forecast to dissipate in 48 hours.
Tropical depression 11e is centered at 04/0300 utc near 15. 5n
95. 2w moving west northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum sea level
pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with
gusts up to 40 kt. Refer to the latest nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep1/wtpz21 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep1/wtpz31 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is within 120 nm sw
quadrant. This system is forecast to move inland tomorrow
morning. And dissipate in 36 hours.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 14n100w to 10n122w
to 11n140w. Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm s of
axis between 100w and 122w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. Anticyclonic flow prevails over the northern half of the
forecast area with the upper level anticyclone centered near
28n124w with water vapor imagery indicating dry air n of 25n. A
ridge axis extends sw to 21n140w. Ne upper level flow prevails
across the deep tropics. This flow is advecting upper level
moisture from active convection of tropical depression 11-e and
the itcz westward.
Surface.
A 1024 mb high is centered near 36n140w. A weak ridge axis
extends se to near 19n121w. Tropical depression 11-e is forecast
to move inland within 24 hours. And dissipate in 36 hours.
Fresh sw monsoonal flow prevails over the area south of
15n. And is expected to persist another 24 to 48 hours. Cross
equatorial swells of 8 ft s of 08n e of 130w will diminish west
of 115w. But will prevail through the weekend e of 115w.
$$
al
000
wtca43 tjsj 040319
tcpsp3
Boletin
depresion tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 17a
ws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se convierte en una baja presion al sur de bermuda.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 31. 4 norte 64. 9 oeste
cerca de 60 millas. 100 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 30 mph. 45 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 25 grados a 14 mph. 22
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
no hay vigilancias ni avisos costeros en efecto.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro de la ex tormenta
tropical fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 31. 4 grados
norte. Longitud 64. 9 grados oeste. La baja presion se esta
moviendo hacia el nor noreste a 14 mph. 22 kilometros por horas. Se
espera que este movimiento continue durante las proximas 36 horas
con un aumento en la velocidad de traslacion antes de que se disipe
el lunes. En la trayectoria. La baja presion remanente de fiona
debe pasar cerca o al este de bermuda temprano durante el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 30 mph. 45 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica que la baja
presion se disipe el lunes.
La presion minima central es de 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
ninguno.
Proximo boletin
-------------
esta es la ultima advertencia emitida por el centro nacional de
huracanes.
$$
Pronosticadores roberts/brennan
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtpz31 knhc 040244
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
800 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression producing heavy rain across portions of
southern mexico.
Summary of 800 pm pdt. 0300 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 15. 5n 95. 2w
about 50 mi. 80 km s of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 300 degrees at 6 mph. 9 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm pdt. 0300 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 15. 5 north. Longitude 95. 2 west.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph. 9
km/hr. This general motion with a turn toward the northwest is
expected over the next day or so. On this track. The center of
the system is expected to cross the coast within the warning area
on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast. And the depression could
become a tropical storm before moving inland on Saturday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area early Saturday.
Rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 1100 pm pdt.
Next complete advisory. 200 am pdt.
$$
forecaster berg/brennan
000
wtpz21 knhc 040242
tcmep1
tropical depression eleven-e forecast/advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Tropical depression center located near 15. 5n 95. 2w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 300 degrees at 5 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 15. 5n 95. 2w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 15. 3n 94. 5w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 16. 0n 95. 7w. Inland
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 30ne 45se 30sw 30nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 16. 8n 96. 1w. Inland
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 15. 5n 95. 2w
Next advisory at 04/0900z
$$
forecaster berg/brennan
000
wtpz35 knhc 040241
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 4
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
800 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression ten-e weakens.
Summary of 800 pm pdt. 0300 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 20. 7n 110. 9w
about 165 mi. 265 km ssw of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 45 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 300 degrees at 6 mph. 9 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm pdt. 0300 utc. The center of tropical depression ten-e
was located near latitude 20. 7 north. Longitude 110. 9 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph. 9 km/hr.
This general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
over the next day or so.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph. 45 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the
next day or so. The depression could become a remnant low on
Saturday and then degenerate into a trough by Sunday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 200 am pdt.
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtnt33 knhc 040237
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical depression fiona advisory number 18
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast fri sep 03 2010
. Fiona becomes a remnant low south of bermuda.
Summary of 1100 pm ast. 0300 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 31. 4n 64. 9w
about 60 mi. 100 km s of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 45 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 25 degrees at 14 mph. 22 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1013 mb. 29. 91 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm ast. 0300 utc. The center of the remnant low associated
with former tropical depression fiona was located near latitude 31. 4
north. Longitude 64. 9 west. The remnant low is moving toward the
north-northeast near 14 mph. 22 km/hr. This motion is expected to
continue during the next 36 hours with some increase in forward
speed before the low dissipates on Monday. On the forecast track
. The remnant low is expected to pass near or east of bermuda
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. 45 km/hr. With higher
gusts. The low is expected to dissipate on Monday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb. 29. 91 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in high seas forecasts issued by the national weather service
. Under awips header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
wtnt32 knhc 040236
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm earl advisory number 39
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1100 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
. Earl weakens to a tropical storm. Expected to bring rain and
strong winds to portions of new england and atlantic canada.
Summary of 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 40. 0n 69. 7w
about 90 mi. 150 km sse of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 70 mph. 110 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 35 degrees at 25 mph. 41 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 958 mb. 28. 29 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The hurricane warning from woods hole massachusetts eastward around
cape cod to sagamore beach massachusetts. Including marthas
vineyard and nantucket island has been changed to a tropical storm
warning.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued west of watch hill
rhode island and for all of long island.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Watch hill rhode island eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard. Nantucket island. And
block island
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to canada. Please
monitor products issued by environment canada.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. The center of tropical storm earl was
located near latitude 40. 0 north. Longitude 69. 7 west. Earl is
moving toward the northeast near 25 mph. 41 km/hr. And a general
northeastward or north-northeastward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected over the next day or so. On the forecast
track. Earl will pass offshore of cape cod overnight and reach the
coast of nova scotia on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph. 110 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.
Earl is a large tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend
outward up to 205 miles. 335 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a noaa hurricane
hunter aircraft was 958 mb. 28. 29 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will spread into the tropical
storm warning area from rhode island to coastal massachusetts
tonight. Tropical storm conditions will reach the warning area in
downeast maine early Saturday. And spread into the warning area in
the canadian maritimes on Saturday.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level from new jersey northward to cape cod including
long island sound. Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inch rainfall
accumulations over eastern new england. With isolated maximum
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states from new jersey northward through Saturday.
These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 am edt.
Next complete advisory. 500 am edt.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
wtnt22 knhc 040232
tcmat2
tropical storm earl forecast/advisory number 39
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The hurricane warning from woods hole massachusetts eastward around
cape cod to sagamore beach massachusetts. Including marthas
vineyard and nantucket island has been changed to a tropical storm
warning.
The tropical storm warning has been discontinued west of watch hill
rhode island and for all of long island.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Watch hill rhode island eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard. Nantucket island. And
block island
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
Tropical storm center located near 40. 0n 69. 7w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northeast or 35 degrees at 22 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 958 mb
max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 120se 100sw 80nw.
34 kt. 160ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
12 ft seas. 270ne 470se 470sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 40. 0n 69. 7w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 38. 9n 70. 9w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 43. 1n 66. 6w
max wind 55 kt. Gusts 65 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 110se 80sw 60nw.
34 kt. 160ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 48. 2n 61. 6w. Post-tropical
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 170ne 180se 150sw 60nw.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 52. 5n 56. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 60sw 30nw.
Forecast valid 06/0000z 55. 5n 54. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 210ne 150se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 07/0000z 57. 0n 57. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 0ne 120se 120sw 240nw.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 08/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 40. 0n 69. 7w
Next advisory at 04/0900z
$$
forecaster brennan
000
wtpz25 knhc 040231
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 4
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 20. 7n 110. 9w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 300 degrees at 5 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 20. 7n 110. 9w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 20. 5n 110. 5w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 21. 0n 112. 0w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 21. 4n 113. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 21. 8n 115. 5w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 20. 7n 110. 9w
Next advisory at 04/0900z
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtnt23 knhc 040231
tcmat3
tropical depression fiona forecast/advisory number 18
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 31. 4n 64. 9w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 25 degrees at 12 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1013 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 31. 4n 64. 9w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 30. 9n 65. 2w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 33. 0n 64. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 35. 2n 62. 6w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 38. 2n 60. 9w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 31. 4n 64. 9w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in high seas forecasts issued by the national weather service
. Under awips header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
wtpz25 knhc 040231
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 4
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 20. 7n 110. 9w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 300 degrees at 5 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 20. 7n 110. 9w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 20. 5n 110. 5w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 21. 0n 112. 0w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 21. 4n 113. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 21. 8n 115. 5w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 20. 7n 110. 9w
Next advisory at 04/0900z
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtnt23 knhc 040231
tcmat3
tropical depression fiona forecast/advisory number 18
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
0300 utc sat sep 04 2010
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 31. 4n 64. 9w at 04/0300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 25 degrees at 12 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1013 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 31. 4n 64. 9w at 04/0300z
at 04/0000z center was located near 30. 9n 65. 2w
Forecast valid 04/1200z 33. 0n 64. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 35. 2n 62. 6w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 38. 2n 60. 9w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 31. 4n 64. 9w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in high seas forecasts issued by the national weather service
. Under awips header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
axnt20 knhc 040000
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 utc.
. Special features.
Hurricane earl is centered near 39. 1n 70. 8w at 04/0000 utc about
135 nm ssw of nantucket massachusetts moving ne at 20 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 65 kt with gusts to 80 kt. See latest nhc
intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc for more details.
Scattered strong convection is from 38n-40n between 70w-72w.
Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 38n-44n between
68w-75w.
Tropical depression fiona is centered near 30. 9n 65. 2w at
04/0000 utc or about 90 nm ssw of bermuda moving nne at 14 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. See latest nhc
intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcpat3/wtnt33 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat3/wtnt23 knhc for more details. Deep
convection near fiona has mostly dissipated. A small area of
moderate convection remains sw of the center from 27n-29n
between 66w-69w.
The remnant low gaston is near 15n42w moving w near 9 kt.
Environmental conditions are favorable for slow development and
a tropical depression could re-form as it moves westward during
the next couple of days. Scattered moderate/strong convection
has increased nw of the center from 14n-17n between 42w-45w.
An active tropical wave is between the wrn coast of africa and
the cape verde islands along 19n18w to 9n23w. Satellite imagery
indicates broad low-level cyclonic flow around the wave axis
concentrated near a 1006 mb low along the axis near 15n19w. The
wave is embedded within a large maximum in deep layer moisture
covering the area between the coast and 28w. A cluster of strong
convection is near the nrn tip of the wave axis from 20n-23n
between 13w-17w. Similar activity is w of the low center from
13n-16n between 21w-25w. Environmental conditions remain
marginally favorable for development into a tropical cyclone
over the next couple of days.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave is off the wrn coast of africa. See special
features above for more details.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis extends from guinea near 11n14w along 7n22w 9n32w
12n39w 6n59w. Scattered moderate/strong convection is from
4n-10n between 23w-33w. Isolated moderate convection is from
7n-11n between 40w-52w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
A narrow upper level shortwave trough is across the wrn gulf of
mexico lying s of a longwave upper trough covering the ern
conus. The shortwave upper trough supports a surface trough
extending from the sw gulf near 22n95w across srn mexico into
the gulf of tehuantepec. A combination of surface convergence
near the trough along with diffluence aloft is supporting an
area of strong showers/thunderstorms across the yucatan
peninsula from 17n-22n between 88w-92w. And s of 19n between
92w-96w. Scattered showers/thunderstorms also extend down the
ern coast of mexico. The area of diffluence aloft is also
supporting isolated showers/thunderstorms in the ne gulf from
24n-30n between 84w-92w. Showers/thunderstorms are approaching
the texas coastline ahead of cold front extending across much of
the ern conus associated with the aforementioned longwave upper
trough. Elsewhere. A weak surface ridge extends over the ne
gulf around a 1017 mb high s of mobile alabama near 30n88w.
Aloft. An upper level ridge covers the ern gulf centered over
the nw bahamas near 25n78w. Expect showers/thunderstorms to
continue across the sw gulf as newly formed tropical depression
eleven-e. Currently in the gulf of tehuantepec near 15. 1n
94. 3w. Moves nw.
Caribbean sea.
Showers/thunderstorms cover much of cuba due to daytime heating
and instability. Similar activity also covers much of
hispaniola. A surface trough is in the central caribbean
extending from 16n75w to inland colombia near 10n75w. A maximum
in deep layer moisture evident in total precipitable water
imagery accompanies the trough between 72w-80w. This area of
enhanced moisture can be traced back to the tropical wave that
developed into tropical storm fiona several days ago. Isolated
showers/thunderstorms are within 90 nm either side of the trough
axis. Aloft. A broad upper level ridge centered over the nw
bahamas covers much of the central and wrn caribbean while an
upper level trough centered ne of the leeward islands covers the
ern caribbean associated with dry air aloft. Expect
showers/thunderstorms to continue near the surface trough over
the central caribbean with mostly fair conditions elsewhere over
the next 24 hrs.
Atlantic ocean.
A few isolated showers/thunderstorms are across the bahamas
around a weak 1021 mb high centered near 25n68w. Tropical storm
fiona is to the n of the ridge. See special features above.
Moisture trails from fiona southward to the caribbean supporting
cloudiness and possible showers/thunderstorms between 65w-72w.
Aloft. An upper level ridge covers the far sw atlc centered
over the nw bahamas near 25n78w. An upper level trough is to the
e centered ne of the leeward islands near 20n57w. Farther
e. Weak and broad surface ridging is across the basin
maintaining fair conditions n of 20n. Aloft. A broad upper
level ridge covers the e atlc centered near 22n28w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
walton
000
acca62 tjsj 040000
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado como a 155 millas al sur suroeste en
nantucket massachusetts. Y sobre la recientemente degradada
depresion tropical fiona. Localizada cerca de 100 millas al sur
suroeste de bermuda.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas ha aumentado en asociacion con
los remanentes de gaston localizados entre las islas de cabo verde y
las antillas menores. Las condiciones ambientales favorecen el
desarrollo lento y pudiera convertirse en depresion tropical
nuevamente durante los proximos dias a medida que se mueva hacia el
oeste a cerca de 10 mph. Existe una posibilidad alta. 60 por
ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical
nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas.
Aguaceros y tronadas asociados con un area de baja presion
localizada entre la costa oeste de africa y las islas de cabo verde
ha cambiado poco durante el anochecer. Las condiciones ambientales
parecen ser conducentes para un desarrollo lento de este sistema
durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad mediana. 30 por
ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical durante
las proximas 48 a medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste a cerca de
10 mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores roberts/brennan
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abnt20 knhc 032353
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt fri sep 3 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
earl. Located about 155 miles south-southwest of nantucket
massachusetts. And on recently downgraded tropical depression
fiona. Located about 100 miles south-southwest of bermuda.
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with the
remnant low of gaston. Which is located about halfway between the
cape verde islands and the lesser antilles. Environmental
conditions are conducive for gradual development. And a tropical
depression could re-form during the next couple of days as the
system moves westward at around 10 mph. There is a high chance
. 60 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone again
during the next 48 hours.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located between the west coast of africa and the cape verde islands
have changed little this evening. Environmental conditions appear
marginally conducive for some slow development during the next
couple of days. There is a medium chance. 30 percent. Of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it
moves northwestward near 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
wtca43 tjsj 032351
tcpsp3
Boletin
depresion tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 17a
ws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
800 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Avion cazahuracanes encuentra fiona mas debil. Es ahora una
depresion tropical.
Resumen de las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 30. 9 norte 65. 2 oeste
cerca de 100 millas. 160 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 35 mph. 55 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 20 grados a 16 mph. 26
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
El servicio meteorologico de bermuda ha descontinuado el aviso de
tormenta tropical para bermuda.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
No hay vigilancias o avisos en efecto sobre tierra
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 30. 9 grados norte.
Longitud 65. 2 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el nor
noreste a 16 mph. 26 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este
movimiento continue durante las proximas 48 horas con un aumento en
la velocidad de traslacion. En la trayectoria. La depresion o la
baja presion remanente de fiona debe pasar cerca o al este de
bermuda temprano durante el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos han disminuido cerca de 35 mph. 55
kilometros por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica un
debilitamiento adicional y fiona pudiera degenerar hasta remanente
para esta noche o temprano en el sabado.
La ultima presion minima central resportada por el avion
cazahuracanes es de 1013 milibaras. 29. 91 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 pulgada o menos son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia completa. 11:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador roberts/brennan
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
acpn50 phfo 032345
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 pm hst fri sep 3 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday afternoon.
$$
Brenchley
000
abpz20 knhc 032341
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt fri sep 3 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression ten-e. Located about 195 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of baja california. Advisories have also been
initiated on tropical depression eleven-e. Located about 95 miles
southeast of salina cruz mexico.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and awips header miatcpep5. Forecast/advisories
on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo header wtpz25
knhc and awips header miatcmep5.
Public advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz31 knhc and awips header miatcpep1. Forecast/
advisories on tropical depression eleven-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz21 knhc and awips header miatcmep1.
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtnt32 knhc 032340
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 38a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
. Earl continues to slowly weaken. Rain and wind spreading over
long island and southeastern new england.
Summary of 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 39. 1n 70. 8w
about 155 mi. 250 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 75 mph. 120 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 40 degrees at 23 mph. 37 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 961 mb. 28. 38 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united states
. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please monitor
products issued by your local national weather service forecast
office. For storm information specific to canada. Please monitor
products issued by environment canada.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 39. 1 north. Longitude 70. 8 west. Earl is moving
toward the northeast near 23 mph. 37 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed with a turn toward the northeast is expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. Earl will be very near
or just east of cape cod later tonight and reach the coast of nova
scotia on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph. 120 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Earl is a category one hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Additional weakening is
forecast. But earl is expected remain a large tropical cyclone as
it approaches southeastern new england and nova scotia tonight and
Saturday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. 28. 38 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical storm conditions will spread into the tropical
storm warning area from long island to massachusetts this evening
and tonight. On the forecast track. Most of the hurricane-force
winds will remain offshore of cape cod. However only a small
deviation to the left of the forecast track would bring hurricane
conditions to the hurricane warning area tonight. Tropical storm
conditions will reach the warning area in maine early Saturday
. And spread across the warning area in the canadian maritimes on
Saturday.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above ground level from new jersey northward to cape cod including
long island sound. Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves. Water levels will continue to
subside from the outer banks of north carolina to delaware bay.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inch rainfall
accumulations over eastern new england. With isolated maximum
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states tonight. These swells will likely cause
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster brennan
000
wtnt33 knhc 032339
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical depression fiona intermediate advisory number 17a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
800 pm ast fri sep 03 2010
. Hurricane hunter aircraft finds fiona weaker. Now a tropical
depression.
Summary of 800 pm ast. 0000 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 30. 9n 65. 2w
about 100 mi. 160 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 16 mph. 26 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1013 mb. 29. 91 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The bermuda weather service has discontinued the tropical storm
warning for bermuda.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm ast. 0000 utc. The center of tropical depression fiona
was located near latitude 30. 9 north. Longitude 65. 2 west. Fiona
is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph. 26 km/hr. And
this motion is expected to continue during the next 48 hours with
some increase in forward speed. On the forecast track. The
depression or remnant low is expected to pass near or east of
bermuda early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph. 55 km/hr
. With higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected and fiona
could degenerate to a remnant low tonight or tomorrow morning.
The latest central pressure reported by an air force reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is 1013 mb. 29. 91 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 inch or less are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster roberts/brennan
000
axpz20 knhc 032255 aaa
twdep
Tropical weather discussion. Updated
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
2300 utc fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 utc.
Updated special features section
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10-e is centered at 03/2100 utc near 20. 2n
110. 9w moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Estimated minimum sea
level pressure is 1001 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt
with gusts to 40 kt. Refer to the latest nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate convection is from 19n to 22n between 112w
and 115w.
Newly formed tropical depression 11-e is centered at 03/2300 utc
near 15. 1n 94. 3w moving northwest at 2 kt. Estimated minimum sea
level pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt
with gusts up to 40 kt. Refer to the lates nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep1/wtpz21 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep1/wtpz31 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 11n to 17n
between 93w and 100w to include coastal areas of guatemala and s
mexico.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 14n103w to 10n120w
to 10n140w. Scattered moderate within 180 nm s of axis and 60 nm
n of axis between 106w and 121w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An anticyclone is centered near 30n123w with strong
subsidence. A ridge axis extends sw to 17n140w. Tropical
depression 10-e is embedded in moderate easterly flow aloft
south of the upper ridge. Divergent flow over southern mexico is
enhancing itcz convection over s mexico. Guatemala. And the
gulf of tehuantepec. Water vapor imagery shows significant upper
air moisture s of 23n e of 120w to colombia.
Surface.
A 1024 mb high is centered near 36n140w. A weak ridge axis
extends se to near 23n115w. Fresh sw monsoonal flow prevails
over the area south of tropical depression 10-e to include the
gulf of tehuantepec. And is expected to persist another 24 to
48 hours. Model guidance suggest an active itcz will continue
across nearly the entire basin from 100w to 140w. Roughly along
10n. But winds and seas are expected to gradually subside.
$$
al/formosa
000
wtpz31 knhc 032255
tcpep1
bulletin
tropical depression eleven-e special advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
400 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression forms over the gulf of tehuantepec. Tropical
storm warning issued for the southern coast of mexico.
Summary of 400 pm pdt. 2300 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 15. 1n 94. 3w
about 95 mi. 155 km se of salina cruz mexico
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 315 degrees at 2 mph. 4 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The government of mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for the
coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to puerto
angel.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
For storm information specific to mexico. Including possible inland
watches and warnings. Please monitor products issued by the
meteorological service of mexico.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 400 pm pdt. 2300 utc. The center of tropical depression
eleven-e was located near latitude 15. 1 north. Longitude 94. 3 west.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph. 4 km/hr.
This general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is
expected over the next day or so. On this track. The center of
the depression is expected to cross the coast within the warning
area on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast. And the depression could
become a tropical storm before moving inland on Saturday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area early Saturday.
Rainfall. The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the mexican state of oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in higher
elevations. Which could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster berg/brennan
000
wtpz21 knhc 032247
tcmep1
tropical depression eleven-e special forecast/advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep112010
2300 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The government of mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for the
coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to puerto
angel.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of southern mexico from boca de pijijiapan westward to
puerto angel
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.
Tropical depression center located near 15. 1n 94. 3w at 03/2300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northwest or 315 degrees at 2 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 15. 1n 94. 3w at 03/2300z
at 03/1800z center was located near 14. 9n 94. 1w
Forecast valid 04/0600z 15. 5n 94. 6w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 45ne 45se 30sw 45nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 16. 8n 95. 6w. Inland
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 15. 1n 94. 3w
Next advisory at 04/0300z
$$
forecaster berg/brennan
000
abpz20 knhc 032215
twoep
special tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
315 pm pdt fri sep 3 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Special outlook issued to updated discussion of low pressure area
over the gulf of tehuantepec.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression ten-e. Located about 195 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of baja california.
Updated. Geostationary and microwave satellite imagery indicate
that the area of low pressure over the gulf of tehuantepec has
become better organized. And a tropical depression may be forming.
If current trends continue. Advisories will be initiated later
this afternoon or this evening. And tropical storm watches or
warnings will likely be required for portions of the southern coast
of mexico. There is a high chance. 90 percent. Of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it drifts
northward or northwestward. Regardless of development. Heavy rain
is likely over portions of southeastern mexico and guatemala during
the next couple of days. Which may cause flash floods and
mudslides.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and under awips header miatcpep5.
Forecast/advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz25 knhc and under awips header miatcmep5.
$$
forecaster brennan/berg
000
axpz20 knhc 032148
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
2205 utc fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10-e is centered at 03/2100 utc near 20. 2n
110. 9w moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Estimated minimum sea
level pressure is 1001 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt
with gusts to 40 kt. Refer to the latest nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate convection is from 19n to 22n between 112w
and 115w.
A 1006 mb low is over the gulf of tehuantepec near 15n95w
drifting n. Conditions are favorable for further development and
there is a medium chance for this low to become a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland during the next 24 hours.
Presently scattered moderate to strong convection is from 11n to
17n between 93w and 100w to include coastal areas of guatemala
and s mexico.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 14n103w to 10n120w
to 10n140w. Scattered moderate within 180 nm s of axis and 60 nm
n of axis between 106w and 121w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An anticyclone is centered near 30n123w with strong
subsidence. A ridge axis extends sw to 17n140w. Tropical
depression 10-e is embedded in moderate easterly flow aloft
south of the upper ridge. Divergent flow over southern mexico is
enhancing itcz convection over s mexico. Guatemala. And the
gulf of tehuantepec. Water vapor imagery shows significant upper
air moisture s of 23n e of 120w to colombia.
Surface.
A 1024 mb high is centered near 36n140w. A weak ridge axis
extends se to near 23n115w. Fresh sw monsoonal flow prevails
over the area south of tropical depression 10-e to include the
gulf of tehuantepec. And is expected to persist another 24 to
48 hours. Model guidance suggest an active itcz will continue
across nearly the entire basin from 100w to 140w. Roughly along
10n. But winds and seas are expected to gradually subside.
$$
formosa
000
wtca43 tjsj 032053
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 17
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
500 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona continua debilitandose. Se espera que pase cerca dde
bermuda durante la noche.
Resumen de las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 29. 5 norte 65. 5 oeste
cerca de 165 millas. 265 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 40 mph. 65 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 30 grados a 14 mph. 22
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1011 milibaras. 29. 85 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 30. 0 grados norte.
Longitud 65. 5 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el nor
noreste a 14 mph. 22 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este
movimiento continue durante los proximos dias con un aumento en la
velocidad de traslacion. En la trayectoria. El centro de fiona debe
estar cerca de bermuda durante la noche.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 40 mph. 65 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica un debilitamiento
adicional durante las proximas 48 horas. Y fiona pudiera
convertirse en depresion tropical o degenerar hasta remanente
durante el proximo dia o dos.
Los vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 85
millas. 140 kilometros del centro.
La ultima presion minima central resportada por el avion
cazahuracanes es de 1011 milibaras. 29. 85 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Se esperan que vientos con fuerza de tormenta
tropical. Mayormente en rafagas pudieran alcanzar bermuda para el
anochecer o temprano en la manana del sabado.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 pulgada o menos son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 8:00 pm ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 11:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt22 knhc 032039
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 38
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
2100 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
All warnings south of sandy hook new jersey have been discontinued.
The tropical storm watch from cape elizabeth to west of stonington
maine has been discontinued.
Several changes to canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia.
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
Hurricane center located near 38. 2n 71. 8w at 03/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northeast or 35 degrees at 19 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 961 mb
max sustained winds 70 kt with gusts to 85 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 30nw.
50 kt. 120ne 120se 100sw 60nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
12 ft seas. 240ne 400se 200sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 38. 2n 71. 8w at 03/2100z
at 03/1800z center was located near 37. 5n 72. 5w
Forecast valid 04/0600z 41. 2n 69. 2w
max wind 60 kt. Gusts 75 kt.
50 kt. 120ne 120se 100sw 60nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 46. 5n 64. 0w
max wind 50 kt. Gusts 60 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 100se 100sw 0nw.
34 kt. 180ne 240se 180sw 40nw.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 51. 5n 59. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 270ne 240se 180sw 60nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z. Absorbed by a large extratropical low
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 38. 2n 71. 8w
Next advisory at 04/0300z
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt32 knhc 032036
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl advisory number 38
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
. Hurricane earl remains large but is losing its punch.
Summary of 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 38. 2n 71. 8w
about 230 mi. 375 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 80 mph. 130 km/hr
present movement. Ne or 35 degrees at 22 mph. 35 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 961 mb. 28. 38 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
All warnings south of sandy hook new jersey have been discontinued.
The tropical storm watch from cape elizabeth to west of stonington
maine has been discontinued.
Several changes to canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 38. 2 north. Longitude 71. 8 west. Earl is moving
toward the northeast near 22 mph. 35 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed with a turn toward the northeast is expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. Earl will be very near
or just east of cape cod later tonight and on the coast of nova
scotia on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph. 130 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is a category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson
scale. Additional weakening is forecast. But earl is expected
remain a large tropical cyclone as it approaches southeastern new
england and nova scotia.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. 28. 38 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. On the forecast track. Most of the hurricane force winds
will remain offshore of cape cod. However only a small deviation
to the left would bring hurricane conditions to the hurricane
warning area tonight.
Storm surge. Water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3
feet above ground level from new jersey northward to cape cod
including long island sound. Near the coast. The surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves. Water levels will
continue to subside from the outer banks of north carolina to
delaware bay.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches rainfall
accumulations over eastern new england. With isolated maximum
amounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states tonight. These swells will likely cause
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 pm edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt22 knhc 032035
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 38
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
2100 utc fri sep 03 2010
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
All warnings south of sandy hook new jersey have been discontinued.
The tropical storm watch from cape elizabeth to west of stonington
maine has been discontinued.
Several changes to canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The entire coast of nova scotia.
* Prince edward island
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from shediac to tidnish
* The magdalen islands
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Point escuminac to shediac new brunswick
Hurricane center located near 38. 2n 71. 8w at 03/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the northeast or 35 degrees at 19 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 961 mb
max sustained winds 70 kt with gusts to 85 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 30nw.
50 kt. 120ne 120se 100sw 60nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
12 ft seas. 240ne 400se 200sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 38. 2n 71. 8w at 03/2100z
at 03/1800z center was located near 37. 5n 72. 5w
Forecast valid 04/0600z 41. 2n 69. 2w
max wind 60 kt. Gusts 75 kt.
50 kt. 120ne 120se 100sw 60nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 46. 5n 64. 0w
max wind 50 kt. Gusts 60 kt.
50 kt. 100ne 100se 100sw 0nw.
34 kt. 180ne 240se 180sw 40nw.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 51. 5n 59. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 270ne 240se 180sw 60nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z. Absorbed by a large extratropical low
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 38. 2n 71. 8w
Next advisory at 04/0300z
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt33 knhc 032034
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona advisory number 17
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
500 pm ast fri sep 03 2010
. Fiona weakening. Expected to pass near bermuda overnight.
Summary of 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 30. 0n 65. 5w
about 165 mi. 265 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 40 mph. 65 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 30 degrees at 14 mph. 22 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1011 mb. 29. 85 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 30. 0 north. Longitude 65. 5 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph. 22 km/hr. And this
motion is expected to continue for the next day or day with some
increase in forward speed. On the forecast track. The tropical
storm is expected to pass near or east of bermuda overnight.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph. 65
km/hr. With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours and fiona could become a tropical
depression or degenerate to a remnant low during the next day or so.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles. 85 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb. 29. 85 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds. Primarily in gusts. Could reach
bermuda by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 inch or less are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 pm ast.
Next complete advisory. 1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtnt23 knhc 032034
tcmat3
tropical storm fiona forecast/advisory number 17
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
2100 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Tropical storm center located near 30. 0n 65. 5w at 03/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 30 degrees at 12 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1011 mb
max sustained winds 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt.
34 kt. 45ne 45se 0sw 0nw.
12 ft seas. 60ne 60se 15sw 60nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 30. 0n 65. 5w at 03/2100z
at 03/1800z center was located near 29. 5n 65. 8w
Forecast valid 04/0600z 31. 6n 64. 7w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 33. 6n 63. 5w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 36. 4n 61. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 39. 6n 59. 6w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/1800z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 30. 0n 65. 5w
Next advisory at 04/0300z
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtpz25 knhc 032032
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
2100 utc fri sep 03 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 20. 2n 110. 9w at 03/2100z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1001 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 20. 2n 110. 9w at 03/2100z
at 03/1800z center was located near 20. 1n 110. 5w
Forecast valid 04/0600z 20. 5n 112. 2w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 20. 7n 114. 5w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 20. 8n 116. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 20. 8n 119. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Forecast valid 06/1800z. Dissipated
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/1800z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 20. 2n 110. 9w
Next advisory at 04/0300z
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtpz35 knhc 032032
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
200 pm pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression not intensifying south of baja california.
Summary of 200 pm pdt. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 20. 2n 110. 9w
about 195 mi. 320 km ssw of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 285 degrees at 9 mph. 15 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1001 mb. 29. 56 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm pdt. 2100 utc. The center of tropical depression ten-e
was located near latitude 20. 2 north. Longitude 110. 9 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph. 15
km/hr. The system should continue moving in this general direction
and forward speed during the next two days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast and the system could degenerate
to a remnant low whtin the next day or so.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb. 29. 56 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
axnt20 knhc 031803
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1715 utc.
. Special features.
Hurricane earl is centered near 37. 5n 72. 5w at 03/1800 utc about
250 nm s-sw of nantucket massachusetts moving n-ne at 18 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 75 kt with gusts to 90 kt. See latest nhc
intermediate public advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc and the full forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate convection is within a 60 nm radius of
37. 5n72. 5w. However. Rain and possible thunderstorms cover a
larger area from 34n-43n w of 67w to inland along the coast from
cape hatteras north carolina to boston massachusetts.
Tropical storm fiona is centered near 29. 5n 65. 9 at 03/1800 utc
or about 175 nm s-sw of bermuda moving n-ne at 11 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. See latest nhc intermediate
public advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcpat3/wtnt33 knhc
and the full forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcmat3/wtnt23 knhc for more details. The low level center is
partially exposed on fiona with scattered moderate/strong
convection is from 27n-29n between 65w-67w.
The remnant low gaston is near 14n45w at 03/1200 utc is located
about halfway between the cape verde islands and the lesser
antilles. Environmental conditions favor slow development and a
tropical depression could re-form as it moves westward at 9 kt
during the next couple of days. There is a medium chance of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48
hours. Clusters of scattered moderate/ isolated strong
convection are from 13n-18n between 39w-45w.
. Tropical waves.
Tropical wave extends from 19n17w through a 1008 mb low near
14n19w to 8n22w moving nw near 10 kt. Broad low level monsoonal
trough exists over the tropical e atlc e of 30w covering this
wave and enhancing convection. Scattered moderate with embedded
clusters of scattered strong convection covers the area w of the
wave from 13n-17n between 19w-22w with scattered moderate/
isolated strong convection from 13n-15n between 22w-25w.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis is along 10n22w 8n27w 10n40w 8n53w to 5n59w. Scattered
moderate/strong convection is from 5n-10n between 24w-31w.
Scattered moderate/isolated strong convection is within 120 nm
either side of the itcz axis between 41w-53w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
An elongated upper low is roughly centered over the w gulf near
25n92w extending an axis from near new orleans louisiana to the
bay of campeche near 20n94w supporting a surface trough analyzed
from 22n95w to the coast of mexico near 19n94w. While only a
weak wind shift is noted with this surface trough feature
mid/upper level moisture is being advected n-ne to over much of
the gulf generating clusters of scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms from 24n-28n between 84w-89w and w of 28n w of
89w. A broad upper ridge dominates the remainder of the gulf
anchored over the bahamas. Otherwise. The n gulf is under a
relatively weak ridge axis that extends from the w atlc across s
florida to along the n gulf coast to over s louisiana with a
1016 mb high in the e gulf near 28n85w. Light ely winds are
forecast through today until a weak cold front stalls over the
ne gulf waters sat through sun.
Caribbean sea.
A broad upper ridge anchored over the bahamas covers most of
the caribbean w of 70w and extends to over the e gulf of mexico
providing mostly e to se upper level flow. Abundance of tropical
moisture in the upper levels combined with diffluence aloft are
generating an area of scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms
from 12n-17n between 72w-77w and in the sw caribbean from
10n-13n w of 82w to inland over costa rica and nicaragua. The
remainder of the w caribbean is under clear skies. A broad upper
trough extending across the central atlc covers the e caribbean
e 70w to the coast of venezuela. This is funneling in dry stable
air aloft n of 14n e of 62w leaving the leeward/virgin islands
and puerto rico remarkably clear this afternoon. Diffluence to
the sw of the upper trough are generating scattered showers and
possible isolated thunderstorms from 11n-15n between 67w-69w.
The surface ridge that covers the w atlc extends over the n
caribbean n of 15n e of jamaica.
Atlantic ocean.
Hurricane earl remains the main feature of concern over the nw
atlc and new england states this afternoon. Tropical storm fiona
is to the se of earl over the open waters and is forecast to
track across bermuda sat morning. See special features above.
Broad upper ridge that covers the e gulf of mexico and the w
caribbean is anchored over the bahamas near 25n77w and covers
the w atlc w of 70w. A broad e/w upper ridge covers the
remainder of atlc s of 30n e of 50w anchored near 24n27w. A
surface ridge dominates most of the atlc with a weak remnant
surface trough splitting the area extending from 31n33w to
25n41w and isolated showers within 60 nm either side of the
surface trough. The surface ridge is s of fiona cover the w atlc
s of 26n to across the s florida peninsula into the gulf of
mexico. A narrow swath of dry saharan air aloft is noted on
visible satellite imagery to the e of fiona and over the far ne
caribbean from 14n to beyond 32n between 60w-65w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
paw
000
acca62 tjsj 031803
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado como a 290 millas al sur suroeste en
nantucket massachusetts. Y sobre la tormenta tropical
fiona. Localizada cerca de 200 millas al sur suroeste de bermuda.
La actividad de aguaceros y tronadas continua hoy en asociacion con
los remanentes de gaston localizados entre las islas de cabo verde
y las antillas menores. Las condiciones ambientales favorecen el
desarrollo lento y pudiera convertirse en depresion tropical
nuevamente a medida que se mueva hacia el oeste a 10 mph durante los
proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad mediana. 50 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical nuevamente durante
las proximas 48 horas.
Un area de baja presion se ha desarrollado junto con una onda
tropical localizada entre la costa oeste de africa y las islas de
cabo verde. Un area de aguaceros y tronadas en asociacion con la
baja presion esta mostrando senales de organizacion y las
condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables para algun desarrollo
de este sistema. Existe una posibilidad mediana. 30 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las
proximas 48 a medida que se mueva hacia el noroeste a cerca de 10
mph.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores landsea/blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
acpn50 phfo 031800
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 am hst fri sep 3 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday morning.
$$
Brenchley
000
abnt20 knhc 031756
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt fri sep 3 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
earl. Located about 290 miles south-southwest of nantucket
massachusetts. And on tropical storm fiona. Located about 200
miles south-southwest of bermuda.
Showers and thunderstorm activity continues today in association
with the remnant low of gaston located about halfway between the
cape verde islands and the lesser antilles. Environmental
conditions favor slow development and a tropical depression could
re-form as it moves westward at 10 mph during the next couple of
days. There is a medium chance. 50 percent. Of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours.
An area of low pressure has developed along a tropical wave located
between the west coast of africa and the cape verde islands.
Showers and thunderstorms in association with the low are showing
some signs of organization and environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development of this system. There is a medium
chance. 30 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward near 10 mph.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
abpz20 knhc 031754
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 am pdt fri sep 3 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression ten-e. Located about 205 miles south of the southern
tip of baja california.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure
system over the gulf of tehuantepec have become considerably better
organized this morning. While environmental conditions are
conducive for further development. The proximity of the system to
land could limit the potential for tropical depression formation.
There is a medium chance. 50 percent. Of this system becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it drifts northward.
Regardless of development. Heavy rain is likely over portions of
southeastern mexico and guatemala during the next couple of days.
Which may cause flash floods and mudslides.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and under awips header miatcpep5.
Forecast/advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz25 knhc and under awips header miatcmep5.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtca43 tjsj 031753
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 16a
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
200 pm ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Fion continua moviendose al nor noreste. Mostrando senales de
debilitamiento.
Resumen de las 2:00 pm ast. 1800 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 29. 5 norte 65. 9 oeste
cerca de 200 millas. 320 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 45 mph. 75 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 20 grados a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 1010 milibaras. 29. 83 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 2:00 pm ast. 1800 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 29. 05 grados norte.
Longitud 65. 9 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el nor
noreste a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este
movimiento continue durante los proximos dias con un aumento en la
velocidad de traslacion el domingo. En la trayectoria. El centro de
fiona debe estar cerca de bermuda temprano el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 45 mph. 75 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica un debilitamiento
adicional durante las proximas 48 horas. Y fiona pudiera
convertirse en depresion tropical tarde el sabado.
Los vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 85
millas. 140 kilometros al este del centro.
La ultima presion minima central resportada por el avion
cazahuracanes es de 1010 milibaras. 29. 83 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Se esperan vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical tarde al
anochecer o temprano el sabado en la manana.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt33 knhc 031748
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona intermediate advisory number 16a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
200 pm ast fri sep 03 2010
. Fiona continues moving to the north-northeast. Showing signs of
weakening.
Summary of 200 pm ast. 1800 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 29. 5n 65. 9w
about 200 mi. 320 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 45 mph. 75 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 13 mph. 20 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1010 mb. 29. 83 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm ast. 1800 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 29. 5 north. Longitude 65. 9 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph. 20 km/hr. And this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so with
some increase in forward speed anticipated on Sunday. On the
forecast track. The center of fiona should be near bermuda early
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph. 75 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. And fiona
could become a tropical depression by late Saturday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles. 140 km
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. 29. 83 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach bermuda
by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtnt32 knhc 031744
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 37a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
200 pm edt fri sep 03 2010
. Earl continues toward southeastern new england.
Summary of 200 pm edt. 1800 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 37. 5n 72. 5w
about 290 mi. 465 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 80 mph. 130 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 30 degrees at 21 mph. 33 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 961 mb. 28. 38 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The tropical storm warning south of the north carolina/virgina
border has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* From the north carolina/virgina border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from fort lawrence southward and eastward
to ecum secum
* Tidnish to lismore
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Cape elizabeth to west of stonington maine
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to lismore
* The magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm edt. 1800 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 37. 5 north. Longitude 72. 5 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 21 mph. 33 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track will be very near or
just east of cape cod tonight and on the coast of nova scotia on
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph. 130
km/hr. With higher gusts. Earl is a category one hurricane on the
saffir-simpson scale. Weakening is forecast. But earl is expected
remain a large tropical cyclone as it approaches southeastern new
england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force plane was
961 mb. 28. 38 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds could still occur along the coast
from virginia northward and reach southeastern new england later
tonight. On the forecast track. Most of the hurricane force winds
will remain offshore of cape cod. However only a small deviation
to the left would bring hurricane conditions to the hurricane
warning area.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level within the tropical storm
warning area over north carolina. As well as in the lower
chesapeake bay. Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning area over
massachusetts. Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning
area. Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3
feet above ground level. Near the coast. The surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce an additional inch or so of
rainfall. With isolated storm totals of 5 inches over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeastern new england. Accumulations
of 1 to 2 inches are possible over coastal portions of
virginia. Maryland and delaware and also across central and
coastal maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states today. These swells will likely cause dangerous
surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtpq33 pgum 031605
tcppq3
Bulletin
Tropical storm malou (10w) advisory number 8
National weather service tiyan gu wp102010
2 am chst sat sep 4 2010
. 10w upgraded to a tropical storm and named malou.
No tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.
At 100 am chst. 1500z. The center of tropical storm malou was
located near latitude 24. 9 degrees north and longitude 128. 5 degrees
east. This is about 1320 miles northwest of guam and 150 miles
southeast of okinawa.
Tropical storm malou is moving west-northwest at 23 mph. Tropical
storm malou is expected to make a slight turn to the northwest and
slow down over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph. Tropical storm malou is expected
to continue to intensify slowly. Tropical storm force winds extend
outward up to 30 miles from the center.
Repeating the 100 am chst position. Latitude 24. 9 degrees north and
longitude 128. 5 degrees east. Moving west-northwest at 23 mph with
maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.
This will be the last advisory issued by the national weather
service on tropical storm malou (10w).
$$
Ziobro
000
axpz20 knhc 031544
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1605 utc fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10-e is centered at 03/1500 utc near 20. 0n
110. 4w moving west-northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum sea
level pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt
with gusts to 40 kt. Refer to the latest nhc forecast/advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the latest
public advisory under miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 18n to 22n
between 109w and 113w.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis is along 08n78w to 14n94w to
12n110w to 11n125w to 11n140w. Scattered moderate within 180 nm
s of axis between 97w and 102w. Scattered moderate isolated
strong within 60 nm either side of axis between 106w and 120w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An anticyclone is centered near 30n123w with strong
subsidence. A ridge axis extends sw to 17n140w. Tropical
depression is embedded in moderate easterly flow aloft south of
the upper ridge. So far upper level winds have been weak enough
to allow td 10-e to slowly develop. Divergent flow over southern
mexico is enhancing itcz convection in the gulf of tehuantepec.
Water vapor imagery shows significant upper air moisture s of
23n e of 120w to colombia.
Surface.
A surface trough is over the gulf of tehuantepec along 17n93w
12n95w nearly stationary. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is from 12n to 16n between 92w and 97w to include
coastal areas of guatemala and s mexico.
A 1022 mb high is centered near 37n140w. A weak ridge axis
extends se to near 23n115w. Fresh sw monsoonal flow prevails
over the area south of tropical depression 10-e. And is
expected to persist another 24 to 48 hours. Model guidance
suggest an active itcz will continue across nearly the entire
basin from 100w to 140w. Roughly along 10n. But winds and seas
are expected to gradually subside.
$$
formosa
000
wtnt32 knhc 031458
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl advisory number 37
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1100 am edt fri sep 03 2010
. A large but weaker hurricane earl heading for southeastern new
england.
Summary of 1100 am edt. 1500 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 36. 8n 73. 1w
about 175 mi. 280 km ne of cape hatteras north carolina
about 350 mi. 565 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 85 mph. 140 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 30 degrees at 21 mph. 33 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 961 mb. 28. 38 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
The hurricane warning for north carolina has been discontinued. And
replaced by a tropical storm warning north of ocracoke.
The hurricane warning area for massachusetts has been reduced.
The tropical storm watch for western long island and the coast of
connecticut west of new haven has been discontinued.
All watches/warnings between hull massachusetts and cape elizabeth
maine have been discontinued.
Numerous changes to canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Ocracoke north carolina to sandy hook new jersey. Including
delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the chesapeake bay south
of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from fort lawrence southward and eastward
to ecum secum
* Tidnish to lismore
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Cape elizabeth to west of stonington maine
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to lismore
* The magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 am edt. 1500 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 36. 8 north. Longitude 73. 1 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 21 mph. 33 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will continue to move away from the north carolina outer banks
today. And approach southeastern new england tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph. 140
km/hr. With higher gusts. Earl is a category one hurricane on the
saffir-simpson scale. Weakening is forecast. But earl is expected
remain a large hurricane as it approaches southeastern new england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force plane was
961 mb. 28. 38 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are still occurring along
portions of the north carolina coast within the warning area but
are expected to gradually diminish later today.
Tropical-storm-force winds will likely continue along the coast
from virginia northward and reach southeastern new england later
today. And spread over the coast of maine within the warning area
tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area in southeastern massachusetts tonight and Saturday
morning.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level within the tropical storm
warning area over north carolina. As well as in the lower
chesapeake bay. Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning area over
massachusetts. Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning
area. Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3
feet above ground level. Near the coast. The surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce an additional inch or so of
rainfall. With isolated storm totals of 5 inches over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeastern new england. Accumulations
of 1 to 2 inches are possible over coastal portions of
virginia. Maryland and delaware and also across central and
coastal maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states today. These swells will likely cause dangerous
surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 pm edt.
Next complete advisory. 500 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt22 knhc 031458
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 37
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1500 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
The hurricane warning for north carolina has been discontinued. And
replaced by a tropical storm warning north of ocracoke.
The hurricane warning area for massachusetts has been reduced.
The tropical storm watch for western long island and the coast of
connecticut west of new haven has been discontinued.
All watches/warnings between hull massachusetts and cape elizabeth
maine have been discontinued.
Numerous changes to canadian watches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Woods hole eastward around cape cod to sagamore beach
massachusetts. Including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from ecum secum westward to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Ocracoke north carolina to sandy hook new jersey. Including
delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the chesapeake bay south
of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of woods hole massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of sagamore beach to hull massachusetts
* Stonington maine to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from fort lawrence southward and eastward
to ecum secum
* Tidnish to lismore
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* Cape elizabeth to west of stonington maine
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to lismore
* The magdalen islands
Hurricane center located near 36. 8n 73. 1w at 03/1500z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 30 degrees at 18 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 961 mb
max sustained winds 75 kt with gusts to 90 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 45nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 120sw 100nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 150nw.
12 ft seas. 240ne 420se 260sw 180nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 36. 8n 73. 1w at 03/1500z
at 03/1200z center was located near 36. 2n 73. 5w
Forecast valid 04/0000z 39. 7n 70. 8w
max wind 70 kt. Gusts 85 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 120sw 75nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 43. 8n 66. 5w
max wind 60 kt. Gusts 75 kt.
50 kt. 90ne 100se 90sw 80nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 140nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 49. 0n 62. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 180ne 240se 180sw 40nw.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 52. 0n 56. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 180ne 240se 180sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 36. 8n 73. 1w
Next advisory at 03/2100z
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtpz25 knhc 031452
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
1500 utc fri sep 03 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 20. 0n 110. 4w at 03/1500z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 295 degrees at 7 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1000 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 20. 0n 110. 4w at 03/1500z
at 03/1200z center was located near 19. 8n 110. 0w
Forecast valid 04/0000z 20. 4n 111. 5w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 20. 6n 113. 4w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 20. 9n 115. 4w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 21. 0n 117. 2w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 06/1200z 20. 8n 121. 4w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 20. 0n 110. 4w
Next advisory at 03/2100z
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtpz35 knhc 031452
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
800 am pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression not intensifying south of baja california.
Summary of 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 20. 0n 110. 4w
about 205 mi. 325 km s of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 295 degrees at 8 mph. 13 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1000 mb. 29. 53 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. The center of tropical depression ten-e
was located near latitude 20. 0 north. Longitude 110. 4 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. 13
km/hr. The cyclone is forecast to move in this general direction
and forward speed for the next two days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours. Only a small increase in organization would bring the
cyclone up to tropical storm intensity.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. 29. 53 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 200 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtpz25 knhc 031452
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
1500 utc fri sep 03 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 20. 0n 110. 4w at 03/1500z
position accurate within 45 nm
Present movement toward the west-northwest or 295 degrees at 7 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1000 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 20. 0n 110. 4w at 03/1500z
at 03/1200z center was located near 19. 8n 110. 0w
Forecast valid 04/0000z 20. 4n 111. 5w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 20. 6n 113. 4w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 20. 9n 115. 4w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 21. 0n 117. 2w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 06/1200z 20. 8n 121. 4w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 20. 0n 110. 4w
Next advisory at 03/2100z
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtpz35 knhc 031452
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
800 am pdt fri sep 03 2010
. Tropical depression not intensifying south of baja california.
Summary of 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 20. 0n 110. 4w
about 205 mi. 325 km s of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Wnw or 295 degrees at 8 mph. 13 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1000 mb. 29. 53 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am pdt. 1500 utc. The center of tropical depression ten-e
was located near latitude 20. 0 north. Longitude 110. 4 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. 13
km/hr. The cyclone is forecast to move in this general direction
and forward speed for the next two days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours. Only a small increase in organization would bring the
cyclone up to tropical storm intensity.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. 29. 53 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 200 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtca43 tjsj 031449
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 16
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Un avion de reconocimiento de la fuerza aerea encuentra que fiona
esta mas debil.
Resumen de las 11:00 am ast. 1500 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 29. 0 norte 66. 4 oeste
cerca de 245 millas. 400 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 45 mph. 75 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 10 grados a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 1010 milibaras. 29. 82 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 am ast. 1500 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 29. 0 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 4 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el nor
noreste a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este
movimiento continue durante los proximos dias con un aumento en la
velocidad de traslacion el domingo. En la trayectoria. El centro de
fiona debe estar cerca de bermuda temprano el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 45 mph. 75 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostica un debilitamiento
adicional durante las proximas 48 horas. Y fiona pudiera
convertirse en depresion tropical tarde el sabado.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 85
millas. 140 kilometros al este del centro.
La ultima presion minima central resportada por el avion
cazahuracanes es de 1010 milibaras. 29. 83 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Se esperan vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical tarde al
anochecer o temprano el sabado en la manana.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 2:00 pm ast
proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt23 knhc 031442
tcmat3
tropical storm fiona forecast/advisory number 16
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
1500 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Tropical storm center located near 29. 0n 66. 4w at 03/1500z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 20 degrees at 11 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1010 mb
max sustained winds 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
12 ft seas. 180ne 150se 30sw 180nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 29. 0n 66. 4w at 03/1500z
at 03/1200z center was located near 28. 5n 66. 7w
Forecast valid 04/0000z 30. 6n 65. 7w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 32. 7n 64. 6w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 35. 2n 63. 1w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1200z 38. 1n 61. 2w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 06/1200z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 29. 0n 66. 4w
Next advisory at 03/2100z
$$
forecaster blake
000
wtnt33 knhc 031442
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona advisory number 16
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
1100 am ast fri sep 03 2010
. Air force reserve aircraft finds fiona weaker.
Summary of 1100 am ast. 1500 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 29. 0n 66. 4w
about 245 mi. 400 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 45 mph. 75 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 13 mph. 20 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1010 mb. 29. 83 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 am ast. 1500 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 29. 0 north. Longitude 66. 4 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph. 20 km/hr. And this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so with
some increase in forward speed anticipated on Sunday. On the
forecast track. The center of fiona should be near bermuda early
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph. 75 km/hr.
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours. And fiona could become a tropical depression by
late Saturday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles. 140 km
from the center.
The latest central pressure reported by an air force reserve
hurricane hunter is 1010 mb. 29. 83 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach bermuda
by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 pm ast.
Next complete advisory. 500 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake
000
acca62 tjsj 031223
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado cerca de 130 millas al este noreste de
cabo hatteras carolina del norte. Y sobre la tormenta tropical
fiona. Localizada cerca de 285 millas al sur suroeste de bermuda.
Nubosidad y aguaceros localizados cerca de 1150 millas al oeste de
las islas de cabo verde han aumentado durante la noche en asociacion
con los remanentes de gaston. Las condiciones ambientales pudieran
tornarse mas conducentes para desarrollo nuevamente de esta baja
presion a medida que se mueva hacia el oeste entre 5 a 10 mph
durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad mediana. 40 por
ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropcal
nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas.
Una onda tropical localizada entre la costa oeste de africa y las
islas de cabo verde esta produciendo un area amplia de aguaceros y
tronadas. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables para
algun desarrollo lento de este sistema es posible durante los
proximos dias mientras se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca de 10 mph.
Existe una posibilidad baja. 20 por ciento. De que este sistema se
convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores landsea/blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
acca62 tjsj 031219
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado cerca de 130 millas al este noreste de
cabo hatteras carolina del norte. Y sobre la tormenta tropical
fiona. Localizada cerca de 285millas al sur suroeste de bermuda.
Nubosidad y aguaceros localizados cerca de 1150 millas al oeste de
las islas de cabo verde han aumentado durante la noche en asociacion
con los remanentes de gaston. Las condiciones ambientales pudieran
tornarse mas conducentes para desarrollo nuevamente de esta baja
presion a medida que se mueva hacia el oeste entre 5 a 10 mph
durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad mediana. 40 por
ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropcal
nuevamente durante las proximas 48 horas.
Una onda tropical localizada entre la costa oeste de africa y las
islas de cabo verde esta produciendo un area amplia de aguaceros y
tronadas. Las condiciones ambientales parecen ser favorables para
algun desarrollo lento de este sistema es posible durante los
proximos dias mientras se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca de 10 mph.
Existe una posibilidad baja. 20 por ciento. De que este sistema se
convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticadores landsea/blake
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 031205
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 15a
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
800 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Un avion de reconocimiento de la fuerza aerea llega a fiona.
Resumen de las 8:00 am ast. 1200 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 28. 5 norte 66. 7 oeste
cerca de 285 millas. 460 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 10 grados a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 1010 milibaras. 29. 82 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 8:00 am ast. 1200 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 28. 5 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 7 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el norte a
13 mph. 20 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este movimiento
continue esta manana. Con un giro hacia el nor noreste para esta
tarde o noche. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro de
fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Reportes prelimimnares de un
avion caza huracanes de la fuerza aerea indican que fiona pudiera
comenzar a debilitarse. Se pronostica un debilitamiento gradual
durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La ultima presion minima central resportada por el avion
cazahuracanes es de 1010 milibaras. 29. 82 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Se esperan vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical tarde al
anochecer o temprano el sabado en la manana.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia completa. 11:00 am ast.
$$
Pronosticadores blake/avila
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 031202
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 am edt thu sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections
of south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather
observations. And radar.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery
through 1015 utc.
. Special features.
The center of hurricane earl at 03/1200 utc is near 36. 2n
73. 6w. Or about 115 nm e-ne of cape hatteras north carolina or
about 345 nm s-sw of nantucket massachusetts. Earl is moving
n-ne at 16 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb.
The maximum sustained wind speeds are 90 kt with gusts to 110
kt. Please see the latest nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo
headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc and the latest public advisory
under miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc for more details. Numerous strong
rainshowers and thunderstorms are from 35n to 37n between 72w
and 74w. Tropical-storm-force winds are occurring along the
north carolina coast within the warning area. And hurricane
conditions are possible in the outer banks during the next few
hours. It is likely that tropical-storm-force winds will reach
the coast to massachusetts later today. And spread over the
coast of maine within the warning area tonight. Hurricane
conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in
massachusetts tonight and Saturday morning.
The center of tropical storm fiona at 03/1200 utc is near 28. 5n
66. 7w. Or about 250 nm to the s-sw of bermuda. Fiona is moving
n at 11 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb.
The maximum sustained wind speeds are 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
Please read the latest nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo
headers miatcmat3/wtnt23 knhc and the public advisory under
miatcpat3/wtnt33 knhc for more details. Warming cloud top
temperatures and dissipating convective precipitation are found
from 20n to 27n between 66w and 70w. Where strong convective
precipitation was occurring during the last six hours.
. Tropical waves.
A tropical wave is along 19w/20w to the south of 20n moving
westward about 10 kt. Strong showers and thunderstorms are in
one cluster from 13n to 15n between 19w and 21w.
. The itcz.
From 10n21w to 8n32w 10n38w. 10n41w into northern guyana near
7n60w. Strong rainshowers and thunderstorms are from 5n to 10n
between 26w and 30w. Scattered moderate to strong rainshowers
and thunderstorms are from 6n to 10n between 40w and 50w.
Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 6n to 10n between 20w and
26w.
. Discussion.
The gulf of mexico.
Upper level cyclonic flow covers the area around a 24n92w
cyclonic circulation center and its accompanying north-to-south
trough. Isolated moderate rainshowers and possible thunderstorms
have developed across the open gulf waters. Strong rainshowers
and thunderstorms are in the eastern pacific ocean waters of
mexico in and adjacent to the gulf of tehuantepec. To the north
of 12n between 90w and 100w. This precipitation is occurring
in an area of broad upper level cyclonic flow.
The caribbean sea.
An upper level trough reaches the eastern sections of the area.
Isolated moderate showers are to the south of 14n to the east of
73w. Strong showers and thunderstorms in clusters are in the
southwestern waters and in northern colombia and adjacent
coastal areas. To the south of 14n between 76w and 78w.
A little bit of an inverted upper level trough is to the south
of 20n between 79w and 81w. Isolated moderate rainshowers in
individual clusters are within 30 nm on either side of 20n79w
16n80w 12n81w.
The atlantic ocean.
The area that is to the north of 31n to the west of 66w is
covered by the flow that is around hurricane earl. The area
that is to the south of 28n between 66w and 72w is covered
by tropical storm fiona. A central atlantic ocean upper level
trough is digging toward the southwest in the atlantic ocean
that is between 50w and 60w. The trough is moving into the area
that is immediately to the east of tropical storm fiona. This
trough eventually reaches into the eastern caribbean sea.
Moderate rainshowers are from 21n to 22n between 54w and 56w.
The center of the 1008 mb remnant low pressure center of gaston
is near 14n40w. Isolated moderate rainshowers and possible
thunderstorms are from 12n to 16n between 40w and 43w.
An upper level trough passes through 36n24w to 32n30w beyond
32n40w. Supporting a surface trough that passes through 33n30w
to 30n35w to 26n43w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
mt
000
abnt20 knhc 031158
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt fri sep 3 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
earl. Located about 130 miles east-northeast of cape hatteras
north carolina. And on tropical storm fiona. Located about 285
miles south-southwest of bermuda.
Cloudiness and showers located about 1150 miles west of the cape
verde islands have increased overnight in association with the
remnants of gaston. Environmental conditions may become more
conducive for re-development of this low as it moves westward at 5
to 10 mph during the next couple of days. There is a medium
chance. 40 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
again during the next 48 hours.
A tropical wave located between the west coast of africa and the
cape verde islands is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for some slow development of this system during the next
couple of days as it moves westward near 10 mph. There is a low
chance. 20 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
wtnt33 knhc 031155
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona intermediate advisory number 15a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
800 am ast fri sep 03 2010
. Air force reserve aircraft reaches fiona.
Summary of 800 am ast. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 28. 5n 66. 7w
about 285 mi. 460 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. N or 10 degrees at 13 mph. 20 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1010 mb. 29. 82 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected. Within about 24 hours in this case.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am ast. 1200 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 28. 5 north. Longitude 66. 7 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north near 13 mph. 20 km/hr. This motion is
forecast to continue this morning. With a turn toward the
north-northeast expected by this afternoon or evening. On the
forecast track. The center of fiona is expected to pass near
bermuda later this evening or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Preliminary reports from an air force reserve hurricane
hunter indicate that fiona could be starting to weaken. Some
gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. 165 km
from the center.
The latest central pressure reported by an air force reserve
hurricane hunter is 1010 mb. 29. 82 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach bermuda
by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 am ast.
$$
forecaster blake/avila
000
wtnt32 knhc 031145
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 36a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 am edt fri sep 03 2010
. Hurricane earl continues toward the north-northeast. Weather
conditions should improve in the outer banks later this morning.
Summary of 800 am edt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 36. 2n 73. 6w
about 130 mi. 205 km ene of cape hatteras north carolina
about 395 mi. 640 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 105 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 955 mb. 28. 20 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Cape lookout north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and the eastern
albemarle sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to
ecum secum
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to point tupper. And
east of lismore to point tupper
* Cape breton island and the magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am edt. 1200 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 36. 2 north. Longitude 73. 6 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will move away from the north carolina outer banks today. And will
approach southeastern new england tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph. 165 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson
hurricane wind scale. Slow weakening is forecast during
the next 24 to 36 hours. But earl is expected remain a large
hurricane as it approaches southeastern new england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km. Dare county regional airport north carolina just
reported a wind gust to 70 mph. 113 km/hr.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb. 28. 20 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are still occurring along the
north carolina coast within the warning area but are expected to
gradually diminish this morning. Tropical-storm-force winds will
likely reach the coast from virginia northward to massachusetts
later today. And spread over the coast of maine within the warning
area tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the
hurricane warning area in massachusetts tonight and Saturday
morning.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina. As well as in the lower chesapeake bay.
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
ground level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1
to 2 inches. With storm total amounts of 3 to 5 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeast new england. Accumulations of
1 to 2 inches are possible over extreme southeastern virginia and
across central and coastal maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states today. And begin to subside in the northern
bahamas. These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
acpn50 phfo 031145
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 am hst fri sep 3 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through late Saturday night.
$$
Ryshko
000
wtnt32 knhc 031145
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 36a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 am edt fri sep 03 2010
. Hurricane earl continues toward the north-northeast. Weather
conditions should improve in the outer banks later this morning.
Summary of 800 am edt. 1200 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 36. 2n 73. 6w
about 130 mi. 205 km ene of cape hatteras north carolina
about 395 mi. 640 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 105 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 955 mb. 28. 20 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Cape lookout north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and the eastern
albemarle sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to
ecum secum
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to point tupper. And
east of lismore to point tupper
* Cape breton island and the magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am edt. 1200 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 36. 2 north. Longitude 73. 6 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will move away from the north carolina outer banks today. And will
approach southeastern new england tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph. 165 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson
hurricane wind scale. Slow weakening is forecast during
the next 24 to 36 hours. But earl is expected remain a large
hurricane as it approaches southeastern new england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km. Dare county regional airport north carolina just
reported a wind gust to 70 mph. 113 km/hr.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb. 28. 20 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are still occurring along the
north carolina coast within the warning area but are expected to
gradually diminish this morning. Tropical-storm-force winds will
likely reach the coast from virginia northward to massachusetts
later today. And spread over the coast of maine within the warning
area tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the
hurricane warning area in massachusetts tonight and Saturday
morning.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina. As well as in the lower chesapeake bay.
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
ground level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1
to 2 inches. With storm total amounts of 3 to 5 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeast new england. Accumulations of
1 to 2 inches are possible over extreme southeastern virginia and
across central and coastal maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states today. And begin to subside in the northern
bahamas. These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
acpn50 phfo 031145
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 am hst fri sep 3 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through late Saturday night.
$$
Ryshko
000
abpz20 knhc 031142
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 am pdt fri sep 3 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on newly formed
tropical depression ten-e. Located about 220 mi south of the
southern tip of baja california.
A large area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad
low pressure system over the gulf of tehuantepec is nearly
stationary. While environmental conditions are somewhat
conducive. The proximity of the system to land is expected to
limit significant development of this disturbance. There is a low
chance. 20 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development. There is the
potential for localized heavy rain in association with this system
over portions of southeastern mexico and guatemala during the next
couple of days.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
Public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and under awips header miatcpep5.
Forecast/advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under
wmo header wtpz25 knhc and under awips header miatcmep5.
$$
forecaster landsea/blake
000
axpz20 knhc 031008
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1005 utc fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 utc.
. Special features.
Tropical depression 10e is centered near 19. 7n109. 6w moving
northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum sea level pressure is 1001
mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Refer
to the latest nhc forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers
miatcmep5/wtpz25 knhc and the latest public advisory under
miatcpep5/wtpz35 knhc for more details. Scattered moderate to
strong showers and thunderstorms within 120 nm of the center.
. Itcz.
Intertropical convergence zone axis along 14n110w to 10n120w to
10n140w. Scattered moderate convection within 60 nm s of axis
from 110w to 124w.
. Discussion.
Aloft. An upper level ridge across northern mexico along 27n to
an anticyclone centered near 26n121w then west-southwest to
beyond 18n140w. Tropical depression is embedded in moderate
easterly flow aloft south of the upper ridge. So far upper level
winds have been weak enough to allow td 10e to slowly develop.
Divergent flow over southern mexico is enhancing itcz convection
in the gulf of tehuantepec. Water vapor imagery shows dry air nw
of a line from 27n113w to 13n140w.
Surface. A weak ridge extends across nw part of region to near
23n124w. Fresh sw monsoonal flow prevails over the area south of
tropical depression 10e. And is expected to persist another 24
to 48 hours. Model guidance suggest an active itcz will continue
across nearly the entire basin from 100w to 140w. Roughly along
10n. But winds and seas are expected to gradually subside.
$$
mundell
000
wtca42 tjsj 030945
tcpsp2
Boletin
huracan earl advertencia numero 36
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al072010
500 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. El centro de earl pasa justo al este de cabo hatteras.
Resumen de las 500 am ast. 0900 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 35. 3 norte 74. 0 oeste
cerca de 85 millas. 135 kilometros al sur sureste de cabo hatteras
carolina del norte
cerca de 465 millas. 750 kilometros al sur suroeste de nantucket
massachusets
vientos maximos sostenidos. 105 mph. 165 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 020 grados a 18 mph. 30
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 955 milibaras. 28. 20 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con esta advertencia.
Todos los avisos de huracan han sido descotinuados al sur de cabo
lookout carolina del norte. Y para el oeste del ablemarle sound.
La vigilancia de huracan ha sido discontinuada al norte de la
frontera entre carolina del norte y virginia a cabo henlopen
delaware.
El centro meteorologico de canada ha emitido un aviso de tormenta
tropical para la costa de nova scotia desde lismore al sur y este
hasta ecum secum. Y para la isla prince edward.
El centro meteorologico de canada ha emitido una vigilancia de
tormenta tropical para la isla cabo breton y las islas de magdalena.
Resumen de los avisos y vigilancias en efecto.
Un aviso de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Cabo lookout carolina del norte al noreste a la frontera entre
carolina del norte y virginia incluyendo el pamilco y los albemarle
sounds del este.
*Westport massachusetts al este cerca de cape cod hasta hull
incluyendo marthas vineyard y nantucket island.
Una vigilancia de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Nova scotia desde medway harbour hasta digby
Un aviso de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Al norte de la frontera de north carolina y virginia hasta sandy
hook new jersey. Incluyendo la bahia delaware al sur de la playa
slaughter y la bahia chesapeake al sur de new port comfort.
* La costa de long island new york desde fire island inlet new york
hasta port jefferson harbor al este en la costa del norte.
* New haven connecticut hasta el oeste de westport massachusetts.
Incluyendo block island.
* Norte de hull massachusets al rio merrimack
* Stonington maine al este hasta eastport maine
* La costa de nueva escocia ecum secum hasta medway harbour y desde
digby hasta fort lawrence.
* Isla prince edward
Una vigilancia de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Al norte del rio merrimack al oeste de stonington maine
* La costa de long island al oeste de fire island inlet y port
jefferson harbor.
* New brunswick desde justo al oeste de fort lawrence hacia el oeste
hasta la frontera de estados unidos y canada.
* Nova scotia desde ecum secum al noreste a point tupper. Y al este
de lismore a point tupper
* Isla cabo brenton y las islas de magdalena
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que las condiciones de
tormenta tropical son anticipadas en algun lugar dentro del area del
aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area en los estados unidos.
Incluyendo posibles avisos y vigilancias sobre tierra. Favor de
monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio nacional de
meteorologia. Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los
estados unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su
servicio nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
----------------------------------------------------
a las 5:00 am ast. 0900 utc. El centro del huracan earl fue
localizado cerca de la latitud 35. 3 norte. Longitud 74. 0 oeste.
Earl se mueve hacia el norte noreste a cerca de 18 mph. 30
kilometros por hora. Se espera un aumento en la velocidad de
traslacion en las proximas 12-24 horas. En la trayectoria
pronosticada. El centro de earl pasara cerca de los outer banks de
carolina del norte esta noche. Y se acercara al sureste de nueva
inglaterra esta noche.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 105 mph. 165
kilometros por hora. Con rafagas mas altas. Earl es ahora un
huracan categoria dos en la escala de vientos saffir-simpson. Un
debilitamiento adicional se espera durante las proximas 24-36
horas. Pero se espera que earl permanezca siendo un huracan extenso
y fuerte mientras pase cerca al sureste de nueva inglaterra.
Los vientos huracanados se extienden hasta 70 millas del
centro. 110 kilometros. Y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta
tropical se extienden hasta 205 millas. 335 kilometros del centro.
La boya de la noaa 41001 localizada al sureste del centro
recientemente reporto vientos sostenidos de 59 mph. 94 kilometros
por hora con rafagas de 72 mph. 115 kilometros por hora.
La ultima presion minima central reportada recientamente por un
avion cazahuracanes de la noaa fue de 955 milibaras. 28. 20
pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
vientos. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical estan ocurriendo a
lo largo de la costa de carolina del norte dentro del area bajo
aviso. Y vientos huracanados son anticipados en los outer banks
durante las proximas horas. Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical
probablemente alcanzaran la costa desde virginia hacia el norte
hasta massachusetts el viernes. Vientos de fuerza de huracan se
esperan dentro del area bajo aviso de huracan en massachusetts esta
noche y el sabado en la manana.
Marejadas ciclonicas. Una peligrosa marejada ciclonica aumentara
los niveles de las aguas de 2 a 4 pies sobre los niveles de la
tierra dentro de las areas bajo aviso de huracan y la parte baja de
la bahia de chesapeake. La marejada aumentara los niveles de hasta 2
a 4 pies sobre el nivel de la tierra dentro del area bajo aviso de
huracan sobre massachusetts. En el resto del area bajo aviso de
tormenta tropical. La marejada ciclonica podria alcanzar de 1 a 3
pies sobre los niveles de la tierra. Cerca de la costa. La marea
estara acompanada de grandes y destructivas olas.
Lluvia. Acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 1 a 2 pulgadas. Con
totales aislados de 3 a 5 pulgadas son anticipadas sobre porciones
del este de carolina del norte y los outer banks. Acumulaciones de 1
a 3. Con totales aislados de hasta 5 pulgadas son posibles en el
sureste de nueva inglaterra. Acumulaciones de 1 a 2 pulgadas son
posibles en el extremo sureste de virginia y a traves de la costa y
el centro de maine.
Resacas. Marejadas grandes por earl continuaran afectando las
bahamas y la costa este de los estados unidos hoy.
Estas marejadas pudieran causar condiciones peligrosas de resacas y
corrientes submarinas.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 800 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 1100 am ast.
$$
Pronosticador beven
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtpq33 pgum 030928
tcppq3
Bulletin
Tropical storm malou (10w) advisory number 7
National weather service tiyan gu wp102010
8 pm chst fri sep 3 2010
. 10w upgraded to a tropical storm and named malou.
No tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.
At 700 pm chst. 0900z. The center of tropical storm malou was
located near latitude 24. 2 degrees north and longitude 130. 5 degrees
east. This is about 1190 miles northwest of guam and 225 miles
southeast of okinawa.
Tropical storm malou is moving west-northwest at 22 mph. Tropical
storm malou is expected to make a slight turn to the northwest and
slow down over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph. Tropical storm malou is expected
to continue to intensify slowly. Tropical storm force winds extend
outward up to 30 miles from the center.
Repeating the 700 pm chst position. Latitude 24. 2 degrees north and
longitude 130. 5 degrees east. Moving west-northwest at 22 mph with
maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.
The next advisory will be issued by the national weather service at
2 am Saturday morning.
$$
Stanko
000
wtnt32 knhc 030855
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl advisory number 36
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 am edt fri sep 03 2010
. Center of earl passes east of cape hatteras.
Summary of 500 am edt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 35. 3n 74. 0w
about 85 mi. 135 km e of cape hatteras north carolina
about 465 mi. 750 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 105 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 20 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 955 mb. 28. 20 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
All warnings have been discontinued south of cape lookout north
carolina. And for the western portion of the ablemarle sound.
The hurricane watch has been discontinued north of the north
carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen delaware.
Environment canada has issued a tropical storm warning for the coast
of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to ecum
secum. And for prince edward island.
Environment canada has issued a tropical storm watch for cape breton
island and the magdalen islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Cape lookout north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and the eastern
albemarle sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to
ecum secum
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to point tupper. And
east of lismore to point tupper
* Cape breton island and the magdalen islands
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am edt. 0900 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 35. 3 north. Longitude 74. 0 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will move away from the north carolina outer banks today. And will
approach southeastern new england tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph. 165 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Earl is a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson
hurricane wind scale. Slow weakening is forecast during
the next 24 to 36 hours. But earl is expected remain a large
hurricane as it approaches southeastern new england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km. Noaa buoy 41001 located southeast of the center
recently reported sustained winds of 59 mph. 94 km/hr with a gust
to 72 mph. 115 km/hr.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb. 28. 20 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are occurring along the north
carolina coast within the warning area. And hurricane conditions
are possible in the outer banks during the next few hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds will likely reach the coast from
virginia northward to massachusetts later today. And spread over
the coast of maine within the warning area tonight. Hurricane
conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in
massachusetts tonight and Saturday morning.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina. As well as in the lower chesapeake bay.
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
ground level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1
to 2 inches. With storm total amounts of 3 to 5 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeast new england. Accumulations of
1 to 2 inches are possible over extreme southeastern virginia and
across central and coastal maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states today. And begin to subside in the northern
bahamas. These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 am edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 am edt.
$$
forecaster beven
000
wtnt22 knhc 030849
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 36
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
0900 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
All warnings have been discontinued south of cape lookout north
carolina. And for the western portion of the ablemarle sound.
The hurricane watch has been discontinued north of the north
carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen delaware.
Environment canada has issued a tropical storm warning for the coast
of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to ecum
secum. And for prince edward island.
Environment canada has issued a tropical storm watch for cape breton
island and the magdalen islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Cape lookout north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and the eastern
albemarle sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
* The coast of nova scotia from lismore southward and eastward to
ecum secum
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from ecum secum northeastward to point tupper. And
east of lismore to point tupper
* Cape breton island and the magdalen islands
Hurricane center located near 35. 3n 74. 0w at 03/0900z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 20 degrees at 16 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 955 mb
max sustained winds 90 kt with gusts to 110 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 45nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 120sw 100nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 150nw.
12 ft seas. 360ne 420se 300sw 220nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 35. 3n 74. 0w at 03/0900z
at 03/0600z center was located near 34. 6n 74. 4w
Forecast valid 03/1800z 37. 8n 72. 4w
max wind 85 kt. Gusts 105 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 120sw 100nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 150nw.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 41. 6n 68. 9w
max wind 75 kt. Gusts 90 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 50sw 40nw.
50 kt. 90ne 100se 90sw 80nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 150sw 140nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 45. 9n 64. 3w
max wind 55 kt. Gusts 65 kt.
50 kt. 80ne 90se 80sw 70nw.
34 kt. 190ne 180se 140sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 50. 7n 60. 0w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 160ne 160se 120sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 06/0600z. Absorbed by large extratropical cyclone
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 35. 3n 74. 0w
Next advisory at 03/1500z
$$
forecaster beven
000
wtpz25 knhc 030847
tcmep5
tropical depression ten-e forecast/advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
0900 utc fri sep 03 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 19. 7n 109. 6w at 03/0900z
position accurate within 30 nm
Present movement toward the northwest or 305 degrees at 7 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1001 mb
max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 19. 7n 109. 6w at 03/0900z
at 03/0600z center was located near 19. 6n 109. 4w
Forecast valid 03/1800z 20. 1n 110. 8w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 20. 5n 112. 1w
max wind 30 kt. Gusts 40 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 20. 8n 113. 7w
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 21. 1n 115. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 06/0600z 21. 0n 119. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 20 kt. Gusts 25 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/0600z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 19. 7n 109. 6w
Next advisory at 03/1500z
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtpz35 knhc 030847
tcpep5
bulletin
tropical depression ten-e advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep102010
200 am pdt fri sep 03 2010
. New tropical depression forms in the eastern pacific.
Summary of 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 19. 7n 109. 6w
about 220 mi. 355 km s of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds. 35 mph. 55 km/hr
present movement. Nw or 305 degrees at 8 mph. 13 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1001 mb. 29. 56 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am pdt. 0900 utc. The center of tropical depression ten-e
was located near latitude 19. 7 north. Longitude 109. 6 west. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph. 13 km/hr.
This general motion is expected to continue this morning. But a
turn toward the west-northwest is forecast later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. 55 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. But gradual
weakening is expected on Saturday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb. 29. 56 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtca43 tjsj 030845
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 15
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
500 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se mueve hacia el norte. Sin cambio en intensidad.
Resumen de las 500 am ast. 0900 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 28. 1 norte 66. 7 oeste
cerca de 310 millas. 500 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 10 grados a 13 mph. 20 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 500 am ast. 0900 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 28. 1 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 7 grados oeste. Fiona se esta moviendo hacia el norte a
13 mph. 20 kilometros por horas. Se espera que este movimiento
continue esta manana. Con un giro hacia el nor noreste para esta
tarde o noche. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro de
fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 8:00 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 11:00 am ast.
$$
Pronosticador stewart
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt23 knhc 030831
tcmat3
tropical storm fiona forecast/advisory number 15
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
0900 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected on bermuda within 24 to 36 hours in this case.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Tropical storm center located near 28. 1n 66. 7w at 03/0900z
position accurate within 30 nm
Present movement toward the north or 10 degrees at 11 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
34 kt. 75ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
12 ft seas. 180ne 180se 150sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 28. 1n 66. 7w at 03/0900z
at 03/0600z center was located near 27. 5n 66. 8w
Forecast valid 03/1800z 29. 8n 66. 1w
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 75ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 32. 0n 65. 0w
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 75se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 34. 2n 63. 7w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 05/0600z 36. 4n 62. 0w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/0600z 41. 5n 58. 5w. Dissipating
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/0600z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 28. 1n 66. 7w
Next advisory at 03/1500z
$$
forecaster stewart
000
wtnt33 knhc 030831
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona advisory number 15
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
500 am ast fri sep 03 2010
. Fiona moving northward. No change in strength.
Summary of 500 am ast. 0900 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 28. 1n 66. 7w
about 310 mi. 500 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. N or 10 degrees at 13 mph. 20 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected on bermuda within 24 to 36 hours in this case.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
For storm information specific to your area outside the united
states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am ast. 0900 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 28. 1 north. Longitude 66. 7 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north near 13 mph. 20 km/hr. This motion is
forecast to continue this morning. With a turn toward the
north-northeast expected by this afternoon or evening. On the
forecast track. The center of fiona is expected to pass near
bermuda later this evening or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple
of days.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. 165 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach bermuda
by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 am ast.
Next complete advisory. 1100 am ast.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
axnt20 knhc 030550
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 am edt thu sep 02 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections
of south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather
observations. And radar.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery
through 0445 utc.
. Special features.
The center of hurricane earl at 03/0600 utc is near 34. 6n
74. 3w. Or about 85 miles to the east-southeast of
cape hatteras north carolina. Earl is moving north-northeastward
16 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb.
The maximum sustained wind speeds are 90 kt with gusts to
110 kt. Please read the latest nhc forecast/advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22 knhc and the latest public
advisory under miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc for more details. Numerous
strong rainshowers and thunderstorms are from 28n to 31n between
72w and 75w. Other rainshowers and possible thunderstorms are
elsewhere from 27n beyond 32n between 70w and 80w.
The center of tropical storm fiona at 03/0600 utc is near
27. 5n 66. 8w. Or about 300 nm to the south of bermuda.
Fiona is moving northwestward 14 kt. The estimated minimum
central pressure is 1000 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds
are 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Please read the latest nhc
forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmat3/wtnt23 knhc
and the public advisory under miatcpat3/wtnt33 knhc for more
details. Numerous strong rainshowers and thunderstorms are 24n
to 27n between 66w and 69w.
The center of the remnant low pressure center of gaston
is near 14n40w. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from
13n to 16n between 40w and 41w.
. Tropical waves.
No other tropical waves are in the atlantic basin.
. The itcz.
From 11n21w to 10n40w to 9n50w 7n62w. Strong rainshowers and
thunderstorms are 6n to 8n between 25w and 28n from 9n to 11n
between 38w and 49w.
. Discussion.
The gulf of mexico.
Upper level cyclonic flow covers the area around a 25n92w
cyclonic circulation center and its accompanying north-to-south
trough. Isolated moderate rainshowers and possible thunderstorms
have developed across the open gulf waters. Strong rainshowers
and thunderstorms in individual clusters cover the area from
belize and honduras into south central mexico and the gulf of
tehuantepec. In an area of broad upper level cyclonic flow.
The caribbean sea.
An upper level trough reaches the northeastern corner of the
area spreading high clouds across that area. Numerous strong
showers and thunderstorms in clusters are in northern colombia
and adjacent coastal areas. A little bit of an inverted upper
level trough is to the south of 20n between 79w and 81w.
Isolated moderate rainshowers in individual clusters are
within 30 nm on either side of 20n79w 16n80w 12n81w.
The atlantic ocean.
The area that is to the north of 27n to the west of 70w is
covered by the flow that is around hurricane earl. The area
that is to the south of 28n between 64w and 71w is covered
by tropical storm fiona. A central atlantic ocean upper level
trough is bumping into tropical storm fiona as it digs toward
the southwest. Just reaching into the northeastern corner of
the caribbean sea. Moderate rainshowers are within a 30 nm
radius of 23n53w.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
mt
000
acca62 tjsj 030548
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
200 am ast viernes 3 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado cerca de 85 millas al este sureste del
cabo hatteras carolina del norte. Tambien advertencias sobre
tormenta tropical fiona. Localizada cerca de 360 millas al sur
suroeste de bermuda.
Nubosidad y aguaceros localizados cerca de 1100 millas al oeste de
las islas de cabo verde estan asociadas con la baja presion
remanente de gaston. Condiciones ambientales podrian ser algo
conducivas para desarrollo mientras se mueve hacia el oeste de 5 a
10 mph durante los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad baja. 20
por ciento. De que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48.
Una onda tropical vigorosa entre la costa oeste de africa y las
islas de cabo verde esta produciendo un gran area de aguaceros y
tronadas desorganizadas. Las condiciones ambientales aparecen ser
conducentes para algun desarrollo lento de este sistema es posible
durante los proximos dias mientras se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca
de 10 mph. Existe una posibilidad baja. 10 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador kimberlain
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
abnt20 knhc 030544
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt fri sep 3 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
earl. Located about 85 miles east-southeast of cape hatteras
north carolina. And on tropical storm fiona. Located about 360
miles south-southwest of bermuda.
Cloudiness and showers located about 1100 miles west of the cape
verde islands are associated with the remnant low of gaston.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for
re-development of this low as it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph
during the next couple of days. There is a low chance. 20
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during
the next 48 hours.
A tropical wave located between the west coast of africa and the
cape verde islands is producing a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for some slow development of this system during the next
couple of days as it moves westward near 10 mph. There is a low
chance. 10 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
abpz20 knhc 030543
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 pm pdt thu sep 2 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Satellite pictures indicate that showers and thunderstorms
associated with an area of low pressure located about 275 miles
west-southwest of puerto vallarta mexico have become better
organized during the past several hours. If current trends
continue. Advisories could be initiated later this morning as the
low moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. There is a high
chance. 90 percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours.
A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms over the gulf of
tehuantepec is nearly stationary. Marginally conducive
environmental conditions and the proximity of the system to land
are expected to limit significant development of this disturbance.
There is a low chance. 10 percent. Of this system becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of
development. There is the potential for localized heavy rain in
association with this system over portions of southeastern mexico
and guatemala during the next couple of days.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster kimberlain
000
wtnt32 knhc 030543
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 35a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
200 am edt fri sep 03 2010
. Center of earl now east-southeast of cape hatteras. Tropical
storm conditions affecting the outer banks.
Summary of 200 am edt. 0600 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 34. 6n 74. 3w
about 85 mi. 140 km ese of cape hatteras north carolina
about 515 mi. 830 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 105 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 15 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 955 mb. 28. 20 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Surf city north carolina to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from fort lawrence southwestward to digby. Medway
harbour northeastward to point tupper. And aulds cove westward to
tidnish
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am edt. 0600 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 34. 6 north. Longitude 74. 3 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will pass near the north carolina outer banks during the next few
hours. And will approach southeastern new england Friday night.
Data from the air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph. 165 km/hr. With
higher gusts. Earl is a category two hurricane on the saffir-
simpson hurricane wind scale. Slow weakening is forecast during
the next 24 to 36 hours. But earl is expected remain a large
hurricane as it passes near the outer banks and approaches
southeastern new england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
205 miles. 335 km. The national ocean service station at hatteras
north carolina recently reported six-minute mean winds of 56 mph.
90 km/hr. And a wind gust of 66 mph. 107 km/hr.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft was 955 mb. 28. 20 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are occurring along the north
carolina coast within the warning area. And hurricane conditions
are expected in the outer banks during the next few hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds will likely reach the coast from
virginia northward to massachusetts on Friday. And spread over the
coast of maine within the warning area Friday night. Hurricane
conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in
massachusetts Friday night.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina. As well as in the lower chesapeake bay.
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
ground level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2
to 4 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeast new england. Accumulations of
1 to 2 inches are possible from extreme southeastern virginia
northward along the immediate mid-atlantic coast. As well as over
downeast maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states through Friday. And begin to subside in the
northern bahamas overnight. These swells will likely cause
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 am edt.
$$
forecaster beven
000
acpn50 phfo 030540
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
800 pm hst thu sep 2 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday evening.
$$
Ryshko
000
wtnt33 knhc 030536
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona intermediate advisory number 14a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
200 am ast fri sep 03 2010
. Fiona moving northward at a slower forward speed.
Summary of 200 am ast. 0600 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 27. 5n 66. 8w
about 360 mi. 580 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. N or 360 degrees at 13 mph. 20 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected on bermuda within 24 to 36 hours in this case.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
For storm information specific to your area outside the united
states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am ast. 0600 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 27. 5 north. Longitude 66. 8 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north near 13 mph. 20 km/hr. This motion is
forecast to continue this morning. With a turn toward the
north-northeast expected by this afternoon or evening. On the
forecast track. The center of fiona is expected to pass near
bermuda later this evening or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple
of days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles.
165 km. Mainly to the east of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach bermuda
by late this evening or early Saturday morning.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible on bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 500 am ast.
$$
forecaster stewart
000
axpz20 knhc 030350
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
0405 utc fri sep 03 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0245 utc.
. Special features.
Surface low pres center 1003 mb centered near 18. 5n109w. Deep
convection noted within 150 nm nw quadrant and moderate
convection within 180 nm se semicircle. Near storm force winds
extend 75 nm from center. Sw monsoonal flow s of the low
continues to advect tropical moisture northward toward the low.
Upper level winds are currently conducive for a tropical
depression to form at any time. And there is high probability
of system becoming a tropical cyclone during next 48 hours.
. Itcz.
Axis along 14n110w to 10. 5n120w to 10. 5n129w to 09n135w to
10n140w. Scattered moderate convection within 30 nm n and 90 nm
s of axis w of 110w.
. Discussion.
Broad upper level anticyclone over prevails over the northern
half of the basin with center near 26n116w. Water vapor imagery
indicates dry air nw of a line from 13n140w to 28n111w. This
upper level environment is producing only weak shear which is
producing the conducive upper level environment for the low
pressure noted in special features. Ne flow aloft prevails over
the deep tropics. This upper level flow is advecting upper level
moisture sw from active convection from 07n to 11n between 90w
and 101w. And from convection associated with the itcz.
At the surface.
A weak surface ridge extends se from high pres center w-nw of
region to 25n119w. Fresh sw monsoonal flow will prevail over the
area south of the previously mentioned low in the special
features section through the next 48 hours. Sw swells will
continue to propagate over the southern waters e of 130w over
the next 48 hours.
$$
al
000
acpn60 phfo 030336
twscp
Tropical weather summary for the central north pacific
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
530 pm hst thu sep 2 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
There were no tropical cyclones in the central pacific hurricane
center /cphc/ area of responsibility during the month of august 2010.
For additional information. Visit the cphc web site at.
Weather. Gov/cphc
$$
Houston
000
wtpq33 pgum 030334
tcppq3
Bulletin
Tropical depression 10w advisory number 6
National weather service tiyan gu wp102010
2 pm chst fri sep 3 2010
. Tropical depression 10w moving quickly northwest.
No tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.
At 100 pm chst. 0300z. The center of tropical depression 10w was
located near latitude 23. 3 degrees north and longitude 132. 3 degrees
east. This is about 1060 miles northwest of guam and 350 miles
southeast of okinawa.
Tropical depression 10w is moving northwest at 20 mph. This general
motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a
decrease in forward speed.
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. Tropical depession 10w should
slowly intensify. And may become a tropical storm this evening.
Repeating the 100 pm chst position. Latitude 23. 3 degrees north and
longitude 132. 3 degrees east. Moving northwest at 20 mph with
maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
The next advisory will be issued by the national weather service at
8 pm this evening.
$$
Middlebrooke
000
wtca42 tjsj 030324
tcpsp2
Boletin
huracan earl advertencia numero 35
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al072010
1100 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. El centro de earl pasando justo al este de los outer banks. Se
emitieron nuevos avisos de tormenta tropical para el noreste de los
estados unidos.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 33. 8 norte 74. 4 oeste
cerca de 115 millas. 185 kilometros al sur sureste de cabo hatteras
carolina del norte
cerca de 570 millas. 915 kilometros al sur suroeste de nantucket
massachusets
vientos maximos sostenidos. 105 mph. 165 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noreste o 015 grados a 18 mph. 30
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 951 milibaras. 28. 08 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con esta advertencia.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para la costa de
massachusets desde el norte de hull hasta el rio merrimack. Y para
la costa de maine desde stoninton hasta eastport.
Canada ha expandido la vigilancia de tormenta tropical para incluir
a la isla prince edward. La costa de nova scotia desde ecum secum
al norte hasta punto tupper. Y desde aulds cove en nova scotia al
oeste hasta shediac en new brunswick.
El aviso de tormenta tropical desde cabo fear hasta el oeste de surf
city carolina del norte ha sido descontinuado.
Resumen de los avisos y vigilancias en efecto.
Un aviso de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Bogue inlet carolina del norte hacia el noreste hasta la frontera
entre carolina del norte y virginia incluyendo the pamlico y
albemarle sounds.
*Westport massachusetts al este cerca de cape cod hasta hull
incluyendo marthas vineyard y nantucket island.
Una vigilancia de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Al norte de la frontera de carolina del norte y virginia hacia el
cabo helopen delaware.
* Nova scotia desde medway harbour hasta digby
Un aviso de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Surf city de carolina del norte hasta el oeste de bogue inlet
carolina del norte.
* Al norte de la frontera de north carolina y virginia hasta sandy
hook new jersey. Incluyendo la bahia delaware al sur de la playa
slaughter y la bahia chesapeake al sur de new port comfort. * La
porcion este de long island new york desde fire island inlet new
york hasta port jefferson harbor.
* New haven connecticut hasta el oeste de westport massachusetts.
Incluyendo block island.
* Norte de hull massachusets al rio merrimack
* Stonington maine al este hasta eastport maine
Una vigilancia de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Al norte del rio merrimack al oeste de stonington maine
* La costa de long island al oeste de fire island inlet y port
jefferson harbor.
* La costa de nueva escocia ecum secum hasta medway harbour y desde
digby hasta fort lawrence.
* New brunswick desde justo al oeste de fort lawrence hacia el oeste
hasta la frontera de estados unidos y canada.
* Nova scotia desde fort lawrence al suroeste a digby. Medway
harbour al noreste a point tupper. Y aulds cove al oeste a tidnish
* Isla prince edward
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que las condiciones de
tormenta tropical son anticipadas en algun lugar dentro del area del
aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area en los estados unidos.
Incluyendo posibles avisos y vigilancias sobre tierra. Favor de
monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio nacional de
meteorologia. Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los
estados unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su
servicio nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
----------------------------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro del huracan earl fue
localizado por un avion cazahuracanes de la fuerza aerea cerca de la
latitud 33. 8 norte. Longitud 74. 4 oeste. Earl se mueve hacia el
norte noreste a cerca de 18 mph. 30 kilometros por hora. Se espera
un aumento en la velocidad de traslacion en las proximas 24-36
horas. En la trayectoria pronosticada. El centro de earl pasara
cerca de los outer banks de carolina del norte esta noche. Y se
acercara al sureste de nueva inglaterra el viernes en la noche.
Data del avion de reconocimiento indico que los vientos maximos
sostenidos han disminuido a cerca de 105 mph. 165 kilometros por
hora. Con rafagas mas altas. Earl es ahora un huracan categoria dos
en la escala de vientos saffir-simpson. Un debilitamiento adicional
se espera durante las proximas 24-36 horas. Pero se espera que earl
permanezca siendo un huracan extenso y fuerte mientras pase cerca de
los outer banks y se acerque al sureste de nueva inglaterra.
Los vientos huracanados se extienden hasta 70 millas del
centro. 110 kilometros. Y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta
tropical se extienden hasta 205 millas. 335 kilometros del centro.
La ultima presion minima central reportada recientamente por un
avion cazahuracanes de la noaa fue de 951 milibaras. 28. 08
pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
vientos. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se espera alcanzen
la costa de carolina del norte dentro del area bajo aviso pronto.
Aunque el centro de earl se mantenga sobre agua. Vientos
huracanados son anticipados en los outer banks durante las horas de
la noche. Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical probablemente
alcanzaran la costa desde virginia hacia el norte hasta
massachusetts el viernes. Vientos de fuerza de huracan se esperan
dentro del area bajo aviso de huracan en massachusetts viernes en la
noche.
Marejadas ciclonicas. Una peligrosa marejada ciclonica aumentara
los niveles de las aguas de 3 a 5 pies sobre los niveles de la
tierra dentro de las areas bajo aviso de huracan y la parte baja de
la bahia de chesapeake. La marejada aumentara los niveles de hasta 2
a 4 pies sobre el nivel de la tierra dentro del area bajo aviso de
huracan sobre massachusetts. En el resto del area bajo aviso de
tormenta tropical. La marejada ciclonica podria alcanzar de 1 a 3
pies sobre los niveles de la tierra. Cerca de la costa. La marea
estara acompanada de grandes y destructivas olas.
Lluvia. Acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 2 a 4 pulgadas. Con
totales aislados de 6 pulgadas son anticipadas sobre porciones del
este de carolina del norte. Outer banks y sureste de nueva
inglaterra. Acumulaciones de 1 a 2 pulgadas son posibles en el
extremo sureste de virginia hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa
inmediata del medio-atlantico.
Resacas. Marejadas grandes por earl continuaran afectando las
bahamas y la costa este de los estados unidos hasta el viernes.
Estas marejadas pudieran causar condiciones peligrosas de resacas y
corrientes submarinas.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 200 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 500 am ast.
$$
Pronosticadores brennan/berg
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 030254 cca
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 14 nws tpc/centro
nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se mueve hacia el norte.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 26. 9 norte 66. 8 oeste
cerca de 390 millas. 680 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 355 grados a 16 mph. 26
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 9 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 8 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el nor noreste
para tarde el viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro
de fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 2:00 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 am ast.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 030254 cca
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 14 nws tpc/centro
nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se mueve hacia el norte.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 26. 9 norte 66. 8 oeste
cerca de 390 millas. 680 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 355 grados a 16 mph. 26
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 9 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 8 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el nor noreste
para tarde el viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro
de fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 2:00 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 am ast.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 030253
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 13a
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se mueve hacia el norte.
Resumen de las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 26. 9 norte 66. 8 oeste
cerca de 390 millas. 680 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 355 grados a 16 mph. 26
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 11:00 pm ast. 0300 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 9 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 8 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el nor noreste
para tarde el viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro
de fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1005 milibaras. 29. 68 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 2:00 am ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 am ast.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt32 knhc 030238
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl advisory number 35
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
1100 pm edt thu sep 02 2010
. Center of earl passing just east of the outer banks. New
tropical storm warnings issued for new england.
Summary of 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 33. 8n 74. 4w
about 115 mi. 185 km sse of cape hatteras north carolina
about 570 mi. 915 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 105 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. Nne or 15 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 951 mb. 28. 08 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast of massachusetts
from north of hull to the merrimack river. And for the coast of
maine from stonington to eastport.
Environment canada has expanded the tropical storm watch to include
prince edward island. The coast of nova scotia from ecum secum
northward to point tupper. And from aulds cove in nova scotia
westward to shediac in new brunswick.
The tropical storm warning from cape fear to west of surf city north
carolina has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Surf city north carolina to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from fort lawrence southwestward to digby. Medway
harbour northeastward to point tupper. And aulds cove westward to
tidnish
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to canada. Please
monitor products issued by environment canada.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm edt. 0300 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 33. 8 north. Longitude 74. 4 west. Earl is moving
toward the north-northeast near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. An increase in
forward speed and a turn toward the northeast are expected in the
next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track. The center of earl
will pass near the north carolina outer banks tonight. And will
approach southeastern new england Friday night.
Data from the air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 105 mph. 165
km/hr. With higher gusts. Earl is a category two hurricane on the
saffir-simpson scale. Slow weakening is forecast during the next
24 to 36 hours. But earl is expected remain a large hurricane as it
passes near the outer banks and approaches southeastern new
england.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
205 miles. 335 km.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft was 951 mb. 28. 08 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are occurring along the north
carolina coast within the warning area. And hurricane conditions
are expected in the outer banks overnight. Tropical-storm-force
winds will likely reach the coast from virginia northward to
massachusetts on Friday. And spread over the coast of maine within
the warning area Friday night. Hurricane conditions are expected
within the hurricane warning area in massachusetts Friday night.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina. As well as in the lower chesapeake bay.
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
ground level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2
to 4 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina including the outer banks.
Accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 5
inches. Are possible over southeast new england. Accumulations of
1 to 2 inches are possible from extreme southeastern virginia
northward along the immediate mid-atlantic coast. As well as over
downeast maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the east coast
of the united states through Friday. And begin to subside in the
northern bahamas overnight. These swells will likely cause
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 am edt.
Next complete advisory. 500 am edt.
$$
forecaster brennan/berg
000
wtnt33 knhc 030236
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona advisory number 14
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
1100 pm ast thu sep 02 2010
. Fiona turns northward.
Summary of 1100 pm ast. 0300 utc. Information
-----------------------------------------------
location. 26. 9n 66. 8w
about 390 mi. 630 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. N or 355 degrees at 16 mph. 26 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm ast. 0300 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 26. 9 north. Longitude 66. 8 west. Fiona is
moving toward the north near 16 mph. 26 km/hr. This motion is
forecast to continue tonight with a turn toward the north-northeast
on Friday. On the forecast track the center of fiona is expected
to pass near bermuda late Friday or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. 165 km
to the east of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. 29. 68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm force winds are expected in bermuda by late
Friday.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 200 am ast.
Next complete advisory. 500 am ast.
$$
forecaster brown
000
wtnt23 knhc 030235
tcmat3
tropical storm fiona forecast/advisory number 14
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
0300 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
Tropical storm center located near 26. 9n 66. 8w at 03/0300z
position accurate within 25 nm
Present movement toward the north or 355 degrees at 14 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1005 mb
max sustained winds 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
34 kt. 75ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
12 ft seas. 180ne 180se 150sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 26. 9n 66. 8w at 03/0300z
at 03/0000z center was located near 26. 4n 66. 8w
Forecast valid 03/1200z 28. 7n 66. 7w
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 75ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/0000z 30. 8n 65. 9w
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 75se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 32. 7n 64. 8w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 34. 8n 63. 6w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 60ne 60se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 06/0000z 39. 5n 60. 0w. Dissipating
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 07/0000z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 26. 9n 66. 8w
Next advisory at 03/0900z
$$
forecaster brown
000
wtnt22 knhc 030232
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 35
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
0300 utc fri sep 03 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast of massachusetts
from north of hull to the merrimack river. And for the coast of
maine from stonington to eastport.
Environment canada has expanded the tropical storm watch to include
prince edward island. The coast of nova scotia from ecum secum
northward to point tupper. And from aulds cove in nova scotia
westward to shediac in new brunswick.
The tropical storm warning from cape fear to west of surf city north
carolina has been discontinued.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Surf city north carolina to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
* North of hull massachusetts to the merrimack river
* Stonington maine eastward to eastport maine
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of the merrimack river to west of stonington maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* New brunswick from the u. S./canada border eastward to fort
lawrence and from tidnish westward to shediac
* Nova scotia from fort lawrence southwestward to digby. Medway
harbour northeastward to point tupper. And aulds cove westward to
tidnish
* Prince edward island
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Hurricane center located near 33. 8n 74. 4w at 03/0300z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northeast or 15 degrees at 16 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 951 mb
eye diameter 50 nm
max sustained winds 90 kt with gusts to 110 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 45nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 115sw 100nw.
34 kt. 180ne 120se 120sw 150nw.
12 ft seas. 360ne 420se 300sw 220nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 33. 8n 74. 4w at 03/0300z
at 03/0000z center was located near 33. 0n 74. 7w
Forecast valid 03/1200z 36. 2n 73. 7w
max wind 85 kt. Gusts 105 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 110sw 100nw.
34 kt. 180ne 130se 130sw 150nw.
Forecast valid 04/0000z 39. 5n 70. 7w
max wind 80 kt. Gusts 100 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 50sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 90se 100sw 90nw.
34 kt. 180ne 160se 140sw 140nw.
Forecast valid 04/1200z 43. 9n 66. 5w
max wind 70 kt. Gusts 85 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 40sw 40nw.
50 kt. 90ne 80se 90sw 70nw.
34 kt. 190ne 180se 140sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 05/0000z 48. 4n 61. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 50 kt. Gusts 60 kt.
50 kt. 60ne 60se 45sw 30nw.
34 kt. 180ne 180se 140sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 06/0000z. Absorbed by large extratropical cyclone
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 33. 8n 74. 4w
Next advisory at 03/0900z
$$
forecaster brennan/berg
000
acca62 tjsj 030028
twospn
Perspectivas sobre las condiciones del tiempo en el tropico
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl
800 pm edt jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
Para el atlantico norte. El mar caribe y el golfo de mexico.
El centro nacional de huracanes esta emitiendo advertencias sobre el
huracan earl. Localizado cerca de 160 millas al sur sureste del cabo
hatteras carolina del norte. Tambien advertencias sobre tormenta
tropical fiona. Localizada cerca de 425 millas al sur suroeste de
bermuda.
El centro nacional de huracanes emitio la ultima advertencia sobre
la depresion tropical gaston que se desintegro en los remanentes de
una baja presion cerca de 1000 millas al oeste de las islas de cabo
verde. Condiciones ambientales podrian ser algo conducivas para
desarrollo mientras se mueve hacia el oeste de 5 a 10 mph durante
los proximos dias. Existe una posibilidad baja. 20 por ciento. De
que este sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las
proximas 48.
Una onda tropical vigorosa entre la costa oeste de africa y las
islas de cabo verde esta produciendo un gran area de aguaceros y
tronadas. Algun desarrollo lento de este sistema es posible durante
los proximos dias mientras se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca de 10
mph. Existe una posibilidad baja. 10 por ciento. De que este
sistema se convierta en ciclon tropical durante las proximas 48.
En el resto del area. No se espera formacion de ciclon tropical
durante las proximas 48 horas.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca42 tjsj 030021
tcpsp2
Boletin
huracan earl advertencia intermedia numero 34a
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al072010
800 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. El huracan earl continua hacia el norte. Bandas de lluvia
moviendose sobre la costa de carolina del norte.
Resumen de las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 33. 0 norte 74. 7 oeste
cerca de 160 millas. 260 kilometros al sur sureste de cabo hatteras
carolina del norte
cerca de 625 millas. 1005 kilometros al sur suroeste de nantucket
massachusets
vientos maximos sostenidos. 110 mph. 165 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 010 grados a 18 mph. 30 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 948 milibaras. 27. 99 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con esta advertencia.
Ninguno.
Resumen de los avisos y vigilancias en efecto.
Un aviso de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Bogue inlet carolina del norte hacia el noreste hasta la frontera
entre carolina del norte y virginia incluyendo the pamlico y
albemarle sounds.
*Westport massachusetts al este cerca de cape cod hasta hull
incluyendo marthas vineyard y nantucket island.
Una vigilancia de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Al norte de la frontera de carolina del norte y virginia hacia el
cabo helopen delaware.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Cabo fear hasta el oeste de bogue inlet carolina del norte.
* Al norte de la frontera de north carolina y virginia hasta sandy
hook new jersey. Incluyendo la bahia delaware al sur de la playa
slaughter y la bahia chesapeake al sur de new port comfort.
* La porcion este de long island new york desde fire inlet new york
hasta port jefferson harbor.
* New haven connecticut hasta el oeste de westport massachusetts.
Incluyendo block island.
Una vigilancia de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Norte de hull massachusetts a eastport maine.
* La costa de long island al oeste de fire island inlet y port
jefferson harbor.
* La costa de nueva escocia ecum secum hasta medway harbour y desde
digby hasta fort lawrence.
* New brunswick desde justo al oeste de fort lawrence hacia el oeste
hasta la frontera de estados unidos y canada.
Para informacion especifica a su area en los estados unidos.
Incluyendo posibles avisos y vigilancias sobre tierra. Favor de
monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio nacional de
meteorologia. Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los
estados unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su
servicio nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
----------------------------------------------------
a las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. El centro del huracan earl fue
localizado por un avion cazahuracanes de la fuerza aerea cerca de la
latitud 33. 0 norte. Longitud 74. 7 oeste. Earl se mueve hacia el
norte a cerca de 18 mph. 30 kilometros por hora. Se espera un giro
hacia el nor noreste con un aumento en la velocidad de traslacion
para el viernes. En la trayectoria pronosticada. El centro de earl
pasara cerca de los outer banks de carolina del norte esta noche. Y
se acercara al sureste de nueva englaterra el viernes en la noche.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos han disminuido a cerca de 110
mph. 175 kilometros por hora. Con rafagas mas altas. Earl es ahora
un huracan categoria dos en la escala de vientos saffir-simpson. Un
debilitamiento adicional se espera durante la noche y el
viernes. Pero se espera que earl permanezca siendo un huracan
extenso y fuerte mientras pase cerca de los outer banks.
Los vientos huracanados se extienden hasta 70 millas del
centro. 110 kilometros. Y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta
tropical se extienden hasta 205 millas. 335 kilometros del centro.
La boya diamond shoals. Localizada cerca de 20 millas. 30
kilometros. Sureste de cape hatteras. Recientemente reporto una
rafaga de viento de 38 mph. 60 kilometros por hora.
La ultima presion minima central reportada recientamente por un
avion cazahuracanes de la noaa fue de 948 milibaras. 27. 99 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
vientos. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se espera alcanzen
la costa de carolina del norte dentro del area bajo aviso pronto. Aunque
el centro de earl se mantenga sobre agua. Vientos huracanados son
anticipados en los outer banks durante las horas de la noche. Vientos
de fuerza de tormenta tropical probablemente alcanzaran la costa
desde virginia hacia el norte hasta massachusetts el viernes.
Vientos de fuerza de huracan se esperan dentro del area bajo aviso
de huracan en massachusetts viernes en la noche.
Marejadas ciclonicas. Una peligrosa marejada ciclonica aumentara
los niveles de las aguas de 3 a 5 pies sobre los niveles de la
tierra dentro de las areas bajo aviso de huracan y la parte baja de
la bahia de chesapeake. La marejada aumentara los niveles de hasta 2
a 4 pies sobre el nivel de la tierra dentro del area bajo aviso de
huracan sobre massachusetts. En el resto del area bajo aviso de
tormenta tropical. La marejada ciclonica podria alcanzar de 1 a 3
pies sobre los niveles de la tierra. Cerca de la costa. La marea
estara acompanada de grandes y destructivas olas.
Lluvia. Acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 2 a 4 pulgadas. Con
totales aislados de 6 pulgadas son anticipadas sobre porciones del
este de carolina del norte. Outer banks y sureste de nueva
inglaterra. Acumulaciones de 1 a 2 pulgadas son posibles en el
extremo sureste de virginia hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa
inmediata del medio-atlantico.
Resacas. Marejadas grandes por earl continuaran afectando las
bahamas y la costa este de los estados unidos hasta el viernes.
Estas marejadas pudieran causar condiciones peligrosas de resacas y
corrientes submarinas.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia completa. 1100 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticadores brennan/berg
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
axnt20 knhc 030000
twdat
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 pm edt thu sep 02 2010
Tropical weather discussion for north america. Central
america. Gulf of mexico. Caribbean sea. Northern sections of
south america. And atlantic ocean to the african coast from the
equator to 32n. The following information is based on satellite
imagery. Meteorological analysis. Weather observations. And
radar.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 utc.
. Special features.
Hurricane earl is near 32. 5n 75. 2w at 03/0000 utc or about 140
nm sse of cape hatteras north carolina and about 540 nm ssw of
nantucket massachusetts moving n at 16 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 948 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 95
kt with gusts to 115 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
convection is within 150 nm of center in the ne semicircle.
Elsewhere scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
from 29n-36n between 71w-79w. See latest nhc intermediate public
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcpat2/wtnt32 knhc and the
full forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmat2/wtnt22
knhc for more details.
Tropical storm fiona is near 26. 4n 66. 7w at 03/0000 utc or about
370 nm ssw of bermuda moving nnw at 15 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45
kt with gusts to 55 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
convection is within 150 nm of center in the sw and w quadrants.
Elsewhere scattered moderate convection is within 210 nm sw of a
line from 26n67w to 19n62w. See latest nhc intermediate public
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcpat3/wtnt33 knhc and the
full forecast/advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmat3/wtnt23
knhc for more details.
Remnant low gaston is near 13. 5n 39. 5w at 02/2100 utc or about
880 nm w of the southernmost cape verde islands and 1270 nm e of
the lesser antilles moving w at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 25 kt with
gusts to 35 kt. Gaston has degenerated into a remnant low
pressure area over the central tropical atlc. Leaving a
low-level circulation center without any deep convection.
However. Scattered showers still persist within 300 nm of the
low center. Given a marginally favorable environment aloft and
broad low-level cyclonic turning evident on satellite imagery.
There is a chance that gaston could regenerate over the next
couple of days as it moves westward.
. Tropical waves.
A tropical wave is from 07n to 17n along 17w moving w at 10-15
kt. A broad low-level monsoonal trough exists over the tropical
eastern atlc e of 30w and this tropical wave is expected to
enhance ongoing convection along and north of the itcz axis.
Cimss wavetrak model guidance indicates a fairly large area of
850 mb relative vorticity from 08n-16n between 13w-26w.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection covers the
area in the vicinity of the wave from 11n-15n between 12w-22w.
. Itcz.
Itcz axis is along 09n20w 08n27w 09n34w 08n47w 08n60w. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is from 04n-11n between 19w-29w.
Similar convection is within 120 nm of the axis between 34w-48w.
. Discussion.
Gulf of mexico.
An upper level trough axis extends from the north-central gulf
near the louisiana coast s-sw into an upper level low centered
in the western gulf near 23n93w. This upper level low supports a
surface trough analyzed from 24n94w to the western yucatan
peninsula coast near 20n90w. While only a weak wind shift is
noted with the surface trough feature. Middle to upper level
moisture is being advected north-northeastward over much of the
eastern gulf on ssw winds generating widely scattered showers
and isolated tstms over the yucatan peninsula and most of the
eastern gulf s of 29n e of 90w. Otherwise. The remainder of the
gulf is under a relatively weak ridge axis that extends from the
florida straits nw to a weak 1015 mb high centered near 29n87w.
Light easterly winds up to 15 kt are forecast through Friday
morning until a weak cold front stalls over the northern waters
Friday and dissipates by late Saturday.
Caribbean sea.
An upper level anticyclonic circulation located over the sw
north atlc centered near 30n66w extends an upper level ridge
over much of the caribbean basin this evening. This is providing
for mostly east to southeasterly upper level flow and a fairly
progressive pattern for available mid-level moisture westward.
Examining an extended loop of total precipitable water
imagery. Two distinct areas of moisture are observed. The first
is located between 72w-83w and along with the upper level
diffluent pattern in place aloft due to the upper level ridge.
Widely scattered showers and possible isolated tstms are over
much of the western caribbean. This activity extends over
interior portions of central america from western panama nw to
the gulf of honduras and guatemala. The other area of low-level
moisture noted on tpw imagery is most likely westward moving
energy left behind by tropical storm fiona as it skirted ne of
the basin a few days ago. Scattered showers and isolated tstms
are occurring from 12n-19n between 64w-72w. Including puerto
rico and the mona passage. Lingering isolated showers are also
over the leeward islands due to an upper level low centered near
22n51w and a trough axis extending from the low to 20n60w.
Atlantic ocean.
Hurricane earl remains the main feature of concern over the far
western atlc affecting the coastal and offshore waters of u. S. N
of 32n. Tropical storm fiona is to the se of earl over open
waters and is forecast to track n-nw possibly impacting bermuda
by late Friday. See special features above for more details
regarding these two systems. Surface anticyclonic flow is
elsewhere across the atlc e of 64w n of 20n. Anchored by a 1023
mb high centered near 32n59w and another 1019 mb high centered
near 36n20w. Dry saharan air aloft is also noted on satellite
visible n of 20n e of 40w. A weak surface trough extends in
between these two regions of high pressure across the central
atlantic entering the discussion area through 32n34w to 25n50w
then as a shear line to 27n57w. Isolated showers are within 60
nm either side of the boundary.
For additional information please visit
http://www. Hurricanes. Gov/marine
$$
huffman
000
acpn50 phfo 030000
twocp
Tropical weather outlook
nws central pacific hurricane center honolulu hi
200 pm hst thu sep 2 2010
For the central north pacific. Between 140w and 180
No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday afternoon.
$$
Morrison
000
abnt20 knhc 022358
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt thu sep 2 2010
For the north atlantic. Caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico.
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
earl. Located about 160 miles south-southeast of cape hatteras
north carolina. And on tropical storm fiona. Located about 425
miles south-southwest of bermuda.
The national hurricane center has issued its last advisory on
tropical depression gaston which degenerated into a remnant low
about 1000 miles west of the cape verde islands. Environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for development
as the low moves westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple
of days. There is a low chance. 20 percent. Of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
A vigorous tropical wave between the west coast of africa and the
cape verde islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this
system is possible during the next couple of days as it moves
westward near 10 mph. There is a low chance. 10 percent. Of
this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster brown
000
wtnt32 knhc 022356
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl intermediate advisory number 34a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
800 pm edt thu sep 02 2010
. Hurricane earl continues northward. Rainbands moving onto the
coast of north carolina.
Summary of 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 33. 0n 74. 7w
about 160 mi. 260 km sse of cape hatteras north carolina
about 625 mi. 1005 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 110 mph. 165 km/hr
present movement. N or 010 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 948 mb. 27. 99 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull
massachusetts including marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Cape fear north carolina to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The coast of long island new york from fire island inlet eastward
on the south shore and port jefferson harbor eastward on the north
shore
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of hull massachusetts to eastport maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet on the south
shore and west of port jefferson harbor on the north shore
* Nova scotia from ecum secum to medway harbour and from digby to
fort lawrence
* New brunswick from just west of fort lawrence westward to the
u. S./canada border
For storm information specific to your area in the united states
. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please monitor
products issued by your local national weather service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm edt. 0000 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
by an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft near latitude
33. 0 north. Longitude 74. 7 west. Earl is moving toward the north
near 18 mph. 30 km/hr. A turn toward the north-northeast with an
increase in forward speed is expected on Friday. On the forecast
track. The center of earl will pass near the north carolina outer
banks tonight. And approach southeastern new england Friday night.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 110 mph. 175 km/hr
. With higher gusts. Earl is now a category two hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Additional weakening is
expected tonight and Friday. But earl is expected to remain a
large and strong hurricane as it passes near the outer banks.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km. The diamond shoals buoy. Located about 20
miles. 30 km. Southeast of cape hatteras. Recently reported a
wind gust to 38 mph. 60 km/hr.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a noaa hurricane
hunter aircraft was 948 mb. 27. 99 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach the north
carolina coast within the warning area soon. Even if the center of
earl remains offshore. Hurricane force winds are expected to occur
in the outer banks overnight tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds
will likely reach the coast from virginia northward to
massachusetts on Friday. Hurricane-force winds are expected within
the hurricane warning area in massachusetts Friday night.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina and the lower chesapeake bay. Storm surge
will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above ground
level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Earl is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2
to 4 inches. With isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. Over
portions of eastern north carolina. The outer banks and southeast
new england. Accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are possible from
extreme southeast virginia northward along the immediate
mid-atlantic coast. As well as over downeast maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the bahamas
and the east coast of the united states through Friday. These
swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster brennan/berg
000
abpz20 knhc 022353
twoep
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt thu sep 2 2010
For the eastern north pacific. East of 140 degrees west longitude.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 275 miles west-southwest of puerto vallarta
mexico have diminished a bit over the past several hours.
Upper-level winds are currently conducive for a tropical depression
to form at any time. But the system is expected to move
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over cooler waters by Friday
night and Saturday. There is a high chance. 70 percent. Of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
A broad and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extends
several hundred miles south of the coast of southeastern mexico and
central america. Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive for development. And there is a low chance. 10
percent. Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours. Regardless of development. Localized heavy rain is
possible over portions of el salvador. Guatemala. And
southeastern mexico during the next couple of days.
Elsewhere. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtca43 tjsj 022346
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia intermedia numero 13a
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
800 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Fiona se mueve hacia el nor noroeste.
Resumen de las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 26. 4 norte 66. 7 oeste
cerca de 425 millas. 680 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 335 grados a 17 mph. 28
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 8:00 pm ast. 0000 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 4 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 7 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el nor noreste
para tarde el viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro
de fiona pase cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el
sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt33 knhc 022340
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona intermediate advisory number 13a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
800 pm ast thu sep 02 2010
. Fiona moving north-northwestward.
Summary of 800 pm ast. 0000 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 26. 4n 66. 7w
about 425 mi. 680 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. Nnw or 345 degrees at 17 mph. 28 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1002 mb. 29. 59 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to bermuda. Please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm ast. 0000 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 26. 4 north. Longitude 66. 7 west. A turn
toward the north is expected tonight. With a motion toward the
north-northeast forecast by late Friday. On the forecast track the
center of fiona is expected to pass near bermuda late Friday or
early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. 165 km
to the east of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. 29. 59 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm force winds are expected in bermuda by late
Friday.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory. 1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster brown
000
wtca43 tjsj 022215
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 13
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
500 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Pocos cambios con fiona. Todavia tiene vientos de 50 mph.
Resumen de las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 25. 6 norte 66. 4 oeste
cerca de 475 millas. 760 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 335 grados a 17 mph. 28
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 6 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 4 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el norte esta
noche. Con un movimiento hacia el nor noreste para tarde el
viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro de fiona pase
cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 8:00 pm ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticadores blake/brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca43 tjsj 022215
tcpsp3
Boletin
tormenta tropical fiona advertencia numero 13
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al082010
500 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Pocos cambios con fiona. Todavia tiene vientos de 50 mph.
Resumen de las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 25. 6 norte 66. 4 oeste
cerca de 475 millas. 760 kilometros al sur suroeste de bermuda
vientos maximos sostenidos. 50 mph. 85 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte noroeste o 335 grados a 17 mph. 28
kilometros por hora
presion minima central. 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con este boletin.
Ninguno.
Resumen de vigilancias y avisos
Aviso de tormenta tropical en efecto para.
* Bermuda.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical son anticipadas en el area del aviso dentro de 36 horas.
Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los estados
unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio
nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. El centro de la tormenta tropical
fiona fue localizado cerca de la latitud 25. 6 grados norte.
Longitud 66. 4 grados oeste. Se espera un giro hacia el norte esta
noche. Con un movimiento hacia el nor noreste para tarde el
viernes. En esta trayectoria. Se espera que el centro de fiona pase
cerca de bermuda tarde en el viernes o temprano en el sabado.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph. 85 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Se pronostican un debilitamiento
lento durante las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 105
millas. 165 kilometros al este del centro.
La presion minima central es de 1002 milibaras. 29. 59 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
viento. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical son anticipadas
sobre bermuda para tarde en el viernes.
Lluvias. Acumulaciones totales de 1 a 3 pulgadas son posibles en
bermuda.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 8:00 pm ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 5:00 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticadores blake/brown
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtpq33 pgum 022154
tcppq3
Bulletin
Tropical depression 10w advisory number 5
National weather service tiyan gu wp102010
8 am chst fri sep 3 2010
. Tropical depression 10w moving rapidly northwest.
No tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.
At 700 am chst. 2100z. The center of tropical depression 10w was
located near latitude 22. 6 degrees north and longitude 134. 0 degrees
east. This is about 945 miles northwest of guam and 945 miles
north-northwest of yap.
Tropical depression 10w is moving northwest at 20 mph. This general
motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a
decrease in forward speed.
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. Tropical depession 10w should
slowly intensify. And may become a tropical storm within the next
12 hours.
Repeating the 700 am chst position. Latitude 22. 6 degrees north and
longitude 134. 0 degrees east. Moving northwest at 20 mph with
maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
The next advisory will be issued by the national weather service at
2 pm this afternoon.
$$
Ziobro
000
axpz20 knhc 022152
twdep
Tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
2205 utc thu sep 02 2010
Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n. East of 140w.
Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 utc.
. Special features.
Surface low pres center 1003 mb near 250 nm s-se of southern tip
of baja california peninsula at 19n109w. Deep convection noted
within 150 nm w and 210 nm e semicircles. Near storm force wind
extend 75 nm from center expected to increase and continue to
advect tropical moisture into its sw quadrant. Upper level
environment expected to become more favorable during next 24-36
hrs and there is high probability of system becoming a tropical
cyclone during next 48 hours and drift w.
Second surface low pres center 1008 mb in gulf of tehuantepec at
15n94w is embedded in monsoonal flow. Remains stationary and is
not expected to develop tropical characteristics although its
upper level environment is not adverse at all. Previous burst
of deep convection has stabilized within 60 nm of its center but
no tropical organization has been noted. Still system remains
under close monitoring for signs of intensification.
. Itcz.
Axis along 13n110w to 07n133w to 09n140w. Scattered moderate
convection within 75 nm of axis w of 110w.
. Discussion.
Broad upper level anticyclone over basin near 27n115w covers
basin n of 15n w of 114w maintaining a dry anticyclonic flow
over region. Weak shear zone along 110w provide window for
above mentioned low pres center to intensify before steered w by
flow. Steady ne flow aloft over region s of 15n e of 114w
curtails tropical development of second low pres but does advect
plenty of moisture along itcz axis e of 102w. Weak upper level
cyclone at 10n132w also provides tropical moisture to itcz axis
w of 118w.
At the surface.
Central pac ridge extend se from high pres center w-nw of region
to 20n120w keeping nw part of basin under dry and stable air
mass.
Strengthening low pres s of baja california producing near gale
sw winds from 04n-15n between 90w-112w with seas building to 14
ft. Winds expected to weaken to strong breeze within 24 hrs.
Similarly low pres in gulf of tehuantepec enhances strong sw
breeze n of 06n e of 85w with seas to 9 ft. Winds expected to
drop below 20 kt within next 24 hrs.
$$
wally barnes
000
wtca44 tjsj 022134
tcpsp4
Boletin
depresion tropical gaston advertencia numero 6
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al092010
500 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. Gaston se convierte en los remanentes de una baja presion sobre
el este central del atlantico tropical.
Resumen de las 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 13. 5 norte 39. 5 oeste
cerca de 1015 millas. 1635 kilometros al oeste de las islas mas al
sur de cabo verde del sur
cerca de 1465 millas. 2355 kilometros al este de las antillas
menores
vientos maximos sostenidos. 30 mph. 45 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Oeste o 270 grados a 5 mph. 7 km/hora
presion minima central. 1009 milibaras. 29. 80 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
no hay vigilancias o avisos costeros en efecto.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
------------------------------
a las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. Los remanentes de la baja presion de
gaston estaban localizados cerca de la latitud 13. 5 norte. Longitud
39. 5 oeste. La baja presion se mueve hacia el oeste a cerca 5
mph. Kilometros por horacon un movimiento continuo hacia el oeste
con algun aumento en la velocidad de traslacion durante las proximas
48 horas.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca a 30 mph. 45 kilometros
por hora. Con rafagas mas fuertes. Cambios minimos en su intensidad
son posibles durante los proximos dias.
Presion minima central ed de 1009 milibaras. 29. 80 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
ninguna.
Proximo boletin
-------------
esta es la ultima advertencia publica emitida por el centro nacional
de huracanes sobre gaston. A menos que se fortalezca de nuevo.
$$
Pronosticadores roberts/pasch
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtca42 tjsj 022114
tcpsp2
Boletin
huracan earl advertencia numero 34
nws tpc/centro nacional de huracanes miami fl al072010
500 pm ast jueves 2 de septiembre de 2010
. El huracan grande y poderoso earl moviendose hacia el
norte. Bandas de lluvia y rafagas de viento actualmente acercandose
a los outer banks.
Resumen de las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. Informacion
----------------------------------------------
localizacion. 32. 5 norte 75. 2 oeste
cerca de 185 millas. 300 kilometros al sur de cabo hatteras
carolina del norte
cerca de 670 millas. 1080 kilometros al sur suroeste de nantucket
massachusets
vientos maximos sostenidos. 115 mph. 185 kilometros por hora
movimiento actual. Norte o 360 grados a 18 mph. 30 kilometros por
hora
presion minima central. 947 milibaras. 27. 96 pulgadas
Vigilancias y avisos
--------------------
cambios con esta advertencia.
Ninguno.
Resumen de los avisos y vigilancias en efecto.
Un aviso de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Bogue inlet carolina del norte hacia el noreste hasta la frontera
entre carolina del norte y virginia incluyendo the pamlico y
albemarle sounds.
*Westport massachusetts al este cerca de cape cod hasta hull
incluyendo marthas vineyard y nantucket island.
Una vigilancia de huracan esta en efecto para.
* Al norte de la frontera de carolina del norte y virginia hacia el
cabo helopen delaware.
Un aviso de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Cabo fear hasta el oeste de bogue inlet carolina del norte.
* Al norte de la frontera de north carolina y virginia hasta sandy
hook new jersey. Incluyendo la bahia delaware al sur de la playa
slaughter y la bahia chesapeake al sur de new port comfort.
* La porcion este de long island new york desde fire inlet new york
hasta port jefferson harbor.
* New haven connecticut hasta el oeste de westport massachusetts.
Incluyendo block island.
Una vigilancia de tormenta tropical esta en efecto para.
* Norte de hull massachusetts a eastport maine.
* La costa de long island al oeste de fire island inlet y port
jefferson harbor.
* La costa de nueva escocia ecum secum hasta medway harbour y desde
digby hasta fort lawrence.
* New brunswick desde justo al oeste de fort lawrence hacia el oeste
hasta la frontera de estados unidos y canada.
Para informacion especifica a su area en los estados unidos.
Incluyendo posibles avisos y vigilancias sobre tierra. Favor de
monitorear productos emitidos por su servicio nacional de
meteorologia. Para informacion especifica a su area fuera de los
estados unidos. Favor de monitorear productos emitidos por su
servicio nacional de meteorologia.
Discusion y perspectivas para las proximas 48 horas
----------------------------------------------------
a las 5:00 pm ast. 2100 utc. El centro del huracan earl estaba
localizado cerca de la latitud 32. 5 norte. Longitud 75. 2 oeste.
Earl se mueve hacia el norte a cerca de 18 mph. 30 kilometros por
hor. Pero se espera un giro hacia el nor noreste con un aumento en la
velocidad de traslacion para el viernes. En la trayectoria
pronosticada. El centro de earl pasara cerca de los outer banks de
carolina del norte esta noche. Y se acercara al sureste de nueva
englaterra el viernes en la noche.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos han disminuido a cerca de 115
mph. 185 kilometros por hora. Con rafagas mas altas. Earl es ahora
un huracan categoria tres en la escala de vientos saffir-simpson. Un
debilitamiento adicional se espera durante la noche y el
viernes. Pero se espera que earl permanezca siendo un huracan
extenso y fuerte mientras pase cerca de los outer banks.
Los vientos huracanados se extienden hasta 70 millas del
centro. 110 kilometros. Y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta
tropical se extienden hasta 205 millas. 335 kilometros del centro.
La presion minima central reportada recientamente por un avion de la
fuerza aerea fue de 947 milibaras. 27. 96 pulgadas.
Peligros afectando tierra
----------------------
vientos. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se espera alcanzen
la costa de carolina del norte dentro del area bajo aviso pronto. Aunque
el centro de earl se mantenga sobre agua. Vientos huracanados son
anticipados en los outer banks para esta noche. Vientos de fuerza de
tormenta tropical probablemente alcanzaran la costa desde virginia
hacia el norte hasta new jersey para el viernes.
Marejadas ciclonicas. Una peligrosa marejada ciclonica aumentara
los niveles de las aguas de 3 a 5 pies sobre los niveles de la
tierra dentro de las areas bajo aviso de huracan y la parte baja de
la bahia de chesapeake. La marejada aumentara los niveles de hasta 2
a 4 pies sobre el nivel de la tierra dentro del area bajo aviso de
huracan sobre massachusetts. En el resto del area bajo aviso de
tormenta tropical. La marejada ciclonica podria alcanzar de 1 a 3
pies sobre los niveles de la tierra. Cerca de la costa. La marea
estara acompanada de grandes y destructivas olas.
Lluvia. Acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 2 a 4 pulgadas. Con
totales aislados de 6 pulgadas son anticipadas sobre porciones del
este de carolina del norte inlcuyendo los outer banks. Acumulaciones
de 1 a 2 pulgadas son posibles mas al norte a lo largo de la costa
inmediata del medio-atlantico.
Resacas. Marejadas grandes por earl continuaran afectando las
bahamas y la costa este de los estados unidos hasta el viernes.
Estas marejadas pudieran causar condiciones peligrosas de resacas y
corrientes submarinas.
Proximo boletin
-------------
proxima advertencia intermedia. 800 pm ast.
Proxima advertencia completa. 1100 pm ast.
$$
Pronosticador avila
Traduccion cortesia de la oficina del servicio nacional de
meteorologia en san juan puerto rico
000
wtnt22 knhc 022038
tcmat2
hurricane earl forecast/advisory number 34
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
2100 utc thu sep 02 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull including
marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Cape fear to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The eastern portion of long island new york from fire island inlet
to port jefferson harbor
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of hull massachusetts to eastport maine.
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet and port
jefferson harbor
* Nova scotia from ecum secum to medway harbour and from digby to
fort lawrence
* New brunswick from just west of fort lawrence westward to the
u. S./canada border
Hurricane center located near 32. 5n 75. 2w at 02/2100z
position accurate within 15 nm
Present movement toward the north or 360 degrees at 16 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 947 mb
eye diameter 25 nm
max sustained winds 100 kt with gusts to 120 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 40sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
34 kt. 180ne 120se 120sw 150nw.
12 ft seas. 420ne 400se 260sw 220nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 32. 5n 75. 2w at 02/2100z
at 02/1800z center was located near 31. 7n 75. 2w
Forecast valid 03/0600z 34. 8n 74. 8w
max wind 95 kt. Gusts 115 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
34 kt. 180ne 120se 120sw 150nw.
Forecast valid 03/1800z 38. 0n 72. 7w
max wind 85 kt. Gusts 105 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 60sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
34 kt. 180ne 120se 120sw 150nw.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 41. 7n 69. 0w
max wind 75 kt. Gusts 90 kt.
64 kt. 60ne 60se 40sw 40nw.
50 kt. 100ne 100se 80sw 60nw.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 120sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 46. 5n 64. 5w. Post-trop/extratrop
max wind 50 kt. Gusts 60 kt.
50 kt. 60ne 60se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt. 200ne 200se 140sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z. Absorbed by large extratropical low
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 32. 5n 75. 2w
Next advisory at 03/0300z
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt32 knhc 022038
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane earl advisory number 34
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072010
500 pm edt thu sep 02 2010
. Large hurricane earl moving northward. Rainbands and gusty winds
already approaching the outer banks.
Summary of 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 32. 5n 75. 2w
about 185 mi. 300 km s of cape hatteras north carolina
about 670 mi. 1080 km ssw of nantucket massachusetts
maximum sustained winds. 115 mph. 185 km/hr
present movement. N or 360 degrees at 18 mph. 30 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 947 mb. 27. 96 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A hurricane warning is in effect for.
* Bogue inlet north carolina northeastward to the north
carolina/virginia border including the pamlico and albemarle
sounds.
* Westport massachusetts eastward around cape cod to hull including
marthas vineyard and nantucket island
A hurricane watch is in effect for.
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to cape henlopen
delaware
* Nova scotia from medway harbour to digby
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Cape fear to west of bogue inlet north carolina
* North of the north carolina/virginia border to sandy hook new
jersey. Including delaware bay south of slaughter beach and the
chesapeake bay south of new point comfort
* The eastern portion of long island new york from fire island inlet
to port jefferson harbor
* New haven connecticut to west of westport massachusetts.
Including block island
A tropical storm watch is in effect for.
* North of hull massachusetts to eastport maine
* The coast of long island west of fire island inlet and port
jefferson harbor
* Nova scotia from ecum secum to medway harbour and from digby to
fort lawrence
* New brunswick from just west of fort lawrence westward to the
u. S./canada border
For storm information specific to your area in the united
states. Including possible inland watches and warnings. Please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states. Please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm edt. 2100 utc. The center of hurricane earl was located
near latitude 32. 5 north. Longitude 75. 2 west. Earl is moving
toward the north near 18 mph. 30 km/hr but a turn toward the
north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected on
Friday. On the forecast track. The center of earl will pass near
the north carolina outer banks tonight. And approach southeastern
new england Friday night.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph. 185
km/hr. With higher gusts. Earl is now a category three hurricane
on the saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Additional weakening
is expected tonight and Friday. But earl is expected to remain a
large and strong hurricane as it passes near the outer banks.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles. 110 km. From
the center. And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. 335 km.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force
reconnaissance plane was 947 mb. 27. 96 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected to reach the north
carolina coast within the warning area soon. Even if the center of
earl remains offshore. Hurricane force winds are expected to occur
in the outer banks by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds will
likely reach the coast from virginia northward to massachusetts on
Friday.
Storm surge. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above ground level within the hurricane warning
area over north carolina and the lower chesapeake bay. Storm surge
will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above ground
level within the hurricane warning area over massachusetts.
Elsewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Storm surge will
raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
Near the coast. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
Rainfall. Accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. With isolated maximum
amounts of 6 inches. Are expected over portions of eastern
north carolina. The outer banks and over southeast new england.
Accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are possible from extreme southeast
virginia northward along the immediate mid-atlantic coast. As well
as over downeast maine.
Surf. Large swells from earl will continue to affect the bahamas
and the east coast of the united states through Friday. These
swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 pm edt.
Next complete advisory. 1100 pm edt.
$$
forecaster avila
000
wtnt33 knhc 022034
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical storm fiona advisory number 13
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
500 pm ast thu sep 02 2010
. Little change with fiona. Still has 50 mph winds.
Summary of 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 25. 6n 66. 4w
about 475 mi. 760 km ssw of bermuda
maximum sustained winds. 50 mph. 85 km/hr
present movement. Nnw or 335 degrees at 17 mph. 28 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1002 mb. 29. 59 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory.
None
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area. Please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. The center of tropical storm fiona was
located near latitude 25. 6 north. Longitude 66. 4 west. A turn
toward the north is expected tonight. With a motion toward the
north-northeast forecast by late Friday. On the forecast track the
center of fiona is expected to pass near bermuda late Friday or
early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph. 85 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. 165 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. 29. 59 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind. Tropical storm force winds are expected in bermuda by late
Friday.
Rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in bermuda.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory. 800 pm ast.
Next complete advisory. 1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake/brown
000
wtnt23 knhc 022033
tcmat3
tropical storm fiona forecast/advisory number 13
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al082010
2100 utc thu sep 02 2010
Changes in watches and warnings with this advisory.
None
Summary of watches and warnings in effect.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for.
* Bermuda.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
Tropical storm center located near 25. 6n 66. 4w at 02/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
Present movement toward the north-northwest or 335 degrees at 15 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1002 mb
max sustained winds 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
12 ft seas. 210ne 210se 180sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 25. 6n 66. 4w at 02/2100z
at 02/1800z center was located near 25. 0n 66. 3w
Forecast valid 03/0600z 27. 5n 66. 8w
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 03/1800z 29. 7n 66. 4w
max wind 45 kt. Gusts 55 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 90se 0sw 0nw.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 31. 7n 65. 4w
max wind 40 kt. Gusts 50 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 90se 45sw 45nw.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 33. 7n 64. 1w
max wind 35 kt. Gusts 45 kt.
34 kt. 90ne 90se 45sw 45nw.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 38. 0n 61. 0w. Dissipating
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 06/1800z. Dissipated
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 25. 6n 66. 4w
Next advisory at 03/0300z
$$
forecaster blake/brown
000
wtnt34 knhc 022032
tcpat4
bulletin
tropical depression gaston advisory number 6
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al092010
500 pm ast thu sep 02 2010
. Gaston becomes a remnant low over the east-central tropical
atlantic.
Summary of 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. Information
----------------------------------------------
location. 13. 5n 39. 5w
about 1015 mi. 1635 km w of the southernmost cape verde islands
about 1465 mi. 2355 km e of the lesser antilles
maximum sustained winds. 30 mph. 45 km/hr
present movement. W or 270 degrees at 5 mph. 7 km/hr
minimum central pressure. 1009 mb. 29. 80 inches
Watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast. 2100 utc. The remnant low of gaston was located
near latitude 13. 5 north. Longitude 39. 5 west. The low is moving
toward the west near 5 mph. 7 km/hr. And a continued westward
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected during the
next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. 45 km/hr. With higher
gusts. Little change in strength is likely during the next couple
of days.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb. 29. 80 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on gaston. Unless regeneration occurs.
$$
forecaster roberts/pasch
000
wtnt24 knhc 022032
tcmat4
tropical depression gaston forecast/advisory number 6
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al092010
2100 utc thu sep 02 2010
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tropical depression center located near 13. 5n 39. 5w at 02/2100z
position accurate within 15 nm
Present movement toward the west or 270 degrees at 4 kt
Estimated minimum central pressure 1009 mb
max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat. Center located near 13. 5n 39. 5w at 02/2100z
at 02/1800z center was located near 13. 5n 39. 3w
Forecast valid 03/0600z 13. 5n 40. 4w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 03/1800z 13. 7n 41. 7w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 04/0600z 14. 0n 43. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 04/1800z 14. 2n 44. 4w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Forecast valid 05/1800z 14. 5n 48. 0w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Extended outlook. Note. Errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5. And for intensity near 20 kt each day
Outlook valid 06/1800z 15. 0n 52. 5w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Outlook valid 07/1800z 15. 5n 57. 5w. Post-trop/remnt low
max wind 25 kt. Gusts 35 kt.
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 13. 5n 39. 5w
This is the last forecast/advisory issued by the
national hurricane center on gaston. Unless regeneration occurs.
$$
forecaster roberts/pasch
national weather service
1325 east west highway
silver spring, md 20910
page author:
|
|
